2016 Arizona Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 Arizona Democratic presidential primary was held on March 22 in the U.S. state of Arizona as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, the Democratic Party held caucuses in Idaho and Utah, while the Republican Party held primaries in two states, including their own Arizona primary and a primary in American Samoa.

Voter suppression controversy

There was controversy surrounding the Arizona primary elections of 2016, specifically having to do with the decrease in polling places in Maricopa County from 200 in 2012 to only 60 in 2016, enacted by Republican officials despite the number of registered voters having increased from 300,000 in 2012 to 800,000 in 2016.^[2]^[3] This decrease in polling places was most pronounced in minority neighborhoods, most notably Latino neighborhoods, with areas like Central Phoenix having only one polling place for 108,000 voters. There were also reports of voters who had been previously registered coming up as unregistered or registered as an independent, making them ineligible to vote in the closed primary.^[2] Voters who did manage to vote had to stand in long lines to cast their ballots, some for as long as five hours.^[4] Additionally, voters reported being required to vote with a provisional ballot.^[5] In 2005, Arizona threw out 27,878 provisional ballots, counting only about 72.5% of the total provisional ballots reported.^[6] This was the first election in the state of Arizona since the 2013 Supreme Court decision to strike down Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, which would have previously required states with a history of voter discrimination, including Arizona, to receive Federal approval before implementing any changes to voting laws and practices. In Maricopa County, Republican officials have conducted voter purges that disproportionately affected poor and minority areas.^[7]

Within a day after the election took place on March 22, a petition went viral on the White House petitions site asking the Department of Justice to investigate voter suppression and election fraud in Arizona.^[8] The petition reached 100,000 signatures in 40 hours,^[9] and as of June 5, 2016, nearly 220,000 people had signed the petition. The White House responded on May 20, 2016. In addition, Phoenix mayor Greg Stanton asked the Justice Department to launch an investigation into the allegations of voter suppression.^[10]

Both the Clinton and Sanders campaigns, as well as the Democratic National Committee, sued the Arizona state government over the alleged voter suppression.^[11] The Department of Justice has since launched a federal investigation into the primary.^[12]

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
Official Primary results^[13]	March 22, 2016	Hillary Clinton 56.3%	Bernie Sanders 41.4%	Others 2.3%
Merrill Poll^[14] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 300	March 7–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton 50%	Bernie Sanders 24%	Others / Undecided 26%
MBQF Consulting and Marson Media^[15] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 739	Published February 29, 2016	Hillary Clinton 56%	Bernie Sanders 22%	Others / Undecided 22%
Behavior Research Center^[16] Margin of error: ± 7.3% Sample size: 186	October 24 – November 5, 2015	Hillary Clinton 47%	Bernie Sanders 19%	Martin O'Malley 2% Uncommitted 32%
One America News^[17] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 427	Published August 17, 2015	Hillary Clinton 56%	Bernie Sanders 34%	Joe Biden 6% Lincoln Chafee 2% Jim Webb 1% Martin O'Malley 1%
Public Policy Polling ^[18] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 268	May 1–3, 2015	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 16%	Lincoln Chafee 5% Jim Webb 5% Martin O'Malley 4% Not sure 12%

Results

e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Arizona
– Summary of results –
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	262,459	56.3%	42	6	48
Bernie Sanders	192,962	41.4%	33	1	34
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	3,877	0.8%
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	2,797	0.6%
Michael Steinberg	2,295	0.5%
Henry Hewes	1,845	0.4%
Uncommitted	—			3	3
Total	466,235	100%	75	10	85
Source: ^[19]^[20]

Detailed results per congressional district

Detailed results for the Arizona Democratic primary, April 5, 2016^[21]^[22]
District	Total		Hillary Clinton			Bernie Sanders
District	Votes	Delegates	Votes	%	Delegates	Votes	%	Delegates
1st district	63,863	6	35,445	55.5%	3	26,267	41.1%	3
2nd district	78,237	8	42,797	54.7%	4	33,891	43.3%	4
3rd district	51,520	5	30,298	58.8%	3	20,091	39.0%	2
4th district	37,273	4	20,662	55.4%	2	15,289	41.0%	2
5th district	40,847	5	22,973	56.2%	3	16,982	41.6%	2
6th district	50,465	6	29,266	58.0%	4	20,259	40.1%	2
7th district	42,199	5	24,245	57.5%	3	17,173	40.7%	2
8th district	46,491	5	27,672	59.5%	3	17,651	38.0%	2
9th district	55,340	6	29,101	52.6%	3	25,359	45.8%	3
At-large delegates	466,235	16	262,459	56.3%	9	192,962	41.4%	7
Pledged PLEOs	466,235	9	262,459	56.3%	5	192,962	41.4%	4
Total	466,235	75	262,464	56.3%	42	192,965	41.4%	33

Results by county

County^[23]	Clinton	%	Sanders	%
Apache	4,450	66.4%	1,933	28.8%
Cochise	4,654	56.5%	3,265	39.7%
Coconino	5,738	44.1%	6,941	53.4%
Gila	2,196	59.2%	1,305	35.2%
Graham	937	49.1%	851	44.6%
Greenlee	497	54.6%	325	35.7%
La Paz	309	51.7%	259	43.3%
Maricopa	126,988	58.1%	86,942	39.8%
Mohave	4,170	56.4%	2,847	38.5%
Navajo	4,415	59.7%	2,621	35.4%
Pima	56,317	57.3%	40,228	40.9%
Pinal	9,771	62.1%	5,414	34.4%
Santa Cruz	2,496	65.8%	1,205	31.8%
Yavapai	8,401	52.9%	7,108	44.7%
Yuma	4,358	63.7%	2,156	31.5%
Total	262,459	56.3%	192,962	41.4%

Analysis

A Clinton win in Arizona was expected; she had beat Barack Obama in the state eight years earlier by a similar wide margin, and she generally performed well with minority voters in the 2016 primaries. She won in counties with high populations of Hispanic voters, including the largest county Maricopa where the capital city of Phoenix is located, and she also performed well in counties with large populations of Native Americans including Apache County and Navajo County. Sanders won only in Coconino County.^[24]

Bernie Sanders made a late play for the state of Arizona, including airing Spanish-language ads featuring Congressman Raúl Grijalva.^[25] Hillary Clinton offset his efforts with advertising featuring former Congresswoman Gabby Giffords,^[25] and airing radio ads in the Navajo language.^[26]

References

^ Arizona Secretary of State
^ ^a ^b Eugene Scott (April 5, 2016). "DOJ looking into voter suppression claims in Arizona". CNN. Retrieved June 5, 2016.
^ "Arizona primary: Maricopa County had one polling site for every 21,000 voters". azcentral. Retrieved June 5, 2016.
^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved March 23, 2016.
^ Sabato, Larry J. (May 11, 2015). "Clinton's Real Opponent: Barack Obama". Politico. Retrieved March 25, 2016.
^ Beal, Tom (January 29, 2005). "Counties inconsistent in provisional-vote rules". votersunite.org. Arizona Daily Star. Archived from the original on April 5, 2016. Retrieved March 26, 2016.
^ Dianna M. Náñez and Agnel Philip (November 4, 2018). "Maricopa County residents purged from voter rolls more than 1 million times in past decade". Arizona Republic. Retrieved June 2, 2019.
^ "Petition to White House about Arizona 'voter suppression' hit goal in about 40 hours". Archived from the original on September 12, 2016. Retrieved March 27, 2016.
^ TEGNA. "Petition to White House about Arizona 'voter suppression' hit goal in about 40 hours". KPNX. Archived from the original on September 12, 2016. Retrieved June 5, 2016.
^ Cohn, Nate (January 16, 2015). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. Retrieved March 25, 2016.
^ Eugene Scott (April 14, 2016). "Clinton, Sanders campaigns join DNC suit over alleged Arizona voter suppression". CNN. Retrieved June 2, 2019.
^ Lachman, Samantha; Reilly, Ryan J. (April 4, 2016). "The DOJ Is Investigating Arizona's Election Mess". The Huffington Post. Retrieved April 4, 2016.
^ Official Primary results
^ "New Arizona poll: Trump, Clinton lead but ample undecideds". March 15, 2016. Retrieved March 15, 2016.
^ "Clinton dusting Sanders in Arizona poll". February 29, 2016.
^ "Hillary Clinton Bests Bernie Sanders in Test Presidential Election by 47% to 19%" (PDF). November 19, 2015.
^ "Arizona Polling Results" (PDF). One America News. Retrieved August 20, 2015.
^ "Clinton Closely Matched With Most Republicans in Arizona" (PDF). Publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved July 11, 2015.
^ The Green Papers
^ Arizona Secretary of State
^ "Arizona Democratic Delegation 2016". thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
^ "2016 Arizona District-Level Delegate Math" (PDF). Arizona Democratic Party. April 5, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 18, 2016. Retrieved April 8, 2016.
^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
^ "Arizona Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved August 7, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Arizona is Tuesday's biggest prize". MSNBC. Retrieved August 7, 2016.
^ "Arizona Primary: Native Americans Could Be Key For Democrats". NPR.org. Retrieved August 7, 2016.

[1] Arizona Secretary of State

[:0-2] Eugene Scott (April 5, 2016). "DOJ looking into voter suppression claims in Arizona". CNN. Retrieved June 5, 2016.

[3] "Arizona primary: Maricopa County had one polling site for every 21,000 voters". azcentral. Retrieved June 5, 2016.

[4] "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved March 23, 2016.

[5] Sabato, Larry J. (May 11, 2015). "Clinton's Real Opponent: Barack Obama". Politico. Retrieved March 25, 2016.

[6] Beal, Tom (January 29, 2005). "Counties inconsistent in provisional-vote rules". votersunite.org. Arizona Daily Star. Archived from the original on April 5, 2016. Retrieved March 26, 2016.

[7] Dianna M. Náñez and Agnel Philip (November 4, 2018). "Maricopa County residents purged from voter rolls more than 1 million times in past decade". Arizona Republic. Retrieved June 2, 2019.

[8] "Petition to White House about Arizona 'voter suppression' hit goal in about 40 hours". Archived from the original on September 12, 2016. Retrieved March 27, 2016.

[9] TEGNA. "Petition to White House about Arizona 'voter suppression' hit goal in about 40 hours". KPNX. Archived from the original on September 12, 2016. Retrieved June 5, 2016.

[10] Cohn, Nate (January 16, 2015). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. Retrieved March 25, 2016.

[11] Eugene Scott (April 14, 2016). "Clinton, Sanders campaigns join DNC suit over alleged Arizona voter suppression". CNN. Retrieved June 2, 2019.

[12] Lachman, Samantha; Reilly, Ryan J. (April 4, 2016). "The DOJ Is Investigating Arizona's Election Mess". The Huffington Post. Retrieved April 4, 2016.

[13] Official Primary results

[14] "New Arizona poll: Trump, Clinton lead but ample undecideds". March 15, 2016. Retrieved March 15, 2016.

[15] "Clinton dusting Sanders in Arizona poll". February 29, 2016.

[16] "Hillary Clinton Bests Bernie Sanders in Test Presidential Election by 47% to 19%" (PDF). November 19, 2015.

[17] "Arizona Polling Results" (PDF). One America News. Retrieved August 20, 2015.

[18] "Clinton Closely Matched With Most Republicans in Arizona" (PDF). Publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved July 11, 2015.

[19] The Green Papers

[20] Arizona Secretary of State

[GP-21] "Arizona Democratic Delegation 2016". thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved May 21, 2016.

[AZdem-22] "2016 Arizona District-Level Delegate Math" (PDF). Arizona Democratic Party. April 5, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 18, 2016. Retrieved April 8, 2016.

[23] "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.

[24] "Arizona Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved August 7, 2016.

[Arizona_is_Tuesday's_biggest_prize-25] "Arizona is Tuesday's biggest prize". MSNBC. Retrieved August 7, 2016.

[26] "Arizona Primary: Native Americans Could Be Key For Democrats". NPR.org. Retrieved August 7, 2016.

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2016 Arizona Democratic presidential primary

Voter suppression controversy

Opinion polling

Results

Detailed results per congressional district

Results by county

Analysis

References

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