Poll results for the Norwegian parliamentary elections that were held in Norway on 13–14 September 2009. The results are shown in chronological order, with the oldest poll at the top of the list and the newest poll at the bottom of the list.
Poll results
Polling Firm
Date
Source
FrP
DNA
H
KrF
SV
Sp
V
Others
Norstat
2008-04
[1]
24.7%
29.4%
16.9%
7.1%
5.9%
5.3%
8.4%
2.3%
Response Analyse
2008-04
[2]
25.3%
31.6%
15.7%
5.7%
7.5%
5.5%
6.4%
2.3%
TNS Gallup
2008-04
[3]
23.5%
31.6%
18.2%
6.9%
6.4%
5.2%
4.9%
3.3%
Norstat
2008-05
[4]
30.8%
26.6%
17.0%
6.3%
6.9%
6.3%
5.3%
0.8%
Response Analyse
2008-05
[5]
24.8%
28.8%
19.0%
6.8%
7.0%
4.7%
7.0%
1.9%
TNS Gallup
2008-05
[6]
26.5%
26.3%
18.4%
6.0%
8.3%
4.7%
6.6%
3.2%
Sentio-Norsk Statistikk
2008-06
[7]
29.3%
23.9%
17.9%
6.7%
7.1%
5.2%
5.2%
4.7%
Norstat
2008-06
[8]
30.6%
26.0%
15.8%
6.3%
6.7%
6.3%
5.3%
3.0%
Response Analyse
2008-06
[9]
30.7%
26.4%
17.8%
4.7%
6.5%
5.3%
5.6%
3.0%
TNS Gallup
2008-06
[10]
28.3%
30.3%
16.5%
7.7%
6.1%
3.4%
5.2%
2.5%
Norstat
2008-07
[11]
30.7%
28.1%
16.1%
5.6%
5.7%
4.5%
5.6%
3.7%
Norstat
2008-08
[12]
32.1%
26.2%
16.2%
5.8%
7.0%
5.0%
5.1%
2.6%
TNS Gallup
2008-08
[13]
30.4%
29.2%
15.4%
4.8%
5.7%
4.2%
6.3%
4.0%
Norstat
2008-09
[14]
30.7%
29.3%
13.8%
6.5%
6.0%
5.5%
5.4%
2.8%
Response Analyse
2008-09
[15]
31.7%
27.9%
14.6%
5.8%
6.1%
5.6%
5.9%
2.4%
Norstat
2008-10
[16]
26.3%
32.2%
15.2%
5.7%
7.5%
4.5%
5.9%
2.8%
Norstat
2008-11
[17]
27.5%
31.1%
14.5%
6.6%
8.5%
4.8%
5.5%
1.5%
TNS Gallup
2008-12
[18]
21.6%
32.4%
16.7%
5.4%
7.9%
6.1%
5.8%
4.1%
Response Analyse
2008-12
[19]
21.5%
32.5%
18.2%
6.7%
7.2%
5.9%
6.1%
0.9%
Opinion
2008-12
[20]
25.1%
27.5%
19.1%
6.2%
7.5%
5.4%
5.1%
4.1%
Norstat
2008-12
[21]
25.7%
30.7%
17.1%
6.1%
8.1%
5.3%
5.1%
1.2%
Sentio
2008-12
[22] [permanent dead link ]
24.0%
29.9%
16.8%
6.2%
8.5%
5.9%
5.8%
1.4%
Opinion
2009-01
[23]
28.6%
28.7%
15.2%
5.6%
8.1%
6.0%
5.1%
2.6%
Sentio
2009-01
[24]
24.5%
36.5%
13.9%
5.9%
6.8%
5.3%
4.5%
2.4%
Synovate
2009-01
[25]
19.5%
34.5%
16.6%
5.2%
9.2%
5.5%
5.4%
4.1%
Norstat
2009-02
[26]
21.6%
35.4%
15.8%
5.2%
6.8%
5.5%
6.6%
3.0%
Synovate
2009-02
[27]
20.8%
35.1%
15.6%
5.9%
8.4%
4.7%
6.8%
2.8%
Norstat
2009-02
[28]
29.4%
33.0%
12.6%
5.2%
7.1%
6.5%
5.9%
2.5%
In fact
2009-03
[29]
27.2%
32.2%
13.2%
6.5%
6.9%
6.6%
5.0%
2.4%
Norfakta
2009-03
[30]
28.0%
31.0%
14.7%
6.9%
6.9%
4.6%
4.7%
3.8%
Norstat
2009-03
[31]
30.1%
31.3%
14.1%
5.7%
6.6%
5.0%
5.3%
1.9%
Norstat
2009-03
[32]
29.7%
31.7%
13.3%
7.3%
6.9%
5.0%
3.7%
2.3%
Opinion
2009-03
[33]
30.9%
28.4%
13.2%
5.6%
6.4%
6.8%
6.1%
2.6%
Response Analyse
2009-03
[34]
25.4%
32.8%
14.2%
6.1%
6.0%
5.9%
6.5%
3.2%
Sentio
2009-03
[35]
26.9%
32.9%
14.7%
6.5%
6.1%
5.7%
4.5%
2.7%
Synovate
2009-03
[36]
23.7%
36.2%
11.5%
4.7%
9.9%
5.5%
5.0%
3.4%
TNB
2009-03
[37]
27.4%
32.4%
13.9%
6.1%
7.0%
5.6%
5.0%
2.7%
TNS Gallup/TV2
2009-03
[38]
24.7%
35.5%
15.6%
5.2%
7.0%
5.1%
4.5%
2.6%
Sentio/BT
2009-04-02
[39]
29.6%
31.5%
13.3%
5.9%
7.1%
5.3%
4.7%
2.6%
TNS Gallup/TV2
2009-04-02
[40]
26.0%
35.7%
12.6%
5.1%
7.7%
5.9%
3.4%
3.5%
Norstat/NRK
2009-04-09
[41]
26.4%
31.7%
13.7%
7.2%
7.0%
6.8%
4.6%
2.7%
In fact/VG
2009-04-17
[42]
25.8%
29.1%
17.6%
6.0%
7.2%
5.1%
5.2%
4.0%
Sentio/DN
2009-04-17
[43]
28.4%
29.7%
13.9%
9.0%
5.7%
5.3%
5.0%
3.0%
Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen
2009-04-18
[44]
27.7%
33.6%
14.1%
6.6%
5.5%
4.7%
5.3%
2.5%
Opinion/ANB
2009-04-23
[45]
28.5%
29.1%
13.9%
7.6%
5.9%
5.8%
6.2%
3.0%
Opinion/ANB
2009-04-23
[46]
30.3%
34.5%
10.8%
4.8%
6.5%
6.5%
4.2%
2.3%
Synovate/Dagbladet
2009-04-25
[47]
25.2%
35.2%
14.0%
7.3%
6.4%
6.0%
3.9%
2.1%
TNS Gallup/TV2
2009-05-04
[48]
24.2%
33.0%
14.3%
5.3%
8.9%
4.2%
5.9%
4.2%
Norstat/NRK
2009-05-07
[49]
27.7%
34.1%
11.9%
6.5%
6.7%
5.8%
5.9%
1.5%
Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen
2009-05-09
[50]
26.9%
31.1%
13.9%
6.5%
8.2%
6.1%
4.8%
3.3%
Opinion/ANB
2009-05-14
[51]
28.5%
29.0%
13.0%
5.9%
7.1%
4.3%
8.7%
3.3%
Sentio/DN
2009-05-15
[52]
30.3%
31.5%
13.2%
5.8%
6.3%
4.0%
5.8%
3.0%
Response/Aftenposten
2009-05-15
[53]
24.0%
35.8%
15.3%
5.3%
5.8%
4.7%
5.9%
3.2%
Response/VG
2009-05-15
[54]
25.9%
33.3%
15.9%
6.5%
6.0%
6.0%
3.7%
2.5%
Response/Aftenposten
2009-06-12
[55]
26.1%
35.4%
13.5%
5.8%
5.5%
4.3%
5.6%
3.8%
Sentio/DN
2009-06-13
[56]
29.3%
23.9%
17.9%
6.5%
7.1%
5.2%
5.2%
4.9%
Norstat/Vårt Land
2009-06-26
[57]
28.6%
29.4%
13.4%
5.7%
8.3%
6.3%
5.9%
2.4%
Norfakta
2009-07-06
[58]
29.8%
32.6%
13.0%
5.7%
6.7%
5.3%
4.6%
2.4%
Average polling
The following table gives the average of 10 monthly opinion polls (9 before December 2008 - Synovate, Opinion, Gallup, Sentio BT, Sentio DN, Norstat NRK, Norstat VL, Response, In fact and, from December 2008, Norfakta).[ 1] [ 2]
Party
Result, Parliam. election 2005
Result, County elections 2007
Aug 2008
Sep 2008
Oct 2008
Nov 2008
Dec 2008
Jan 2009
Feb 2009
Mar 2009
Apr 2009
May 2009
Jun 2009
Jul 2009
Aug 2009
Labour
32.7%
30.8%
26.5%
29.0%
30.6%
31.4%
30.7%
33.9%
34.2%
32.8%
32.5%
32.9%
32.9%
33.1%
32.4%
Progress
22.1%
18.5%
30.8%
29.6%
26.5%
24.2%
23.7%
23.2%
24.1%
27.3%
27.0%
26.4%
26.0%
28.2%
25.7%
Conservative
14.1%
18.8%
16.3%
15.4%
16.1%
15.9%
17.4%
16.1%
15.1%
13.8%
13.9%
13.8%
13.5%
12.9%
13.8%
Socialist Left
8.8%
6.5%
6.7%
6.5%
7.3%
7.7%
7.8%
7.5%
7.1%
7.0%
7.1%
7.5%
7.3%
7.2%
8.1%
Christian Democratic
6.8%
6.7%
5.5%
5.6%
5.6%
6.6%
6.3%
6.0%
6.0%
6.2%
6.0%
6.0%
5.8%
5.9%
6.1%
Centre
6.5%
7.8%
5.2%
5.0%
5.3%
5.5%
5.7%
5.5%
4.9%
5.5%
5.8%
5.0%
5.8%
5.1%
5.6%
Liberal
5.9%
5.6%
6.1%
5.8%
5.6%
5.7%
5.5%
4.8%
6.0%
5.0%
4.9%
5.4%
5.6%
4.8%
5.2%
Red
1.2%
2.1%
1.7%
1.6%
1.4%
1.6%
1.6%
1.6%
1.5%
1.2%
1.3%
1.5%
1.5%
1.6%
1.6%
Others
1.9%
3.2%
0.1%
1.4%
0.2%
1.2%
1.4%
1.0%
1.1%
1.4%
1.5%
1.3%
1.4%
1.1%
1.6%
The following table gives the average of poll results through the electoral campaign, the last six weeks before the election.[ 1] The biggest surprise was the successful campaign of the Conservative Party, which saw a great increase in its poll results at the cost of the Progress Party, up until the election day.[ 3]
Party
Week 32
Week 33
Week 34
Week 35
Week 36
Week 37
Labour
32.7%
31.9%
32.1%
33.0%
32.0%
33.4%
Progress
26.2%
26.4%
26.5%
23.7%
23.7%
23.0%
Conservative
13.2%
14.3%
13.6%
14.8%
14.9%
16.1%
Socialist Left
7.2%
7.1%
7.3%
8.5%
7.5%
7.0%
Christian Democratic
6.4%
6.1%
6.0%
5.9%
6.5%
6.7%
Centre
6.5%
5.9%
5.8%
5.8%
6.5%
5.8%
Liberal
4.9%
5.2%
5.7%
4.9%
5.6%
5.2%
Red
1.2%
1.7%
1.6%
2.0%
1.8%
1.8%
NRK polling
Polls During the Campaign
Polling firm
Month
Lab.
Pro.
Con.
Soc.
Cen.
Chr.
Lib.
Red
Norstat NRK [ 4]
August 2008
26%
30.6%
15.8%
6.7%
6.3%
6.3%
5.3%
1.7%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
September
29.5%
29.2%
13.3%
8.4%
5.3%
5.8%
4.5%
1.3%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
October
32.5%
26.3%
15.2%
7.5%
4.5%
5.7%
5.9%
1.5%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
November
31.1%
27.5%
14.5%
8.5%
4.8%
6.6%
5.5%
0.8%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
December
30.7%
25.9%
17.1%
8.1%
5.3%
6.1%
5.1%
1.2%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
January 2009
33.2%
24.4%
17.6%
6.6%
4.8%
7.1%
4.2%
0.7%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
February
35.4%
21.6%
15.8%
6.8%
5.5%
5.2%
6.6%
1.3%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
March
31.3%
30.1%
14.1%
6.6%
5%
5.7%
5.3%
0.8%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
April
31.7%
26.4%
13.7%
7%
6.8%
7.2%
4.6%
1%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
May
34.1%
27.7%
11.9%
6.7%
5.8%
6.5%
5.9%
0.2%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
June
33%
29.7%
12%
7.1%
4.9%
6.1%
4.2%
0.8%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
July
33.2%
28.1%
11.3%
7.1%
6%
6.6%
4.9%
1.2%
Norstat NRK[ 4]
August
33%
25.1%
13.6%
7.1%
6%
6.6%
4.9%
0.8%
Norstat NRK[ 5]
September (9)
35%
24%
13.1%
5.8%
6.2%
6.9%
6%
2.1%
Synovate NRK[ 6]
September (10)
33.8%
21.4%
14.5%
9.1%
5.9%
6.9%
4.7%
2.3%
Results [ 7]
Election day
35.4%
22.9%
17.2%
6.2%
6.2%
5.5%
3.9%
1.3%
References
^ a b From the homepage of Professor of Political Science at the University of Oslo, Bernt Aardal in Norwegian
^ TV2, Partibarometeret in Norwegian
^ Sør-Trøndelag og Trondheim Høyre, "Historisk Høyre-valgkamp [permanent dead link ] "
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Politiske meningsmålinger" (in Norwegian). NRK . December 2008 – August 2009. Retrieved November 28, 2009 .
^ Haugland, Tor Helge; Bakken, Laila Ø. (September 9, 2009). "Dødt løp fem dager før valget" (in Norwegian). NRK . Retrieved November 28, 2009 .
^ Knudsen, Sjur Øveråsen (September 12, 2009). "Rødgrønt på siste måling" (in Norwegian). NRK . Retrieved November 28, 2009 .
^ "Valg 2009 Landsoversikt - Stortingsvalget" (in Norwegian). Regjeringen.no. Archived from the original on September 26, 2009. Retrieved September 15, 2009 .