Opinion polling for the 2004 Canadian federal election
Polls leading up to the 2004 Canadian federal election .
Graphical summary
Voting intentions during the 2004 Canadian federal election campaign Liberal Party of Canada
Conservative Party of Canada
NDP
Bloc québécois
Green Party of Canada
National polls
Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
BQ
GPC
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
Voting results
36.7
29.6
15.7
12.4
4.3
June 24, 2004
33
32
17
13
5
Léger
2,407
± 2.0
PDF
June 24, 2004
34
30
20
12
4
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 24, 2004
32.6
31.8
19.0
11.2
4.9
Ekos
4,159
± 1.4
PDF
June 23, 2004
32
31
17
12
6
Ipsos
2,000
± 2.2
HTML
June 23, 2004
34
33
15
13
5
Compass
800
—
PDF
June 23, 2004
34
30
21
12
3
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 22, 2004
34
31
21
12
3
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 22, 2004
33
33
18
11
5
Environics
1,444
± 2.5
PDF
June 21, 2004
34
31
21
10
4
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 20, 2004
34
28
16
13
6
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
June 20, 2004
33
33
18
12
5
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 18, 2004
34
29
22
10
5
Nanos
—
—
—
June 17, 2004
29
32
16
12
7
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
June 16, 2004
32
32
21
12
4
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 16, 2004
32
34
19
12
3
Nanos
—
—
—
June 16, 2004
34
35
16
12
4
Léger
612
± 3.3
PDF
June 16, 2004
35
34
17
11
3
Compas
600
± 4.0
PDF
Leaders Debate in English (June 15, 2004)
Leaders Debate in French (June 14, 2004)
June 13, 2004
31
32
17
12
6
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
June 13, 2004
33
34
18
11
5
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 10, 2004
33
34
18
11
5
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 9, 2004
32
37
17
10
5
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 9, 2004
30
34
19
12
—
Ekos
2,117
± 2.1
PDF
June 8, 2004
33
37
15
10
5
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 8, 2004
32
31
16
11
7
Ipsos
2,003
± 2.2
HTML
June 7, 2004
31
35
16
11
6
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 7, 2004
33
30
19
12
5
Léger
1,500
± 2.5
PDF
June 7, 2004
32
34
20
11
4
Nanos
—
—
—
June 3, 2004
32
31
17
11
6
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
June 3, 2004
37
34
17
9
3
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 2, 2004
35
32
19
9
4
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
June 1, 2004
37
29
19
11
5
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
May 31, 2004
35
30
17
12
5
Léger
2,411
± 1.8
PDF
May 31, 2004
36
25
22
13
5
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
May 30, 2004
36
26
20
13
5
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
May 30, 2004
34
30
16
11
6
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
May 29, 2004
34
31
19
12
3
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
May 27, 2004
38
30
18
11
—
Ekos
1,306
± 2.7
PDF
May 27, 2004
40
31
16
10
3
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
May 26, 2004
42
29
17
10
2
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
May 25, 2004
41
28
18
11
3
SES
600
± 4.1
PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
During the 37th Parliament of Canada
After the creation of the Conservative Party
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
BQ
GPC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
Dissolution of the 37th Parliament of Canada (May 23, 2004)
May 13, 2004
40
25
15
—
—
—
Ipsos
2,000
± 2.2
[ 1]
May 6, 2004
38
26
16
—
5
—
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
April 28, 2004
40
23
18
11
5
—
Ipsos
946
± 3.2
HTML
April 24, 2004
38
26
17
12
5
—
Leger
1,136
± 2.5
PDF
April 18, 2004
39
29
19
11
—
2
Environics
1,940
± 2.2
HTML
April 8, 2004
35
28
18
10
5
—
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
March 25, 2004
38
27
15
10
5
—
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
March 22, 2004
38
26
16
13
—
—
Leger
1,500
± 2.5
PDF
Stephen Harper becomes leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (March 20, 2004)
March 7, 2004
38
26
17
12
4
2
Ipsos
2,111
—
PDF
February 25, 2004
42
32
15
9
—
2
Ekos
1,200
± 3.1
HTML
February 12, 2004
39
24
18
10
5
3
Ipsos
944
± 3.1
PDF
January 29, 2004
48
23
15
11
3
0
SES
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
January 27, 2004
49
21
15
11
—
—
Leger
1,115
± 2.5
PDF
January 15, 2004
48
19
16
10
4
4
Ipsos
1,055
± 3.1
PDF
December 29, 2003
51
24
15
8
—
2
Environics
1,936
± 2.2
1 2
Paul Martin becomes Prime Minister of Canada (December 12, 2003)
Creation of the Conservative Party of Canada (7/12/2003)
Before the creation of the Conservative Party
Last day of survey
LPC
NDP
BQ
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
November 27, 2003
43
15
9
5
10
14
4
Ipsos
1,057
± 3.1
PDF
November 9, 2003
49
12
10
—
12
16
1
SES
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
October 23, 2003
46
11
8
4
11
15
4
Ipsos
—
—
PDF
September 2, 2003
46
15
8
—
13
19
0
SES
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
June 9, 2003
54
10
5
—
11
17
—
Ekos
1,501
± 2.5
PDF
June 6, 2003
44
14
8
—
16
16
—
Environics
1,926
± 2.2
HTML
June 5, 2003
45
11
9
5
14
15
—
Ipsos
1,006
± 3.1
HTML
Peter MacKay becomes leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (May 31, 2003)
May 25, 2003
55
10
8
—
12
14
—
Leger
1,181
± 2.5
PDF
May 23, 2003
52
10
7
—
12
18
—
SES
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
April 17, 2003
50
10
9
4
14
13
—
Ipsos
1,009
—
PDF
March 27, 2003
44
14
9
—
16
15
2
Environics
1,943
± 2.3
HTML
February 20, 2003
47.3
17.2
7.6
—
10.7
14.1
—
Ekos
1,006
± 3.1
PDF
February 11, 2003
48
14
7
—
13
16
—
SES
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
Jack Layton becomes leader of the NDP (January 25, 2003)
January 16, 2003
52
14
7
—
11
14
—
Ekos
1,001
± 3.1
PDF
January 14, 2003
43
15
9
—
17
15
1
Environics
3,879
± 1.6
HTML
December 12, 2002
41
12
8
6
16
17
0
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
December 4, 2002
47
11
8
—
16
14
—
Ekos
1,205
± 2.8
PDF
November 3, 2002
49
13
7
—
12
16
—
SES
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
September 30, 2002
44
13
9
4
15
15
1
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
July 14, 2002
41
13
8
—
16
18
4
Ipsos
971
± 3.2
PDF
July 2, 2002
46
12
8
—
18
12
—
SES
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
June 18, 2002
46
14
7
—
17
14
—
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
June 20, 2002
43
14
10
—
17
10
—
Ipsos
2,000
± 2.2
PDF
June 9, 2002
41
9
10
—
18
15
—
Leger
1,500
± 2.5
PDF
June 6, 2002
50
11
8
—
17
13
—
Ekos
1,225
± 2.8
HTML
May 30, 2002
43
13
10
—
18
15
—
Ipsos
2,000
± 2.2
HTML
May 29, 2002
46
13
8
—
17
13
—
Ekos
1,217
± 2.8
PDF
April 24, 2002
49
10
6
—
19
16
—
SES
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
March 28, 2002
45
10
10
—
15
15
—
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
HTML
March 24, 2002
44
10
9
—
13
16
8
Leger
1,503
± 2.6
PDF
February 21, 2002
47
10
10
—
12
16
5
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
December 12, 2001
54
10
7
—
11
16
—
Ekos
1,200
± 2.8
July 29, 2001
52
9
8
—
10
18
—
Ekos
3,004
± 1.8
PDF
July 23, 2001
49
9
9
—
11
20
3
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.2
PDF
July 13, 2001
48
9
9
—
10
16
—
Leger
1,508
± 2.6
PDF
June 10, 2001
46
11
8
—
13
20
2
Environics
1,970
± 2.3
HTML
June 8, 2001
48
9
10
—
10
21
2
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
May 31, 2001
50
9
10
—
11
16
—
Leger
1,504
± 2.6
[ 2]
May 30, 2001
55
7
5
—
9
19
5
Gallup
1,017
± 3.1
[ 3]
May 27, 2001
50
10
10
—
11
17
3
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
April 26, 2001
49
11
9
—
13
15
3
Ipsos
1,000
± 3.1
PDF
April 24, 2001
43
10
9
—
19
15
2
Environics
1,966
± 2.2
HTML
March 29, 2001
48
7
9
—
19
15
2
Ipsos
1,003
± 3.1
PDF
March 10, 2001
44
11
—
—
19
14
5
Ipsos
803
± 3.5
HTML
January 31, 2001
49
8
7
—
21
13
—
Ekos
1,491
—
HTML
January 15, 2001
45
10
8
—
23
11
3
Environics
2,114
± 2.2
HTML
2000 Election
40.85
8.51
10.72
0.81
25.49
12.19
1.43
Regional polls
Atlantic Canada
Evolution of voting intentions in the provinces of Atlantic
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
Voting result [ 4]
43.8
30.0
22.6
3.0
—
—
0.5
June 24, 2004
45
24
25
4
—
—
—
Nanos
—
—
June 24, 2004
39
33
28
0
—
—
0
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 23, 2004
44
23
26
7
—
—
0
Ipsos
154
—
PDF
June 20, 2004
37
41
15
2
—
—
5
Ipsos
77
—
PDF
June 9, 2004
43
28
25
4
—
—
0
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 7, 2004
42
29
22
—
—
—
6
Léger
—
—
PDF
May 31, 2004
41
30
21
6
—
—
2
Léger
—
—
PDF
May 30, 2004
41
30
26
2
—
—
—
SES
87
± 11.0
PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
May 20, 2004
50
21
24
1
—
—
3
Ipsos
60
—
PDF
April 25, 2004
46
34
19
1
—
—
—
SES
100
± 10.0
PDF
March 22, 2004
36
39
18
—
—
—
6
Léger
—
—
PDF
April 17, 2003
53
—
21
0
5
22
0
Ipsos
100
—
PDF
February 20, 2003
55
—
15
—
5
23
2
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 16, 2003
59
—
11
—
3
26
2
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 14, 2003
49
—
14
—
7
28
1
Environics
467
± 4.6
HTML
December 12, 2002
46
—
14
0
5
34
0
Ipsos
79
—
PDF
July 18, 2002
53
—
12
—
6
27
2
Ipsos
90
—
PDF
June 20, 2002
50
—
15
—
9
25
1
Ipsos
182
—
PDF
June 9, 2002
55
—
11
—
5
22
7
Léger
100
—
PDF
May 30, 2002
53
—
13
—
9
25
0
Ipsos
167
—
PDF
April 2002
37
—
22
—
12
23
5
Léger
100
—
PDF
March 28, 2002
49
—
15
—
4
31
1
Ipsos
90
—
PDF
February 21, 2002
57
—
7
—
2
28
6
Ipsos
92
—
PDF
August 29, 2001
54
—
12
—
2
31
1
Ekos
—
—
PDF
August 13, 2001
50
—
19
—
5
23
4
Léger
—
—
PDF
July 10, 2001
51
—
12
—
9
27
1
Environics
236
± 6.5
HTML
May 27, 2001
61
—
11
—
5
23
0
Ipsos
93
—
PDF
April 24, 2001
46
—
12
—
11
29
1
Environics
234
± 6.5
HTML
April 2001
51
—
13
—
6
26
3
Léger
119
—
PDF
March 29, 2001
59
—
6
—
11
24
0
Ipsos
89
—
PDF
Central Canada
Quebec
During the election campaign
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
BQ
GPC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
Election
33.9
8.8
4.6
48.9
3.2
3.8
June 24, 2004
28
11
7
51
3
—
SES
286
± 5.9
PDF
June 24, 2004
32
11
5
48
—
4[ note 1]
Leger
1,101
± 3.2
PDF
June 24, 2004
28
11
7
51
3
—
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 23, 2004
29
9
5
48
5
3
Ipsos
460
—
PDF
June 22, 2004
25
10
10
50
—
4
Environics
—
—
HTML
June 21, 2004
26
13
6
50
—
—
CROP
606
± 4.0
PDF
June 20, 2004
23
8
9
53
3
3
Ipsos
247
—
HTML
June 17, 2004
22
13
9
48
7
2
Ipsos
247
—
PDF
June 16, 2004
36
9
7
46
—
2
Compas
—
—
PDF
June 16, 2004
30
13
6
48
—
3
Leger
874
± 3.1
PDF
June 16, 2004
30
9
5
52
5
—
SES
173
± 7.6
PDF
June 15, 2004
31
15
7
46
—
1
Leger
426
± 4.4
PDF
June 13, 2004
28
11
7
48
5
1
Ipsos
222
—
PDF
June 9, 2004
22
13
8
54
3
—
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 9, 2004
32
14
8
44
—
—
CROP
600
± 4.0
PDF
June 8, 2004
24
9
8
50
5
—
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
June 7, 2004
31
13
8
46
—
2
Leger
—
—
PDF
June 6, 2004
30
15
10
43
3
—
SES
178
± 7.5
PDF
June 3, 2004
28
13
6
45
4
—
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
May 31, 2004
33
8
9
46
2
—
Leger
1,100
± 1.8
PDF
May 30, 2004
29
—
—
44
—
—
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
May 30, 2004
30
13
5
49
3
—
SES
196
± 7.1
PDF
May 27, 2004
36
11
6
45
—
—
Ekos
—
—
PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
In 2004 (before the election campaign)
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
BQ
GPC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
May 20, 2004
28
7
8
50
4
—
Ipsos
215
—
PDF
May 20, 2004
34
10
15
42
—
—
CROP
854
± 3.4
PDF
May 19, 2004
40
—
—
43
—
—
Compass
—
—
[ 5]
May 16, 2004
35
10
7
44
—
4
Leger
1,005
± 3.0
PDF
May 13, 2004
31
10
10
46
—
—
Ipsos
—
—
PDF
May 6, 2004
36
—
—
41
—
—
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
April 28, 2004
33
8
8
46
5
1
Ipsos
224
—
PDF
April 25, 2004
39
10
10
41
—
—
CROP
1,001
± 3.0
PDF
April 25, 2004
35
9
8
46
2
—
SES
218
± 6.8
PDF
April 24, 2004
34
8
8
46
3
—
Leger
—
—
PDF
April 18, 2004
37
8
8
45
—
2
Environics
—
—
HTML
April 8, 2004
30
11
10
45
2
2
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
March 29, 2004
35
11
9
45
—
—
CROP
1,004
± 3.0
PDF
March 25, 2004
33
8
6
44
7
2
Ipsos
204
—
PDF
March 22, 2004
36
8
8
45
—
3
Leger
—
—
PDF
March 7, 2004
31
6
8
49
4
2
Ipsos
476
—
PDF
February 26, 2004
32
9
10
48
—
1
CROP
607
± 4.0
PDF
February 25, 2004
38
—
—
44
—
—
Ekos
—
—
HTML
February 22, 2004
38
—
—
38
—
—
CROP
—
—
PDF
February 19, 2004
30
10
9
44
3
5
Ipsos
225
—
PDF
February 12, 2004
34
7
11
47
—
1
CROP
—
—
PDF
February 12, 2004
40
5
8
39
5
3
Ipsos
213
—
PDF
January 27, 2004
46
6
7
39
—
—
Leger
—
—
PDF
January 24, 2004
51
5
10
33
—
1
CROP
1,000
± 3.0
PDF
January 18, 2004
47
6
8
36
—
3
Leger
1,000
± 3.4
PDF
January 15, 2004
45
3
6
39
4
3
Ipsos
—
—
PDF
In 2003
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
BQ
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
December 17, 2003
50
5
9
35
—
—
—
—
CROP
986
± 3.0
PDF
November 27, 2003
40
—
8
38
5
3
4
3
Ipsos
209
—
PDF
November 25, 2003
46
—
10
38
—
2
1
3
Leger
—
—
PDF [ 6]
November 23, 2003
50
—
—
34
—
—
—
—
CROP
1,003
—
PDF
October 23, 2003
50
—
6
31
4
3
5
2
Ipsos
213
—
PDF
September 29, 2003
50
—
7
35
—
—
5
—
CROP
1,002
—
PDF
July 9, 2003
65
—
—
20
—
—
—
—
Ekos
—
—
PDF
July 6, 2003
49
—
—
35
—
—
6
—
Environics
472
± 4.5
HTML
June 5, 2003
52
—
5
33
4
1
4
—
Ipsos
230
—
PDF
May 25, 2003
62
—
6
28
—
1
3
—
Leger
—
—
PDF
April 17, 2003
50
—
3
36
5
2
4
—
Ipsos
233
—
PDF
March 27, 2003
46
—
8
38
—
3
4
1
Environics
485
± 4.5
HTML
February 20, 2003
49
—
9
35
—
1
3
2
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 16, 2003
55
—
5
31
—
3
3
4
Ekos
243
± 6.3
1 2
January 14, 2003
41
—
12
38
—
3
4
1
Environics
967
± 3.2
HTML
In 2002
Last day of survey
LPC
NDP
BQ
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
December 12, 2002
39
12
34
7
2
5
0
Ipsos
213
—
PDF
November 24, 2002
40
4
40
—
3
8
5
Leger
774
± 3.4
PDF
September 30, 2002
38
11
36
4
1
8
1
Ipsos
250
—
PDF
August 14, 2002
38
15
33
—
7
5
2
Ipsos
199
—
PDF
July 18, 2002
46
12
26
—
5
7
3
Ipsos
222
—
PDF
June 20, 2002
39
12
39
—
3
5
1
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
June 9, 2002
37
6
37
—
2
7
11
Leger
400
± 4.5
PDF
May 30, 2002
38
12
39
—
3
8
—
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
March 28, 2002
47
5
38
—
3
5
—
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
March 24, 2002
46
4
37
—
2
4
7
Leger
—
—
PDF
February 21, 2002
46
6
39
—
1
7
1
Ipsos
215
—
PDF
In 2001
Last day of survey
LPC
NDP
BQ
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
December 12, 2001
46
3
37
—
1
7
7
Leger
1,000
± 3.4
1 2
December 12, 2001
58
3
31
—
1
6
1
Ekos
—
—
[ 7] HTML
August 29, 2001
50
5
33
—
2
9
1
Ekos
—
± 3.7
PDF
August 23, 2001
47
5
37
—
4
7
1
Ipsos
250
—
PDF
August 13, 2001
45
5
37
—
3
7
4
Leger
401
± 5.5
1 2
July 10, 2001
49
4
33
—
4
9
1
Environics
482
± 4.6
HTML
July 8, 2001
43
4
41
—
2
10
0
Ipsos
212
—
PDF
May 27, 2001
44
2
39
—
2
11
2
Ipsos
230
—
PDF
May 21, 2001
45
3
38
—
1
10
3
Leger
998
—
1 2
April 26, 2001
43
7
36
—
4
9
2
Ipsos
253
—
PDF
April 24, 2001
41
6
40
—
5
6
3
Environics
485
± 4.5
HTML
March 29, 2001
45
4
37
—
4
9
2
Ipsos
253
—
PDF
March 10, 2001
46
—
32
—
—
—
—
Ipsos
—
—
HTML
January 31, 2001
52
—
30
—
—
—
—
Ekos
379
± 5.1
HTML
January 15, 2001
42
7
35
—
6
5
4
Environics
504
± 4.5
HTML
2000 Election
44.2
1.8
39.9
0.6
6.7
5.6
1.2
Ontario
Evolution of voting intentions in Ontario
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
Voting result
44.7
31.5
18.1
4.4
—
—
1.3
June 24, 2004
39
32
25
4
—
—
—
Nanos
June 24, 2004
39
32
25
4
—
—
—
SES
393
± 5.0
PDF
June 24, 2004
38
35
21
5
—
—
1
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 23, 2004
38
34
20
6
—
—
2
Ipsos
758
—
PDF
June 22, 2004
40
35
19
—
—
—
5
Environics
—
—
HTML
June 20, 2004
42
30
20
6
—
—
2
Ipsos
379
—
PDF
June 16, 2004
36
40
23
2
—
—
—
SES
259
± 6.2
PDF
June 9, 2004
34
38
21
6
—
—
—
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 7, 2004
35
36
24
—
—
—
5
Léger
—
—
PDF
June 6, 2004
33
43
22
3
—
—
—
SES
254
± 6.3
PDF
May 31, 2004
39
37
18
5
—
—
1
Léger
—
± 3.5
PDF
May 30, 2004
39
32
25
3
—
—
—
SES
237
± 6.5
PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
March 22, 2004
47
28
19
—
—
—
6
Léger
—
—
PDF
February 25, 2004
47
36
15
—
—
—
2
Ekos
—
—
HTML
April 17, 2003
58
—
9
3
14
15
1
Ipsos
282
—
PDF
March 27, 2003
50
—
15
—
15
18
2
Environics
544
± 4.3
HTML
February 20, 2003
52
—
20
—
8
19
2
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 16, 2003
60
—
15
—
8
17
1
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 14, 2003
53
—
14
—
14
18
1
Environics
—
—
HTML
December 12, 2002
51
—
11
6
11
22
0
Ipsos
255
—
PDF
May 30, 2002
55
—
11
—
15
19
0
Ipsos
542
—
PDF
August 29, 2001
62
—
10
—
8
20
2
Ekos
—
—
PDF
August 23, 2001
53
—
11
—
11
22
2
Ipsos
300
—
PDF
August 13, 2001
58
—
9
—
8
15
11
Léger
—
—
PDF
July 10, 2001
51
—
13
—
11
24
1
Environics
555
± 4.2
HTML
April 24, 2001
54
—
8
—
19
18
2
Environics
545
± 4.3
HTML
March 29, 2001
56
—
8
—
18
16
2
Ipsos
300
—
PDF
Election 2000
51.5
—
8.3
0.9
23.6
14.4
1.3
Prairies
Evolution of voting intentions in Prairies (Manitoba and Saskatchewan)
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
Voting result [ 4]
30.3
40.4
23.4
2.7
—
—
3.1
June 24, 2004
39
34
24
2
—
—
—
SES
137
± 8.5
PDF
June 24, 2004
30
40
26
—
—
—
4[ note 1]
Léger
—
—
PDF
June 24, 2004
29
37
30
5
—
—
0
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 23, 2004
32
36
25
5
—
—
2
Ipsos
136
—
PDF
June 20, 2004
33
37
17
7
—
—
6
Ipsos
68
—
PDF
June 17, 2004
28
36
29
4
—
—
3
Ipsos
68
—
PDF
June 16, 2004
32
32
30
6
—
—
—
SES
89
± 10.6
PDF
June 13, 2004
21
56
16
4
—
—
2
Ipsos
58
—
PDF
June 9, 2004
32
36
28
3
—
—
—
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 7, 2004
35
38
21
—
—
—
6
Léger
—
—
PDF
June 6, 2004
35
42
20
4
—
—
—
SES
77
± 11.4
PDF
May 31, 2004
35
34
26
4
—
—
2
Léger
—
—
PDF
May 30, 2004
41
35
23
1
—
—
—
SES
79
± 11.0
PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
May 20, 2004
32
40
24
3
—
—
2
Ipsos
56
—
PDF
April 25, 2004
33
31
33
4
—
—
—
SES
83
± 11.0
PDF
March 22, 2004
25
40
25
—
—
—
9
Léger
—
—
PDF
April 17, 2003
38
—
27
1
19
13
1
Ipsos
100
—
PDF
February 20, 2003
47
—
20
—
22
10
0
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 16, 2003
27
—
31
—
23
18
2
Ekos
—
—
PDF
December 12, 2002
28
—
22
4
32
14
0
Ipsos
80
—
PDF
July 18, 2002
33
—
17
—
31
16
3
Ipsos
85
—
PDF
June 20, 2002
37
—
17
—
32
14
0
Ipsos
200
—
PDF
June 9, 2002
26
—
13
—
36
18
7
Léger
125
—
PDF
May 30, 2002
27
—
22
—
32
16
3
Ipsos
164
—
PDF
April 2002
30
—
28
—
19
17
6
Léger
125
—
PDF
March 28, 2002
29
—
22
—
29
14
5
Ipsos
92
—
PDF
February 21, 2002
41
—
19
—
18
15
7
Ipsos
83
—
PDF
August 29, 2001
41
—
21
—
18
17
4
Ekos
—
—
PDF
August 13, 2001
41
—
16
—
14
25
4
Léger
108
—
PDF
May 27, 2001
40
—
22
—
24
12
3
Ipsos
83
—
PDF
May 2001
30
—
20
—
19
23
8
Léger
108
—
PDF
March 29, 2001
38
—
18
—
30
13
1
Ipsos
100
—
PDF
Alberta
Evolution of voting intentions in Alberta
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
Voting result
22.0
61.7
9.5
6.1
—
—
0.7
June 24, 2004
23
62
13
2
—
—
0
SES
145
± 8.3
PDF
June 24, 2004
23
58
12
7
—
—
0
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 23, 2004
20
59
11
6
—
—
4
Ipsos
194
—
PDF
June 22, 2004
21
62
13
—
—
—
4
Environics
—
—
HTML
June 20, 2004
25
45
17
11
—
—
1
Ipsos
97
—
PDF
June 17, 2004
17
59
11
7
—
—
5
Ipsos
97
—
PDF
June 16, 2004
32
51
14
5
—
—
0
SES
89
± 10.6
PDF
June 9, 2004
25
57
14
4
—
—
—
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 7, 2004
30
52
15
—
—
—
3
Léger
—
—
PDF
June 6, 2004
33
51
14
2
—
—
0
SES
88
± 10.7
PDF
May 31, 2004
28
54
12
4
—
—
2
Léger
—
—
PDF
May 30, 2004
31
53
11
5
—
—
0
SES
81
± 11.0
PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
April 28, 2004
31
46
15
6
—
—
2
Ipsos
91
—
PDF
April 25, 2004
33
57
10
0
—
—
0
SES
77
± 11.0
PDF
April 24, 2004
24
60
14
—
—
—
2
Léger
—
—
PDF
March 22, 2004
27
49
17
—
—
—
7
Léger
—
—
PDF
February 12, 2004
28
50
16
3
—
—
3
Ipsos
92
—
PDF
January 27, 2004
40
53
5
—
—
—
2
Léger
—
—
PDF
January 15, 2004
35
47
13
2
—
—
4
Ipsos
—
—
PDF
November 27, 2003
28
—
8
6
30
24
3
Ipsos
86
—
PDF
October 23, 2003
27
—
8
1
34
23
7
Ipsos
92
—
PDF
July 6, 2003
28
—
6
—
39
26
1
Environics
203
± 6.9
HTML
June 5, 2003
27
—
10
4
34
25
0
Ipsos
119
—
PDF
April 17, 2003
29
—
4
4
39
24
0
Ipsos
104
—
PDF
March 27, 2003
25
—
12
—
40
22
1
Environics
201
± 7.1
HTML
February 20, 2003
32
—
8
—
32
28
3
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 16, 2003
35
—
7
—
26
27
5
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 14, 2003
24
—
9
—
45
21
1
Environics
411
± 4.9
HTML
December 12, 2002
24
—
7
2
48
19
1
Ipsos
89
—
PDF
September 30, 2002
23
—
9
3
48
16
0
Ipsos
100
—
PDF
August 14, 2002
19
—
9
—
42
24
6
Ipsos
94
—
PDF
July 18, 2002
19
—
6
—
50
25
1
Ipsos
90
—
PDF
June 9, 2002
19
—
6
—
55
16
5
Léger
125
—
PDF
May 30, 2002
28
—
6
—
49
16
1
Ipsos
177
—
PDF
April 2002
31
—
6
—
34
20
9
Léger
125
—
PDF
March 28, 2002
26
—
9
—
45
14
7
Ipsos
100
—
PDF
February 21, 2002
31
—
4
—
34
27
4
Ipsos
100
—
PDF
August 29, 2001
33
—
7
—
26
30
4
Ekos
—
—
PDF
August 23, 2001
34
—
8
—
28
27
2
Ipsos
100
—
PDF
August 13, 2001
31
—
10
—
20
32
8
Léger
—
—
PDF
July 24, 2001
29
—
7
—
30
32
2
Ipsos
800
± 3.5
PDF
July 10, 2001
25
—
8
—
37
29
2
Environics
217
± 6.8
HTML
May 31, 2001
33
—
7
—
29
25
6
Léger
141
—
PDF
May 27, 2001
28
—
8
—
31
29
3
Ipsos
100
—
PDF
April 26, 2001
26
—
4
—
39
30
1
Ipsos
90
—
PDF
April 24, 2001
24
—
6
—
43
24
1
Environics
212
± 6.9
HTML
April 19, 2001
27
—
7
—
38
24
4
Ipsos
—
—
PDF
March 29, 2001
27
—
3
—
40
27
3
Ipsos
95
—
PDF
January 15, 2001
30
—
6
—
46
14
4
Environics
221
± 2.7
PDF
Election 2000
20.9
—
5.4
0.5
58.9
13.5
0.8
British Columbia
Evolution of voting intentions in British Columbia
Last day of survey
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
CA
PC
Other
Polling firm
Sample
ME
Source
Voting result
28.6
36.3
26.6
6.3
—
—
2.2
June 24, 2004
30
34
27
7
—
—
2
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 24, 2004
28
38
28
6
—
—
—
SES
192
± 7.2
PDF
June 23, 2004
25
38
26
8
—
—
2
Ipsos
800
± 3.5
PDF
June 23, 2004
24
44
22
8
—
—
2
Ipsos
264
—
PDF
June 22, 2004
31
34
31
—
—
—
4
Environics
—
—
HTML
June 20, 2004
32
36
18
8
—
—
6
Ipsos
132
—
PDF
June 17, 2004
32
34
12
7
—
—
6
Ipsos
120
—
PDF
June 16, 2004
27
35
25
10
—
—
3[ note 2]
SES
135
± 8.7
PDF
June 9, 2004
29
41
26
5
—
—
—
Ekos
—
—
PDF
June 7, 2004
31
31
26
—
—
—
12
Léger
—
—
PDF
June 6, 2004
31
37
26
5
—
—
—
SES
118
± 9.2
PDF
May 31, 2004
29
32
28
9
—
—
1
Léger
—
—
PDF
May 30, 2004
34
29
29
8
—
—
0
SES
121
± 9.1
PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
April 28, 2004
30
25
26
9
—
—
10
Ipsos
109
—
PDF
April 25, 2004
31
30
32
8
—
—
0
SES
117
± 9.2
PDF
April 24, 2004
31
23
29
13
—
—
3
Léger
—
—
PDF
March 22, 2004
31
37
22
—
—
—
10
Léger
—
—
PDF
January 27, 2004
31
37
22
—
—
—
10
Léger
—
—
PDF
January 15, 2004
39
26
26
—
—
—
10
Ipsos
—
—
PDF
November 27, 2003
32
—
19
13
20
11
5
Ipsos
121
—
PDF
October 23, 2003
40
—
14
8
23
9
6
Ipsos
116
—
PDF
April 17, 2003
45
—
18
10
18
8
0
Ipsos
115
—
PDF
March 27, 2003
44
—
20
—
22
12
3
Environics
225
± 6.7
HTML
February 20, 2003
39
—
28
—
19
6
9
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 16, 2003
46
—
23
—
18
6
8
Ekos
—
—
PDF
January 14, 2003
32
—
22
—
32
12
2
Environics
445
± 4.7
HTML
December 12, 2002
31
—
11
13
31
13
1
Ipsos
125
—
PDF
July 18, 2002
34
—
27
—
25
8
6
Ipsos
129
—
PDF
June 20, 2002
28
—
21
—
31
14
6
Ipsos
267
—
PDF
June 9, 2002
30
—
11
—
31
17
11
Léger
—
—
PDF
May 30, 2002
33
—
18
—
33
14
2
Ipsos
263
—
PDF
April 2002
32
—
13
—
20
20
14
Léger
—
—
PDF
August 29, 2001
52
—
11
—
19
14
5
Ekos
—
—
PDF
August 13, 2001
43
—
7
—
22
13
15
Léger
—
—
PDF
July 10, 2001
42
—
15
—
22
18
3
Environics
231
± 6.6
HTML
May 31, 2001
49
—
8
—
21
10
12
Léger
—
—
PDF
April 24, 2001
34
—
16
—
32
12
4
Environics
239
± 6.5
HTML
Election 2000
27.7
—
11.3
2.1
49.4
7.3
2.2
Notes
References
^ The Globe and Mail . Grits sto be crushed in Quebec poll suggests . May 15, 2004. page A4.
^ Mackie, Richard (May 31, 2001). "Canadians split on PM's future". The Globe and Mail . p. A4.
^ "Tory popularity rose as Alliance support dropped. new poll suggests". The Canadian Press . June 9, 2001.
^ a b "Tableau 8 - Nombre de votes valides, par appartenance politique" . www.elections.ca . Retrieved August 23, 2020 .
^ "Tories closing gap. poll shows Liberals may drop to minority government". Winnipeg Free Press . May 21, 2004. pp. A3.
^ Brian Daly (December 7, 2003). "Two in three Canadians wanted Paul Martin to hold spring election: poll". The Canadian Press .
^ Tim Harper (December 14, 2001). "Liberals ahead in every region". Toronto Star . pp. A7.
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