2013 British Columbia general election
Provincial election in Canada
2013 British Columbia general election Opinion polls Turnout 55.32%[ 1] 4.33 pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.
The 2013 British Columbia general election took place on May 14, 2013, to elect the 85 members of the 40th Parliament of British Columbia to the Legislative Assembly in the Canadian province of British Columbia . The British Columbia Liberal Party (BC Liberals) formed the government during the 39th Parliament prior to this general election , initially under the leadership of Premier Gordon Campbell then after his resignation, Christy Clark . The British Columbia New Democratic Party (BC NDP) under the leadership of Carole James , and then Adrian Dix , formed the Official Opposition . The BC Green Party under the leadership of Jane Sterk and the BC Conservative Party under John Cummins were also included in polling, although neither party had representation at the end of the 39th Parliament.
The Liberal Party won its fourth straight majority; Clark was defeated in her riding , but she was re-elected to the legislature in a subsequent by-election in Westside-Kelowna on July 10, 2013,[ 2] after Liberal MLA Ben Stewart stepped down on her behalf.[ 3] The NDP remained the official opposition, losing two seats, and the Green Party won its first seat.
Despite their victory, the Liberals had been consistently several points behind the opposition New Democrats in every public opinion poll throughout the campaign.[ 4] Even poll results released on the last day of the campaign suggested that the New Democrats had an eight to nine percentage point margin over the Liberals.[ 5] Only one pollster, Forum Research , had released a poll which suggested that the Liberals were close enough that a victory was even possible for them, although even that poll had the New Democrats ahead by two percentage points.[ 5] The Liberals' upset victory led to significant media debate about the quality of opinion polling in Canadian elections.
Timing
Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the second Tuesday in May of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[ 6] As an election was held on May 12, 2009, the next election was scheduled for May 14, 2013. The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the Lieutenant Governor 's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit.[ 6]
The writs were dropped April 16, 2013,[ 7] and the general election was held on May 14, 2013, with advance voting made available on May 8 through 11.[ 8]
Background
After leading the BC Liberals for 17 years, Gordon Campbell announced he would resign as Premier and party leader in November 2010. This was seen as the result of opposition to the Harmonized Sales Tax , which was very unpopular with voters.[ 9]
In the ensuing leadership campaign, Christy Clark , the eventual winner, suggested she would prefer to hold an election earlier than 2013 to secure her own mandate.[ 10] She was believed to be preparing her party for an election as early as autumn 2011.[ 11] However, due to the unfavourable result from the HST referendum, she decided to rule out an early election.[ 12]
Political parties
This is a list of political parties who ran candidates in the 2013 election:[ 13] [ 14]
Party
Leader
Expenditures[ 15]
Notes
British Columbia Liberal Party
Christy Clark
$11,740,241
The BC Liberals have formed a majority government since May 2001. With the resignation of party leader Gordon Campbell , the new party leader Christy Clark was selected on February 26, 2011 .[ 16] The party claims it is independent of the federal Liberals and the federal Conservatives .
British Columbia New Democratic Party
Adrian Dix
$9,090,489
Affiliated with the federal NDP , the BC NDP held power from 1972–1975 and 1991–2001. On April 17, 2011, Adrian Dix was chosen as the party leader in their 2011 leadership convention .
Green Party of British Columbia
Jane Sterk
$177,660
The party is based on the belief in sustainability [ 17] and maintains a full policy platform.[ 18]
British Columbia Conservative Party
John Cummins
$154,502
Having last won a seat in 1978, the Conservative Party has re-emerged as a minor party. According to polling in March 2013, the party holds less than one-third of the centre-right vote (shared with the BC Liberals). The party received a temporary boost when, on March 26, 2012, Abbotsford South MLA John van Dongen announced that he was leaving the BC Liberals to join the BC Conservatives, providing the party with its first representative in decades. Van Dongen shortly quit the party to sit as an independent on September 22, 2012.
Advocational International Democratic Party of British Columbia
Michael Yawney
$2,780
The party was registered in 2006 and despite accumulating over two million dollars in assets the party did not nominate any candidates in the 2009 election.[ 19]
British Columbia Party
$0
A right-of-centre party[ 20] which did not nominate any candidates in the last election and only 2 candidates in the 2005 election.
Christian Heritage Party of British Columbia
Wilfred Hanni
$2,111
The party is based in the supremacy of God and rule of law[ 21] and maintains a full policy platform.[ 22] It was founded in 2010 as the BC Heritage Party but changed its name to the Christian Heritage Party in 2012 when it developed ties to the federal Christian Heritage Party .
Communist Party of British Columbia
Samuel Hammond
$1,375
As a provincial branch of the federal Communist Party of Canada , party advocates a communist ideology, including labour rights and limits to corporate control.[ 23] Active since 2001, the party nominated four candidates in 2001 and three in both the 2005 and 2009 elections.
British Columbia Excalibur Party
Michael Halliday
$901
Founded in 2013, the party has developed an election platform.[ 24]
BC First Party
Salvatore Vetro
$1,768
Founded in 2010, the party advocates for democratic reforms, including the use of referendums, free votes , and at-large elections for the position of Premier.[ 25] The party nominated a candidate in the 2011 by-election .
Helping Hand Party
Alan Saldanha
Founded in 2011. The party is based on the belief "that helping others unconditionally provides for a meaningful existence" and intends to run only a single candidate, Alan Saldanha in Surrey-Newton .[ 26]
British Columbia Libertarian Party
$1,994
The party advocates for libertarian principles including protecting civil liberties and private property rights, legalizing drugs, and ending government controls on economic activity.[ 27] Active since the 1980s, the party nominated six candidates in both the 2005 and 2009 elections.
British Columbia Marijuana Party
Marc Emery
$751
The party seeks to legalize marijuana . Active since 2000, the party nominated a full slate of candidates in 2001 and 44 candidates in 2005. The party endorsed the Green Party in the 2009 election but nominated one candidate regardless.
Platinum Party of Employers Who Think and Act to Increase Awareness
Espavo Sozo
$0
Founded in 2005, the party advocates for government accountability.[ 28] The party nominated 11 candidates in the 2005 election but none in 2009.
British Columbia Social Credit Party
The once dominant conservative party last formed the government under Bill Vander Zalm and Rita Johnston but has not elected an MLA since 1991.[ 29] The party did not nominate any candidates in the 2009 election.
Unparty: The Consensus-Building Party
Michael Donovan
$0
Founded in 2011, the party promotes consensus government over adversarial party politics.[ 30]
BC Vision
Jagmohan Bhandari
$179
Founded in 2013, the party has developed an election platform that includes technology development, environmental conservation, public health, cross-generational communication, senior education, and fiscal responsibility.[ 31]
Work Less Party of British Columbia
Conrad Schmidt
$9,420
The party seeks to legislate a 32-hour or four-day work week .[ 32] Active since 2003, the party nominated 11 candidate in 2005 and two in 2009.
Your Political Party of British Columbia
James Filippelli
$1,884
The party seeks to reduce the influence of political parties on government and increase public review of government operations, inclusive of crown corporations and local governments. They maintain a full platform which includes making all campaign promises legally binding.[ 33] Active since 2002, the party nominated one candidate in 2005 and two in 2009.
Results
Elections to the 40th Legislative Assembly of British Columbia (2013)
Party
Leader
Candidates
Votes
Seats
#
±
%
Change (pp)
2009
2013
±
Liberal
Christy Clark
85
795,274
43,613
44.13
−1.69
49
New Democratic
Adrian Dix
85
715,855
24,291
39.72
−2.43
35
1
Green
Jane Sterk
61
146,685
12,069
8.14
−0.07
–
1
Conservative
John Cummins
56
85,637
51,186
4.75
2.65
2.65
Independent
46
49,306
30,620
2.74
1.60
1.6
1
Libertarian
8
2,050
564
0.11
0.02
BC First
Salvatore Vetro
2
1,275
1,275
0.07
New
Excalibur
Michael Halliday
6
995
995
0.06
New
Vision
Jagmohan Bhandari
4
878
878
0.05
New
Christian Heritage
Wilfred Hanni
2
828
828
0.05
Returned
Marijuana
Marc Emery
2
766
405
0.04
0.02
Your Political Party
James Filippelli
2
528
193
0.03
0.01
British Columbia Party
3
445
445
0.02
Returned
Communist
Samuel Hammond
4
389
44
0.02
0.00%
Social Credit
1
374
374
0.02
Returned
Helping Hand Party
Alan Saldanha
1
282
282
0.02
New
Unparty
Michael Donovan
2
244
244
0.01
New
Work Less
Conrad Schmidt
2
145
177
0.01
−0.01
Advocational
Michael Yawney
2
137
137
0.01
New
Platinum
Espavo Sozo
2
56
56
–
Returned
Total
376
1,802,149
100.00%
MLAs elected
Synopsis of results
Results by riding – 2013 British Columbia general election
Riding
Winning party
Turnout[ a]
Votes[ b]
Name
2009
Party
Votes
Share
Margin #
Margin %
Lib
NDP
Grn
Con
Ind
Oth
Total
Abbotsford-Mission
Lib
Lib
10,417
50.67%
4,826
23.48%
56.63%
10,417
5,591
1,865
1,946
619
119
20,557
Abbotsford South
Lib
Lib
9,563
47.74%
3,977
19.85%
55.77%
9,563
4,210
–
–
5,586
673
20,032
Abbotsford West
Lib
Lib
9,473
50.65%
4,043
21.62%
59.38%
9,473
5,430
877
1,791
1,082
49
18,702
Alberni-Pacific Rim
NDP
NDP
10,569
57.55%
4,228
23.02%
58.22%
6,341
10,569
–
1,456
–
–
18,366
Boundary-Similkameen
Lib
Lib
8,499
46.59%
1,386
7.60%
61.85%
8,499
7,113
1,602
–
1,030
–
18,244
Burnaby-Deer Lake
NDP
NDP
8,189
48.48%
903
5.35%
48.03%
7,286
8,189
1,417
–
–
–
16,892
Burnaby-Edmonds
NDP
NDP
9,253
51.43%
2,303
12.80%
49.00%
6,950
9,253
1,573
–
–
215
17,991
Burnaby-Lougheed
Lib
NDP
8,952
44.26%
743
3.67%
56.24%
8,209
8,952
1,665
–
1,399
–
20,225
Burnaby North
Lib
Lib
10,543
46.82%
668
2.97%
55.03%
10,543
9,875
1,577
–
523
–
22,518
Cariboo-Chilcotin
Lib
Lib
7,679
56.18%
2,939
21.50%
63.64%
7,679
4,740
747
–
503
–
13,669
Cariboo North
NDP
Lib
5,867
41.41%
603
4.26%
59.77%
5,867
3,036
–
–
5,264
–
14,167
Chilliwack
Lib
Lib
9,989
47.56%
3,438
16.37%
55.85 %
9,989
6,551
1,766
2,515
–
181
21,002
Chilliwack-Hope
Lib
Lib
10,053
49.15%
2,689
13.15%
57.38%
10,053
7,364
–
2,202
833
–
20,452
Columbia River-Revelstoke
NDP
NDP
6,463
48.26%
1,616
12.07%
53.60%
4,847
6,463
921
1,162
–
–
13,393
Comox Valley
Lib
Lib
14,248
44.27%
1,768
5.49%
63.99%
14,248
12,480
3,718
1,740
–
–
32,186
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
Lib
Lib
9,766
49.90%
2,451
12.52%
53.23%
9,766
7,315
1,144
1,071
–
277
19,573
Coquitlam-Maillardville
NDP
NDP
9,930
45.74%
41
0.19%
56.69%
9,889
9,930
1,891
–
–
–
21,710
Cowichan Valley
NDP
NDP
10,696
40.14%
1,397
5.24%
61.90%
9,299
10,696
5,102
1,223
326
–
26,646
Delta North
NDP
Lib
9,613
44.53%
203
0.94%
59.94%
9,613
9,410
1,312
983
210
58
21,586
Delta South
Ind
Ind
11,376
47.80%
2,655
11.16%
68.29%
8,721
3,700
–
–
11,376
–
23,797
Esquimalt-Royal Roads
NDP
NDP
10,963
48.20%
4,452
19.57%
58.23%
6,511
10,963
4,928
–
343
–
22,745
Fort Langley-Aldergrove
Lib
Lib
15,989
55.10%
8,478
29.22%
60.53%
15,989
7,511
2,229
2,615
672
–
29,016
Fraser-Nicola
NDP
Lib
6,002
44.14%
614
4.52%
61.52%
6,002
5,388
1,314
895
–
–
13,599
Juan de Fuca
NDP
NDP
12,338
53.32%
5,218
22.55%
58.07%
7,120
12,338
3,682
–
–
–
23,140
Kamloops-North Thompson
Lib
Lib
12,183
52.06%
3,044
13.01%
57.97%
12,183
9,139
–
1,644
436
–
23,402
Kamloops-South Thompson
Lib
Lib
14,956
57.11%
5,752
21.96%
62.18%
14,956
9,204
–
1,603
425
–
26,188
Kelowna-Lake Country
Lib
Lib
12,149
56.78%
6,843
31.98%
47.71%
12,149
5,306
1,591
2,351
–
–
21,397
Kelowna-Mission
Lib
Lib
13,687
56.86%
7,466
31.02%
53.58%
13,687
6,221
–
3,051
1,113
–
24,072
Kootenay East
Lib
Lib
10,252
62.99%
4,229
25.98%
53.41%
10,252
6,023
–
–
–
–
16,275
Kootenay West
NDP
NDP
11,349
63.01%
7,508
41.68%
56.92%
3,841
11,349
–
–
2,822
–
18,012
Langley
Lib
Lib
14,039
51.44%
6,636
24.31%
59.06%
14,039
7,403
2,608
3,242
–
–
27,292
Maple Ridge-Mission
Lib
Lib
10,327
46.61%
1,507
6.80%
57.91%
10,327
8,820
1,818
1,190
–
–
22,155
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows
NDP
Lib
10,824
45.49%
620
2.61%
59.87%
10,824
10,204
2,178
–
589
–
23,795
Nanaimo
NDP
NDP
10,821
46.25%
2,253
9.63%
57.96%
8,568
10,821
2,532
1,221
253
–
23,395
Nanaimo-North Cowichan
NDP
NDP
11,542
46.21%
3,857
15.44%
61.11%
7,685
11,542
3,430
1,603
718
–
24,978
Nechako Lakes
Lib
Lib
5,324
53.79%
2,587
26.14%
58.46%
5,324
2,737
510
1,253
–
74
9,898
Nelson-Creston
NDP
NDP
8,200
50.73%
3,623
22.41%
57.63%
4,577
8,200
3,387
–
–
–
16,164
New Westminster
NDP
NDP
13,170
48.84%
4,173
15.48%
57.81%
8,997
13,170
2,252
1,318
1,038
190
26,965
North Coast
NDP
NDP
4,617
56.72%
1,925
23.65%
52.85%
2,692
4,617
831
–
–
–
8,140
North Island
NDP
NDP
11,885
50.70%
2,002
8.54%
57.28%
9,883
11,885
–
1,675
–
–
23,443
North Vancouver-Lonsdale
Lib
Lib
11,060
45.47%
1,188
4.88%
60.38%
11,060
9,872
2,257
833
–
304
24,326
North Vancouver-Seymour
Lib
Lib
13,186
50.92%
4,662
18.00%
66.99%
13,186
8,524
1,897
1,206
1,081
–
25,894
Oak Bay-Gordon Head
Lib
Grn
10,722
40.43%
2,955
11.14%
69.56%
7,767
7,536
10,722
492
–
–
26,517
Parksville-Qualicum
Lib
Lib
14,518
50.13%
3,786
13.07%
67.94%
14,518
10,732
–
3,710
–
–
28,960
Peace River North
Lib
Lib
7,905
58.94%
4,618
34.43%
51.47%
7,905
1,319
–
900
3,287
–
13,411
Peace River South
Lib
Lib
4,373
46.73%
1,827
19.52%
49.89%
4,373
1,988
–
2,546
451
–
9,358
Penticton
Lib
Lib
11,536
45.85%
1,382
5.49%
58.27%
11,536
10,154
–
2,288
–
1,185
25,163
Port Coquitlam
NDP
NDP
11,755
52.94%
3,635
16.37%
57.26%
8,120
11,755
–
1,525
–
805
22,205
Port Moody-Coquitlam
Lib
Lib
9,675
46.39%
437
2.10%
58.75%
9,675
9,238
1,708
–
–
237
20,858
Powell River-Sunshine Coast
NDP
NDP
13,120
55.20%
5,328
22.42%
63.24%
7,792
13,120
2,856
–
–
–
23,768
Prince George-Mackenzie
Lib
Lib
10,524
55.58%
4,036
21.32%
56.86%
10,524
6,488
1,077
845
–
–
18,934
Prince George-Valemount
Lib
Lib
11,291
56.95%
4,175
21.06%
56.56%
11,291
7,116
–
1,105
–
314
19,826
Richmond Centre
Lib
Lib
9,462
49.83%
5,026
26.47%
43.65%
9,462
4,436
1,678
961
2,371
82
18,990
Richmond East
Lib
Lib
11,592
54.68%
5,545
26.16%
47.58%
11,592
6,047
1,178
1,827
380
175
21,199
Richmond-Steveston
Lib
Lib
12,137
51.80%
5,529
23.60%
55.39%
12,137
6,608
1,899
2,625
–
162
23,431
Saanich North and the Islands
Lib
NDP
10,515
33.27%
163
0.52%
69.21%
10,352
10,515
10,136
–
599
–
31,602
Saanich South
NDP
NDP
11,946
45.55%
2,690
10.26%
67.11%
9,256
11,946
4,011
873
142
–
26,228
Shuswap
Lib
Lib
11,992
47.92%
4,594
18.36%
60.41%
11,992
7,398
2,338
3,232
–
63
25,023
Skeena
NDP
NDP
5,609
47.71%
522
4.44%
55.85%
5,087
5,609
–
797
–
263
11,756
Stikine
NDP
NDP
4,081
47.11%
909
10.49%
62.82%
3,172
4,081
303
533
59
514
8,662
Surrey-Cloverdale
Lib
Lib
18,051
59.53%
9,274
30.59%
57.79%
18,051
8,777
–
2,545
949
–
30,322
Surrey-Fleetwood
NDP
Lib
8,974
45.43%
200
1.01%
55.72%
8,974
8,774
1,147
801
–
59
19,755
Surrey-Green Timbers
NDP
NDP
9,386
58.06%
3,805
23.54%
52.32%
5,581
9,386
655
444
–
101
16,167
Surrey-Newton
NDP
NDP
9,788
56.42%
3,184
18.35%
52.56%
6,604
9,788
–
674
–
282
17,348
Surrey-Panorama
Lib
Lib
14,139
54.29%
4,831
18.55%
57.72%
14,139
9,308
1,478
1,037
81
–
26,043
Surrey-Tynehead
Lib
Lib
9,172
48.15%
1,633
8.57%
52.13%
9,172
7,539
–
2,040
–
298
19,049
Surrey-Whalley
NDP
NDP
10,405
61.43%
5,401
31.88%
46.28%
5,004
10,405
–
1,110
–
420
16,939
Surrey-White Rock
Lib
Lib
15,092
58.09%
7,912
30.45%
64.73%
15,092
7,180
2,304
1,301
–
105
25,982
Vancouver-Fairview
Lib
NDP
12,649
47.32%
1,351
5.05%
58.98%
11,298
12,649
2,785
–
–
–
26,732
Vancouver-False Creek
Lib
Lib
11,228
52.21%
3,247
15.10%
50.11%
11,228
7,981
1,928
–
199
171
21,507
Vancouver-Fraserview
Lib
Lib
10,118
46.74%
470
2.17%
54.96%
10,118
9,648
1,230
653
–
–
21,649
Vancouver-Hastings
NDP
NDP
12,782
59.51%
6,846
31.87%
53.21%
5,936
12,782
2,386
–
–
374
21,478
Vancouver-Kensington
NDP
NDP
10,687
51.37%
2,722
13.09%
54.33%
7,965
10,687
1,578
572
–
–
20,802
Vancouver-Kingsway
NDP
NDP
10,409
56.77%
3,809
20.77%
48.96%
6,600
10,409
1,327
–
–
–
18,336
Vancouver-Langara
Lib
Lib
10,234
52.60%
2,787
14.33%
50.52%
10,234
7,447
1,055
674
–
45
19,455
Vancouver-Mount Pleasant
NDP
NDP
13,845
65.83%
9,903
47.09%
49.77%
3,942
13,845
2,506
–
260
478
21,031
Vancouver-Point Grey
Lib
NDP
11,499
47.59%
1,063
4.40%
58.97%
10,436
11,499
1,636
392
72
128
24,163
Vancouver-Quilchena
Lib
Lib
14,496
64.32%
8,791
39.00%
59.45%
14,496
5,705
1,667
–
671
–
22,539
Vancouver-West End
NDP
NDP
10,755
56.81%
5,406
28.55%
50.64%
5,349
10,755
2,156
–
132
540
18,932
Vernon-Monashee
Lib
Lib
12,503
46.34%
3,270
12.12%
57.41%
12,503
9,233
1,905
3,169
169
–
26,979
Victoria-Beacon Hill
NDP
NDP
12,697
48.82%
3,901
15.00%
58.67%
4,386
12,697
8,796
–
–
131
26,010
Victoria-Swan Lake
NDP
NDP
12,350
54.49%
7,090
31.28%
58.07%
5,055
12,350
5,260
–
–
–
22,665
West Vancouver-Capilano
Lib
Lib
15,776
67.03%
10,509
44.65%
60.47%
15,776
5,267
–
1,156
1,018
320
23,537
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky
Lib
Lib
11,275
52.50%
4,309
20.06%
56.68%
11,275
6,966
2,359
653
225
–
21,478
Westside-Kelowna
Lib
Lib
12,405
58.07%
5,817
27.23%
47.52%
12,405
6,588
–
2,368
–
–
21,361
= Open seat
= turnout is above provincial average
= winning candidate was in previous Legislature
= Incumbent had switched allegiance
= Previously incumbent in another riding
= Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
= Incumbency arose from by-election gain
= other incumbents renominated
= previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
= Multiple candidates
Summary analysis
Resulting composition of the 39th Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
Source
Party
Lib
NDP
Grn
Ind
Total
Seats retained
Incumbents returned
24
27
1
52
Open seats held – new MLAs
16
3
19
Open seats held – taken by MLA previously incumbent in another riding
1
1
Byelection losses reversed
2
2
Ouster of incumbent changing allegiance
1
1
Seats changing hands
Incumbents defeated
3
2
1
6
Open seats gained
2
2
4
Total
49
34
1
1
85
Voter turnout
Voter turnout was 57.1 percent, but varied from riding to riding. 10 of the 85 ridings had less than 50 percent voter turnout. Richmond and Kelowna were the only major cities with under 50 percent turnout.
Retiring incumbents
Liberals
George Abbott , Shuswap [ 37]
Bill Barisoff , Penticton [ 38]
Pat Bell , Prince George-Mackenzie [ 39]
Harry Bloy , Burnaby-Lougheed [ 40]
Ron Cantelon , Parksville-Qualicum [ 41]
Murray Coell , Saanich North and the Islands [ 42]
Kevin Falcon , Surrey-Cloverdale [ 43]
Colin Hansen , Vancouver-Quilchena [ 44]
Randy Hawes , Abbotsford-Mission [ 45]
Dave Hayer , Surrey-Tynehead [ 46]
Kash Heed , Vancouver-Fraserview [ 47]
Rob Howard , Richmond Centre [ 48]
Kevin Krueger , Kamloops-South Thompson [ 49]
Blair Lekstrom , Peace River South [ 48]
John Les , Chilliwack [ 37]
Joan McIntyre , West Vancouver-Sea to Sky [ 48]
Mary McNeil , Vancouver-False Creek [ 37]
New Democrats
Independents
Seats changing hands
8 incumbent MLAs lost their seats:
Open seats changing hands
Opinion polls
Opinion polling in the election period
Polling firm
Date of polling
Source
Lib
NDP
Grn
Con
Oth
Type of poll
Sample size
2013 election
May 14, 2013
[ 54]
44.14
39.71
8.13
4.76
3.25
Ballot
1,803,051
Ipsos Reid
May 13, 2013
[ 55]
37
45
9
6
3
Online
800
Angus Reid
May 12–13, 2013
[ 56]
36
45
9
7
3
Online
803
EKOS
May 10–12, 2013
[ 57]
34.5
40.5
13.0
9.3
2.7
IVR
861
Angus Reid
May 9–10, 2013
[ 58] [permanent dead link ]
36
45
9
6
4
Online
808
Justason Market Intelligence
May 8–9, 2013
[ 59]
31
45
14
8
3
Online
700
Ipsos Reid
May 8–9, 2013
[ 60]
37
43
10
7
3
Online
800
Forum Research
May 8, 2013
[ 61]
41
43
8
6
2
IVR
1,147
Hill & Knowlton
May 7–8, 2013
[ 62]
34.6
41.1
13.6
7.5
3.3
Online
804
Oraclepoll Research
May 5–7, 2013
[ 63]
37
41
12
10
Telephone
1,000
Campaign Research
May 2, 2013
[ 64] [permanent dead link ]
35
38
13
10
5
IVR
1,303
Angus Reid
May 1–2, 2013
[ 65] [permanent dead link ]
34
41
12
10
3
Online
808
Ipsos Reid
April 30 – May 2, 2013
[ 66]
35
45
10
7
3
Online
1,000
Insights West
April 29 – May 2, 2013
[ 67]
33
41
14
11
1
Online
855
Forum Research
April 30, 2013
[ 68]
35
39
12
9
3
IVR
1,055
Abacus Data
April 23–26, 2013
[ 69]
33
43
12
9
3
Online
1,042
Angus Reid
April 24–25, 2013
[ 70]
31
45
10
11
3
Online
812
Justason Market Intelligence
April 15–23, 2013
[ 71]
27
49
12
11
2
Telephone/online
600
Ipsos Reid
April 11–14, 2013
[ 72]
29
48
9
11
3
Online
800
Angus Reid
April 12–13, 2013
[ 73]
28
45
13
12
3
Online
804
EKOS
April 3–10, 2013
[ 74]
28.4
44.9
11.1
13.0
2.7
IVR
917
Election 2009
May 12, 2009
–
45.82
42.15
8.21
2.10
1.72
Ballot
1,640,542
Opinion polling from 2009 to March 2013
Polling firm
Date of polling
Source
Lib
NDP
Grn
Con
Oth
Type of poll
Sample size
Insights West
March 26–31, 2013
[ 75]
28
45
15
10
2
Online
855
Angus Reid
March 18–19, 2013
[ 76] [permanent dead link ]
28
48
11
11
2
Online
809
Campaign Research
March 12, 2013
[ 77]
33
38
12
13
4
IVR
1,112
Ipsos Reid
March 8–12, 2013
[ 78]
32
51
7
9
1
Online
1,000
Angus Reid
February 21–22, 2013
[ 79]
31
47
10
9
3
Online
803
EKOS
February 1–10, 2013
[ 80]
27.4
39.0
13.5
14.6
5.5
IVR
687
Justason Market Intelligence
January 25 – February 1, 2013
[ 81]
26
48
11
12
3
Telephone/online
600
Mustel Group
January 11–21, 2013
[ 82]
33
43
11
11
2
Telephone
509
Angus Reid
January 17–18, 2013
[ 83]
31
46
10
10
3
Online
802
Ipsos Reid
November 26–30, 2012
[ 84]
35
48
7
9
1
Online
1,000
Angus Reid
November 21–22, 2012
[ 85] [permanent dead link ]
29
47
9
12
2
Online
800
Angus Reid
October 9–10, 2012
[ 86] [permanent dead link ]
26
49
7
16
2
Online
800
Justason Market Intelligence
September 24 – October 1, 2012
[ 87]
28
48
13
9
1
Telephone/online
539
Ipsos Reid
September 11–18, 2012
[ 88]
32
49
6
12
1
Online
1,006
Angus Reid
September 10–11, 2012
[ 89]
25
46
8
19
1
Online
800
Environics
August 29–31, 2012
[ 90]
25.4
44.8
7.8
19.8
2.2
Online
854
Forum Research
August 30, 2012
[ 91]
23
45
10
20
2
IVR
902
Angus Reid
July 30 – August 1, 2012
[ 92] [permanent dead link ]
22
49
9
19
2
Online
804
Forum Research
July 31, 2012
[ 93]
23
49
9
18
2
IVR
1,064
Angus Reid
July 3–5, 2012
[ 94] [permanent dead link ]
23
45
8
22
2
Online
801
Forum Research
June 12, 2012
[ 95]
20
50
11
19
0
IVR
1,014
Ipsos Reid
June 5–11, 2012
[ 96]
29
48
6
16
1
Online
1,026
Angus Reid
May 7–9, 2012
[ 97] [permanent dead link ]
23
50
6
19
2
Online
802
Forum Research
May 2, 2012
[ 98]
23
48
8
19
1
IVR
1,054
Forum Research
April 11, 2012
[ 99]
23
46
8
23
1
IVR
1,069
Angus Reid
March 29–30, 2012
[ 100] [permanent dead link ]
23
43
8
23
3
Online
800
Forum Research
March 19, 2012
[ 101]
21
47
9
21
2
IVR
1,063
Mustel Group
March 5–19, 2012
[ 102]
34
42
6
17
2
Telephone
518
Justason Market Intelligence
February 24 – March 7, 2012
[ 103]
31
45
8
14
2
Telephone/online
611
Forum Research
February 22, 2012
[ 104]
24
42
10
22
2
IVR
858
NRG Research Group
February 7–12, 2012
[ 105]
36
42
10
13
Telephone
600
Ipsos Reid
February 1–5, 2012
[ 106]
32
44
7
16
2
Online
1,000
Angus Reid
January 27–29, 2012
[ 107]
28
42
10
19
1
Online
800
Forum Research
January 23, 2012
[ 108]
26
39
9
22
4
IVR
988
Forum Research
December 15, 2011
[ 109]
23
34
15
23
5
IVR
1,045
Oraclepoll Research
November 22–25, 2011
[ 110]
25
44
16
15
Telephone
600
Angus Reid
October 31 – November 1, 2011
[ 111]
31
40
8
18
3
Online
803
Ipsos Reid
September 28 – October 3, 2011
[ 112]
38
45
6
12
3
Online
1,000
Mustel Group
May 4–15, 2011
[ 113]
37
35
9
18
1
Telephone
500
Ipsos Reid
May 9–13, 2011
[ 114]
41
39
8
10
2
Telephone/online
1,200
Angus Reid
March 16–17, 2011
[ 115]
43
38
10
5
4
Online
807
Angus Reid
February 15–17, 2011
[ 115]
41
38
11
4
6
Online
811
Angus Reid
December 20–21, 2010
[ 116]
38
38
12
7
5
Online
806
Mustel Group
December 3–12, 2010
[ 117]
41
36
15
7
2
Telephone
500
Angus Reid
December 7–8, 2010
[ 118]
36
36
14
6
8
Online
804
Mustel Group
November 4–15, 2010
[ 119]
37
42
10
9
3
Telephone
502
Angus Reid
November 2–3, 2010
[ 120]
26
47
10
10
7
Online
807
Angus Reid
October 13–14, 2010
[ 121]
24
49
13
8
6
Online
804
Angus Reid
September 8–9, 2010
[ 122] [permanent dead link ]
25
48
13
8
6
Online
805
Mustel Group
August 26 – September 7, 2010
[ 123]
33
42
12
11
2
Telephone
502
Angus Reid
July 26–28, 2010
[ 124]
27
48
13
6
6
Online
800
Angus Reid
July 6–8, 2010
[ 125]
23
46
14
8
9
Online
801
Angus Reid
June 1–6, 2010
[ 126]
26
46
14
8
Online
1,612
Mustel Group
May 6–16, 2010
[ 127]
32
44
13
7
3
Telephone
500
Angus Reid
April 12–14, 2010
[ 128]
29
47
14
5
Online
800
Angus Reid
March 15–17, 2010
[ 129]
35
43
13
6
Online
905
Mustel Group
November 9–19, 2009
[ 130]
35
43
15
5
2
500
Angus Reid
November 10–11, 2009
[ 131]
33
47
10
7
Online
800
Ipsos Reid
September 9–13, 2009
[ 132]
35
45
13
7
Telephone
800
Angus Reid
September 1–3, 2009
[ 133]
31
45
11
7
Online
783
Mustel Group
August 5–11, 2009
[ 134]
38
46
12
2
4
500
Angus Reid
July 31 – August 2, 2009
[ 135]
34
42
12
7
5
Online
805
2009 election
May 12, 2009
–
45.82
42.15
8.21
2.10
1.72
Ballot
1,640,542
Notes
^ Including spoilt ballots
^ Parties receiving more than 1% of the popular vote, or fielding candidates in at least half of the constituencies, are listed separately.
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Further reading
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