2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina

2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina
	Scott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Dixon: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50% No votes
U.S. senator before election; Tim Scott; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Tim Scott; Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.

Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.^[1]

This was the second U.S. Senate election in South Carolina (and the second of three consecutive elections for this seat) where both major party nominees were black, and the third overall since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment.^[a]

Background

Two-term Republican senator Jim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President of The Heritage Foundation and U.S. Representative Tim Scott of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley.^[2] Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Tim Scott, incumbent U.S. Senator^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Thomas Dixon, pastor and community activist (also running with Green Party nomination)^[3]

Declined

Joyce Dickerson, Richland County Councilwoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for reelection)^[4]^[5]

General election

Candidates

Tim Scott (Republican), incumbent U.S. Senator^[6]
Thomas Dixon (Democratic, Green), pastor and community activist^[6]
Bill Bledsoe (Libertarian, Constitution)^[6]
Michael Scarborough (American), attorney^[6]^[7]

Debates

Dates	Location	Scott	Dixon	Link
October 24, 2016	Greenville, South Carolina	Participant	Participant	^[8]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[9]	Safe R	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[10]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[11]	Safe R	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos^[12]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics^[13]	Safe R	November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Thomas Dixon (D)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey^[14]	November 1–7, 2016	1,698	± 4.6%	59%	38%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey^[15]	October 31–November 6, 2016	1,642	± 4.6%	58%	39%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey^[16]	October 28–November 3, 2016	1,583	± 4.6%	58%	39%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey^[17]	October 27–November 2, 2016	1,501	± 4.6%	58%	39%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey^[18]	October 26–November 1, 2016	1,588	± 4.6%	57%	40%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey^[19]	October 25–31, 2016	1,762	± 4.6%	56%	39%	–	5%
Starboard Communications (R)^[20]	September 7–9, 2016	600	± 4.8%	58%	22%	–	16%
Public Policy Polling^[21]	August 9–10, 2016	1,290	± 2.7%	45%	30%^[22]	6%^[23]	20%

Hypothetical polling

with Joyce Dickerson

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Joyce Dickerson (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[24]	November 7–8, 2015	1,290	± 2.7%	53%	25%	23%

with Bakari Sellers

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Bakari Sellers (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[25]	February 12–15, 2015	868	± 3.3%	56%	28%	16%

with Leon Lott

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Leon Lott (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[25]	February 12–15, 2015	868	± 3.3%	54%	27%	19%

with Jim Hodges

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Jim Hodges (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[25]	February 12–15, 2015	868	± 3.3%	54%	32%	15%

Results

United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016^[26]^[27]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Tim Scott (incumbent)	1,241,609	60.57%	−0.55%
	Democratic	Thomas Dixon^[28]	757,022	36.93%	−0.16%
	Libertarian	Bill Bledsoe^[29]	37,482	1.83%	N/A
	American	Michael Scarborough	11,923	0.58%	−1.17%
	n/a	Write-ins	1,857	0.09%	+0.05%
Total votes			2,049,893	100.0%	N/A
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Calhoun (largest town: St. Matthews)
Clarendon (Largest city: Manning)

By congressional district

Scott won 6 of 7 congressional districts.^[30]

District	Scott	Dixon	Representative
1st	65%	33%	Mark Sanford
2nd	63%	34%	Joe Wilson
3rd	71%	27%	Jeff Duncan
4th	67%	30%	Trey Gowdy
5th	59%	38%	Mick Mulvaney
6th	35%	63%	Jim Clyburn
7th	61%	37%	Tom Rice

References

^ ^a ^b Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
^ Jeff Zeleny (December 17, 2012). "Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator". The New York Times.
^ Rindge, Brenda (February 22, 2016). "Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott". The Post and Courier. Archived from the original on October 13, 2016. Retrieved February 23, 2016.
^ "SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R)". Politics1. Twitter. November 2, 2015. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
^ "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved March 18, 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
^ Crowder, Mike (May 15, 2016). "American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices". WRHI. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
^ Full debate - C-SPAN
^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
^ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyMonkey
^ Starboard Communications (R) Archived September 14, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G
^ Bill Bledsoe (L) with 4% and Michael Scarborough (A) with 2%
^ Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b ^c Public Policy Polling
^ "2016 Statewide General Election official results". South Carolina State Election Commission. Retrieved December 20, 2016.
^ "2016 South Carolina Senatorial Election Turnout Data". Archived from the original on December 20, 2016. Retrieved December 10, 2016.
^ Aggregated total includes 37,610 votes Dixon received under the Working Families Party, and 14,872 votes received under the Green Party.
^ Aggregated total includes 12,652 votes received under the Constitution Party.
^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 19, 2024.

Notes

^ After Illinois in 2004 and South Carolina in 2014.

External links

[RCRG-1] Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.

[3] Jeff Zeleny (December 17, 2012). "Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator". The New York Times.

[4] Rindge, Brenda (February 22, 2016). "Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott". The Post and Courier. Archived from the original on October 13, 2016. Retrieved February 23, 2016.

[politics1-dickerson-5] "SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R)". Politics1. Twitter. November 2, 2015. Retrieved March 14, 2016.

[scelectioncommission-6] "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved March 18, 2016.

[candidates-7] "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved August 14, 2016.

[8] Crowder, Mike (May 15, 2016). "American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices". WRHI. Retrieved August 9, 2016.

[9] Full debate - C-SPAN

[10] "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.

[11] "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.

[12] "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.

[13] "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.

[14] "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.

[15] SurveyMonkey

[16] SurveyMonkey

[17] SurveyMonkey

[18] SurveyMonkey

[19] SurveyMonkey

[20] SurveyMonkey

[21] Starboard Communications (R) Archived September 14, 2016, at the Wayback Machine

[22] Public Policy Polling

[23] Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G

[24] Bill Bledsoe (L) with 4% and Michael Scarborough (A) with 2%

[25] Public Policy Polling

[Public_Policy_Polling-26] Public Policy Polling

[SCGeneral-27] "2016 Statewide General Election official results". South Carolina State Election Commission. Retrieved December 20, 2016.

[28] "2016 South Carolina Senatorial Election Turnout Data". Archived from the original on December 20, 2016. Retrieved December 10, 2016.

[29] Aggregated total includes 37,610 votes Dixon received under the Working Families Party, and 14,872 votes received under the Green Party.

[30] Aggregated total includes 12,652 votes received under the Constitution Party.

[31] "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 19, 2024.

[Senate_elections-2] After Illinois in 2004 and South Carolina in 2014.

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2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina

Background

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

References

Notes

External links

Information related to 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina

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