Map of the results Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold Republican gain New Progressive gain Nonpartisan politician No election
United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 8, 2016, in 12 states and two territories. The last regular gubernatorial elections for nine of the 12 states took place in 2012. The last gubernatorial elections for New Hampshire, Oregon, and Vermont took place in 2014, as Oregon held a special election due to the resignation of Governor John Kitzhaber, while the governors of New Hampshire and Vermont both serve two-year terms. The 2016 gubernatorial elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, including the presidential election, Senate, and House elections.
However, Governor Jim Justice of West Virginia switched his party affiliation to Republican shortly after his inauguration, thereby increasing the number of Republican governors to 34, tying their record set in the 1921 United States gubernatorial elections. As of 2024, this is the last time that Democrats won gubernatorial elections in Montana and West Virginia.
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each state, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
"tossup": no advantage
"tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
"lean": slight advantage
"likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
Former Secretary of State Brad Johnson and businessman Mark Perea ran for the Republican nomination,[40] but were defeated by businessman Greg Gianforte. Montana Attorney GeneralTim Fox had been speculated as a potential candidate, but instead chose to run for re-election.[41]
Bullock won re-election, taking 50.2% of the vote. Gianforte won 46.4% of the vote.[12]
Executive Councilor Chris Sununu, state representative and entrepreneur Frank Edelblut, and Jon Lavoie ran for the Republican nomination.[43] Sununu defeated his challengers for the Republican nomination.
Despite most pre-election polling suggesting a Democratic win, Sununu narrowly won election with 49% of the vote. Van Ostern won 46.7% and Libertarian Max Abramson won 4.3% of the vote.[12]
One-term incumbent GovernorPat McCrory ran for re-election.[46] McCrory was elected in 2012 with 54.7% of the vote. McCrory previously served as Mayor of Charlotte from 1995 to 2009.
One-term incumbent GovernorJack Dalrymple declined to seek re-election.[52] Dalrymple was elected to his first full term with 63.1% of the vote in 2012, after first taking the seat in 2010 after John Hoeven resigned to become a U.S. Senator. Dalrymple was previously Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota from 2000 to 2010.
Republican candidates included Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem,[53] businessman Doug Burgum,[54] and State Representative and plastic surgeon Rick Becker. Burgum won the nomination.
Potential Democratic candidates included former Congressman Earl Pomeroy, state Senator George B. Sinner and state Senate Minority Leader Mac Schneider.[53] Former Agriculture Commissioner Sarah Vogel formed an exploratory a campaign but announced on Jan. 28, 2016 that she will not run for governor. Senator Heidi Heitkamp declined to run for governor.[55] State representative Marvin Nelson won his party's nomination.
Burgum won the election, taking 76.7% of the vote, while Nelson won 19.4%.[12]
GovernorJohn Kitzhaber, who won reelection in 2014 with 49.9% of the vote, announced his pending resignation on February 13, 2015, amid controversy surrounding his fiancée's consulting contracts and work within his administration.[58]Kate Brown, Oregon's Secretary of State, was sworn in as governor on February 18, 2015, upon Kitzhaber's resignation. In accordance with the Constitution of Oregon, a special election was held in 2016 for the remainder of the term to which Kitzhaber was elected in 2014. Brown ran against Republican Bud Pierce, an Oncologist from Salem.[59]
Brown won the election, taking 50.5% of the vote compared to Pierce's 43.8%.[12] In winning, Kate Brown became the first openly LGBTQ Governor elected in the United States.[60]
Three-term incumbent GovernorPeter Shumlin declined to seek re-election.[66] He was re-elected with 46.4% of the vote in 2014. As he did not receive a majority of the vote, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose the winner. The Vermont Assembly chose Shumlin over Republican nominee Scott Milne by 110 votes to 69.[67]
Sue Minter defeated former state senator Matt Dunne for the Democratic nomination for governor.[68] House Speaker Shap Smith withdrew from the race. Former lieutenant governor Doug Racine declined to run for governor.[69][70]
Lieutenant Governor Phil Scott won the Republican nomination.[68] Former state senator and former Vermont Auditor of AccountsRandy Brock and 2014 Republican nominee Scott Milne declined to run for governor. Former Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Dan Feliciano was a potential candidate.[69][70]
Scott won the election, taking 52.9% compared to Minter's 44.2%.[12]
President of the Senate Bill Cole, college student and former candidate for Mayor of Pineville Andrew Utterback, and former Bramwell Police Chief and former Democratic candidate for House of Delegates Edwin Vanover ran for the Republican nomination. U.S. Representatives David McKinley and Evan Jenkins declined to run for governor. West Virginia Attorney GeneralPatrick Morrisey had been considered a potential Republican candidate, but instead chose to run for re-election. Potential Republican candidates included State Delegate Erikka Storch and Olympic gymnast Mary Lou Retton.[81] Cole won the Republican nomination.
Justice won the election, taking 49.1% of the vote. Cole won 42.3%, while Charlotte Pritt of the Mountain Party won 5.9% of the vote.[12] Just months after assuming office, Justice switched to the Republican Party.[82]
One-term incumbent GovernorLolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga ran for re-election.[90] Moliga was elected in 2012 with 52.9% of the vote in the second round, after taking 33.5% of the vote in the first round. American Samoa requires a second round of voting if no candidate takes a majority of the vote in the first round.
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