2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election
The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii . Incumbent Democratic governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona , the Republican nominee. This marked the third time Aiona had been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, having previously run unsuccessfully in 2010 and 2014 . Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote.[ 1] [ 2]
Green's performance was the highest percentage of the vote ever received by any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, surpassing the record from the previous election. Despite this, Aiona performed 3 points better and received 20,000 more raw votes than Andria Tupola did in 2018 , likely because there were no third-party candidates in the 2022 race. Green is the first Hawaii governor born after Hawaii's statehood.
Democratic primary
Governor
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined
Endorsements
Vicky Cayetano
Organizations
Patsy T. Mink Foundation[ 16]
Josh Green
Labor unions
Publications
Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [ 19]
Polling
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Kirk Caldwell
Vicky Cayetano
Josh Green
Kai Kahele
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [ 21]
July 12–17, 2022
317 (LV)
± 5.6%
–
19%
55%
16%
10%
MRG Research [ 22]
June 28–30, 2022
782 (LV)
± 4.0%
–
15%
48%
16%
22%
May 4, 2022
Caldwell withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D)[ 23] [ A]
February 8–9, 2022
644 (LV)
± 3.9%
5%
10%
46%
14%
25%
–
10%
48%
17%
25%
Mason-Dixon [ 24]
January 24–28, 2022
320 (LV)
± 5.6%
11%
8%
58%
–
23%
Public Policy Polling (D)[ 25] [ A]
November 5–6, 2021
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
7%
14%
51%
–
28%
–
21%
58%
–
–
Results
Results by county: Green—60–70%
Green—40–50%
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined
Endorsements
Sherry Menor-McNamara
Organizations
Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii[ 40]
Sylvia Luke
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations and professional associations
Americans for Democratic Action[ 40]
General Contractors Association of Hawai‘i[ 40]
Patsy T. Mink PAC[ 40]
Hawaii Association of Realtors[ 44]
Hawaii Lodging and Tourism Association[ 44]
Publications
Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[ 45]
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Keith Amemiya
Ikaika Anderson
Sylvia Luke
Sherry Menor-McNamara
Jill Tokuda
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [ 46]
July 12–17, 2022
317 (LV)
± 5.6%
19%
18%
21%
4%
–
38%
MRG Research [ 47]
June 28–30, 2022
782 (LV)
± 4.0%
10%
14%
20%
7%
–
48%
April 27, 2022
Tokuda withdraws from the race
Mason-Dixon [ 48]
January 24–28, 2022
320 (LV)
± 5.6%
8%
9%
3%
7%
13%
60%
Results
Results by county: Luke—<40%
Anderson—<40%
Republican primary
Governor
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
Endorsements
Duke Aiona
Labor unions
State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union[ 59]
Publications
Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [ 19]
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Duke Aiona
Gary Cordery
Lynn Barry Mariano
Paul Morgan
B.J. Penn
Heidi Haunani Tsuneyoshi
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [ 21]
July 12–17, 2022
133 (LV)
± 8.7%
48%
–
–
–
26%
9%
17%
MRG Research [ 60]
June 28–30, 2022
269 (LV)
± 6.0%
27%
7%
3%
1%
24%
9%
29%
Results
Results by county: Aiona—50–60%
Aiona—40–50%
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Nominee
Seaula Tupa'i Jr., pastor[ 5]
Eliminated in primary
Rob Burns, realtor
Tae Kim, candidate for Honolulu prosecutor in 2020[ 5]
Results
Results by county: Tupai—60–70%
Tupai—50–60%
Nonpartisan primary
Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot.[ 61] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election.
Governor
Candidates
Eliminated in primary
Caleb Nazara, pastor
Keleionalani Taylor, activist
Results
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Nominee
Results
General election
Predictions
Endorsements
Josh Green (D)
Organizations
Labor unions
Publications
Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[ 19] (co-endorsed with Aiona)
Duke Aiona (R)
Labor unions
State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers[ 59]
Publications
Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[ 19] (co-endorsed with Green)
Results
By county
By county
County
Josh Green Democratic
Duke Aiona Republican
Margin
Total votes
#
%
#
%
#
%
Hawaii [ 73]
42,152
65.84
21,870
34.16
20,282
31.68
64,022
Honolulu [ 74]
170,575
62.36
102,968
37.64
67,607
24.72
273,543
Kauai [ 75]
14,227
59.63
9,632
40.37
4,595
19.26
23,859
Maui [ 76]
33,930
65.79
17,641
34.21
16,289
31.58
51,571
Totals
259,901
63.21
151,258
36.79
108,643
26.42
411,159
By congressional district
Green won both congressional districts.[ 77]
Notes
^ a b c Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
Partisan clients
^ a b This poll was sponsored by 314 Action , which endorsed Josh Green
References
^ "Hawaii election results" . The New York Times . November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 14, 2022 .
^ Blaze Lovell (November 8, 2022). "Hawaii Governor: Josh Green Easily Defeats Duke Aiona" . Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved November 14, 2022 .
^ a b Nagaoka, Ashley (August 15, 2019). "Believe it or not, race to replace Gov. Ige is already taking shape" . Hawaii News Now . Retrieved October 3, 2019 .
^ a b Blair, Chad (October 1, 2019). "Caldwell Schedules Campaign Fundraiser For Governor's Race" . Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved October 3, 2019 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "2022 Office of Elections Filing Report" . Hawaii Office of Elections . March 4, 2022. Retrieved March 11, 2022 .
^ Dayton, Kevin (July 15, 2021). "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Is Mulling A Run For Governor" . Honolulu Civil Beat .
^ "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Announces Run for Governor" . Hawai'i Public Radio . August 31, 2021. Retrieved September 10, 2021 .
^ "Vicky Cayetano launches Democratic gubernatorial campaign" . news.yahoo.com . August 31, 2021. Retrieved September 10, 2021 .
^ McIntire, Mary Ellen (April 28, 2022). "Report: Hawaii's Kahele to run for governor instead of reelection" . Roll Call . Retrieved May 2, 2022 .
^ Nakaso, Dan (May 7, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele announces bid for governor" . Retrieved May 7, 2022 .
^ Blair, Chad (May 4, 2022). "Kirk Caldwell Drops Out Of Race For Hawaii Governor" . Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved May 4, 2022 .
^ " 'Not my time': Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell drops out of race for governor" . Hawaii News Now . May 4, 2022. Retrieved May 4, 2022 .
^ Wells, Dylan (December 22, 2020). "NEW: Former Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI 01) is not ruling out running for governor in 2022. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. David Ige (D), who cannot run in 2022 because of term limits. #HIGov #Hileg" . National Journal . Retrieved December 22, 2020 .
^ Morales, Manolo (February 26, 2021). "Police Report Disputes Rep. Sharon Har's Statement about DUI Arrest" . KHON2 . Retrieved June 5, 2021 .
^ HPR News Staff (November 24, 2021). "Kauaʻi Mayor Derek Kawakami endorses Kirk Caldwell in governor's race" .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab Nakaso, Dan (July 4, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. Josh Green adds to long list" . Retrieved July 16, 2022 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k Nakaso, Dan (April 3, 2022). "Endorsements stacking up for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race" . Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Retrieved June 1, 2022 .
^ a b c d e f Dayton, Kevin (March 28, 2022). "Lt. Gov. Josh Green Is Racking Up Union Endorsements, Adding To His Momentum" . Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved June 1, 2022 .
^ a b c d Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board (July 24, 2022). "Editorial: For governor's race, it's Josh Green and Duke Aiona" .
^ a b "Congressman Kaialiʻi Kahele makes official announcement of run for Hawaiʻi Governor" . www.mauinow.com . May 7, 2022. Retrieved May 14, 2022 .
^ a b Mason-Dixon
^ MRG Research
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Mason-Dixon
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ a b c d e f "August 13, 2022 Primary Election - Statewide Summary" (PDF) . State of Hawaii - Office of Elections .
^ Blair, Chad (October 24, 2021). "Hawaii Rep. Sylvia Luke Plans To Run For Lieutenant Governor" . Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved October 27, 2021 .
^ "State Rep. Sylvia Luke announces run for lieutenant governor" . Hawaii News Now .
^ Nakaso, Dan (November 7, 2021). "Keith Amemiya joins race for lieutenant governor" . Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Retrieved November 8, 2021 .
^ "Ikaika Anderson Launches Campaign for Hawaii Lt. Governor" . October 12, 2021.
^ Nakaso, Dan (November 3, 2021). "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor" . Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Retrieved November 3, 2021 .
^ "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaiʻi's next lieutenant governor" . October 7, 2021.
^ Nakaso, Dan (April 26, 2022). "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat" . Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Retrieved May 4, 2022 .
^ Richardson, Mahealani (April 27, 2022). "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game' " . Hawaii News Now . Retrieved May 4, 2022 .
^ "Sergio Alcubilla for Congress" . Sergio Alcubilla for Congress . Archived from the original on July 13, 2021. Retrieved July 17, 2021 .
^ a b c "Chad Blair: Here's How Hawaii's Top 2022 Political Races Are Shaking Out" . August 19, 2021.
^ Nakaso, Dan (October 13, 2021). "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor" . Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Retrieved November 3, 2021 .
^ "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed" . October 13, 2021.
^ a b c d Ancheta, Dillon (October 12, 2021). "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. campaign launch" . Hawaii News Now . Retrieved December 5, 2021 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Nakaso, Dan (July 12, 2022). "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor" . Retrieved July 16, 2022 .
^ "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. race" . Hawaii News Now . Retrieved June 1, 2022 .
^ a b c d "Testimonials" . Sylvia Luke for LG . Retrieved July 3, 2024 .
^ "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor" . Hawaii News Now . March 22, 2022. Retrieved June 1, 2022 .
^ a b c d e f "Endorsements | Sylvia Luke for Lieutenant Governor | Honolulu" . Sylvia Luke for LG . Retrieved August 18, 2024 .
^ Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board (July 24, 2022). "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke" . Honolulu Star-Advertiser .
^ Mason-Dixon
^ MRG Research
^ Mason-Dixon
^ "Former Lt. Gov. James 'Duke' Aiona files papers to run for governor" . Hawaii News Now . June 7, 2022.
^ " 'We lack a moral compass': Duke Aiona finally explains his decision to join the race for governor" . Hawaii News Now . June 15, 2022.
^ "Vote Gary Cordery for Governor - Gary Cordery For Governor" . March 7, 2022.
^ "Hawaii veteran joins governor's race on Republican ticket" . February 2022.
^ "Paul Morgan To Officially Announce His Candidacy for Hawai'i Governor" . Retrieved September 9, 2021 .
^ "Paul Morgan For Governor" . Retrieved September 9, 2021 .
^ "Wanting to eliminate mandates, UFC fighter BJ Penn eyes run for governor" . October 5, 2021.
^ "City Councilmember Heidi Tsuneyoshi announces run for governor" . February 23, 2022.
^ Richardson, Mahealani (January 6, 2022). "Businessman's potential gubernatorial run could shake up general election race" . Hawaii News Now . Retrieved January 23, 2022 .
^ "City Council Member Andria Tupola Will Not Run for Governor Next Year" . August 5, 2021.
^ a b Dan Nakaso (July 20, 2022). "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor" .
^ MRG Research
^ "NONPARTISAN CANDIDATES IN PARTISAN CONTESTS" . Office of Elections . State of Hawaii.
^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved February 4, 2021 .
^ "Gubernatorial Ratings" . Inside Elections . Retrieved February 19, 2021 .
^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved March 11, 2021 .
^ "Hawaii Governor Race 2022" . Politico . April 1, 2022.
^ "2022 Governor Races" . RCP . January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022 .
^ "2022 Election Forecast" . Fox News . May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022 .
^ "2022 Election Forecast" . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022 .
^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings" . Elections Daily . Retrieved November 28, 2022 .
^ "Josh Green's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart" . justfacts.votesmart.org . Retrieved October 5, 2022 .
^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Education Votes . Retrieved October 29, 2022 .
^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022" (PDF) . Hawaii Office of Elections . November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 13, 2022 .
^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Hawaii - November 8, 2022" (PDF) . Hawaii Office of Elections . November 17, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022 .
^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - City and County of Honolulu - November 8, 2022" (PDF) . Hawaii Office of Elections . November 16, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022 .
^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Kauai - November 8, 2022" (PDF) . Hawaii Office of Elections . November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022 .
^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Maui - November 8, 2022" (PDF) . Hawaii Office of Elections . November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022 .
^ "Statement of vote" (PDF) . elections.hawaii.gov . Archived (PDF) from the original on December 4, 2024.
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