Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election
In the run-up to the 2025 German federal election , various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany . Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The "Union" of CDU/CSU , with the Christian Social Union in Bavaria (CSU), who only run in Bavaria, where the Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) is not present, is usually combined, but sometimes counted separately. Some members of Die Linke split from the party in late 2023, forming the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), which has therefore also been present in the Bundestag and in the polls since 2024. The Free Voters (FW) are present in two state parliaments and one state government coalition. The Federal Government of the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD), Alliance 90/The Greens and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) broke up on 6 November 2024, with the SPD and the Greens afterward forming a minority government .
Poll results
Graphical summary
2024
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Abs.
SPD
Union
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke
FW
BSW
Others
Lead
INSA
8–11 Nov 2024
3,009
–
15.5
32.5
11.5
5
19.5
3.5
–
7
5.5
13
INSA
7–8 Nov 2024
1,065
–
15
32
10
4
19
4
–
7
9
13
Infratest dimap
7 Nov 2024
1,065
–
16
34
12
5
18
–
–
6
9
16
Forsa
7 Nov 2024
1,181
–
17
32
11
3
17
3
–
6
11
15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
5–7 Nov 2024
1,231
15
16
33
12
3
18
4
–
6
8
15
INSA
1–4 Nov 2024
2,005
–
15.5
32
10.5
4.5
18
3.5
–
8
8
14
Forsa
29 Oct – 4 Nov 2024
2,500
–
16
33
10
3
16
3
–
6
13
17
Ipsos
1–2 Nov 2024
1,000
–
15
32
11
5
18
3
3
8
5
14
INSA
28 Oct – 1 Nov 2024
1,202
–
16
32
10
4
18
4
–
8
8
14
Infratest dimap
28–30 Oct 2024
1,333
–
16
34
11
4
17
–
–
6
12
17
Verian
23–29 Oct 2024
1,443
–
16
32
11
3
17
3
–
8
10
15
INSA
25–28 Oct 2024
2,008
–
15
31
11
4
19
2.5
–
9
8.5
12
Forsa
22–28 Oct 2024
2,503
23
16
32
9
4
17
3
–
7
12
15
INSA
21–25 Oct 2024
1,204
–
15
30
11
4
19
3
–
9
9
11
INSA
18–21 Oct 2024
2,006
–
16.5
30.5
10
4
19
2.5
–
9
8.5
11.5
Forsa
15–21 Oct 2024
2,500
–
16
31
11
3
17
3
–
7
12
14
INSA
14–18 Oct 2024
1,201
–
16
31
10
4
19
3
–
9
8
12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
15–17 Oct 2024
1,249
12
16
31
11
3
18
4
–
8
9
13
INSA
11–14 Oct 2024
2,002
–
16
31.5
10
4
18.5
3.5
–
9
7.5
13
Forsa
8–14 Oct 2024
2,501
–
16
31
10
4
17
3
–
7
12
14
INSA
7–11 Oct 2024
1,202
–
16
31
11
4
19
3
–
9
7
12
Allensbach
28 Sep – 11 Oct 2024
1,041
–
16
36
10.5
4.5
16
–
–
9
9
20
Infratest dimap
7–9 Oct 2024
1,321
–
16
31
13
3
17
3
3
8
6
14
YouGov
4–8 Oct 2024
1,773
–
16
32
11
5
18
3
1
8
6
14
INSA
4–7 Oct 2024
2,010
–
16
31.5
10.5
4
20
2.5
–
8
7.5
11.5
Forsa
1–7 Oct 2024
2,001
–
17
31
11
3
17
3
–
6
12
14
Ipsos
2–4 Oct 2024
1,000
–
15
31
11
4
18
3
3
8
7
13
INSA
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2024
1,237
–
16
31
11
4
20
3
–
8
7
11
Verian
25 Sep – 1 Oct 2024
1,452
–
16
31
11
4
17
3
3
7
8
14
INSA
27–30 Sep 2024
2,002
–
15
31.5
11
4
19
2.5
–
9.5
7.5
12.5
Forsa
24–30 Sep 2024
2,501
–
17
31
10
4
17
3
–
6
12
14
INSA
23–27 Sep 2024
1,203
–
15
32
11
4
19
3
–
10
6
13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
24–26 Sep 2024
1,348
16
16
31
12
4
17
4
–
8
8
14
INSA
20–23 Sep 2024
2,002
–
15.5
32
9.5
3.5
20
2.5
–
10
7
12
Forsa
17–23 Sep 2024
2,500
21
15
32
11
4
17
–
–
7
14
15
INSA
16–19 Sep 2024
1,202
–
15
32
10
4
20
2
–
10
7
12
INSA
13–16 Sep 2024
2,008
–
14
33
10
4.5
19.5
2.5
–
10
6.5
13.5
GMS
11–16 Sep 2024
1,006
–
14
34
11
4
18
2
3
7
7
16
Forsa
10–16 Sep 2024
2,501
–
15
31
11
4
17
3
–
6
13
14
INSA
9–13 Sep 2024
1,206
–
14
33
10
4
19
3
–
10
7
14
Allensbach
29 Aug – 11 Sep 2024
1,017
–
16
35.5
10
4
17
–
–
9
8.5
18.5
YouGov
6–10 Sep 2024
1,752
–
14
32
13
4
18
4
1
8
6
14
INSA
6–9 Sep 2024
2,010
–
14
32.5
10
4
19.5
2.5
–
10
7.5
13
Forsa
3–9 Sep 2024
2,500
–
14
33
11
3
17
3
–
7
12
16
Ipsos
6–7 Sep 2024
1,000
–
13
32
11
4
18
3
2
9
8
14
INSA
2–6 Sep 2024
1,202
–
15
31
10
4
19
3
–
10
8
12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
3–5 Sep 2024
1,328
14
15
33
11
4
17
4
–
7
9
16
Infratest dimap
3–4 Sep 2024
1,309
–
15
33
11
4
17
3
–
8
9
16
Verian
28 Aug – 3 Sep 2024
1,427
–
15
31
12
4
17
3
–
8
10
14
INSA
30 Aug – 2 Sep 2024
2,002
–
15
31.5
10.5
4.5
19
2.5
–
9.5
7.5
12.5
Forsa
27 Aug – 2 Sep 2024
2,508
–
14
32
11
5
17
3
–
7
11
15
INSA
26–30 Aug 2024
1,202
–
16
31
11
4
19
3
–
9
7
12
INSA
23–26 Aug 2024
2,004
–
15
31.5
11.5
5.5
18.5
3
–
9
6
13
Forsa
20–26 Aug 2024
2,501
–
15
31
11
5
17
3
–
7
11
14
INSA
19–23 Aug 2024
1,202
–
16
31
11
5
18
3
–
9
7
13
INSA
16–19 Aug 2024
2,006
–
15.5
30.5
10.5
5
19
3
–
9.5
7
11.5
Forsa
13–19 Aug 2024
2,503
–
15
31
11
5
17
3
–
7
11
14
INSA
12–16 Aug 2024
1,203
–
16
30
11
5
19
3
–
9
7
11
Allensbach
3–15 Aug 2024
1,051
–
16
34
11.5
5
16
3
–
7
7.5
18
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Aug 2024
1,334
14
14
32
13
4
16
3
–
8
10
16
YouGov
9–13 Aug 2024
1,998
–
15
31
12
5
19
3
1
8
6
12
INSA
9–12 Aug 2024
2,008
–
15
30.5
10.5
5
18
3
–
9.5
8.5
12.5
Forsa
6–12 Aug 2024
2,502
22
15
30
11
5
17
3
–
7
12
13
GMS
6–12 Aug 2024
1,006
–
14
32
12
5
17
3
2
8
7
15
INSA
5–9 Aug 2024
1,203
–
16
31
10
5
18
3
–
9
8
13
Infratest dimap
5–7 Aug 2024
1,311
–
15
32
12
5
16
–
–
9
11
16
Verian
31 Jul – 6 Aug 2024
1,449
–
16
31
13
5
16
3
–
7
9
15
INSA
2–5 Aug 2024
2,002
–
15
30.5
10.5
5
17
3
–
9.5
9.5
13.5
Forsa
30 Jul – 5 Aug 2024
2,500
20
15
30
11
5
17
3
3
7
9
13
Ipsos
2–4 Aug 2024
1,000
–
14
30
13
5
16
3
2
8
9
14
INSA
29 Jul – 2 Aug 2024
1,199
–
15
31
10
5
18
3
–
9
9
13
INSA
26–29 Jul 2024
2,006
–
15
30
10
5
18
3.5
–
9.5
9
12
Forsa
23–29 Jul 2024
2,501
21
15
30
11
4
17
3
–
7
13
13
INSA
22–26 Jul 2024
1,203
–
15
30
11
5
18
3
–
10
8
12
INSA
19–22 Jul 2024
2,010
–
15
31
10.5
5
17
3.5
–
9
9
14
Forsa
16–22 Jul 2024
2,504
18
14
31
11
5
17
4
–
7
11
14
INSA
15–19 Jul 2024
1,207
–
15
30
11
5
17
3
–
9
10
13
Allensbach
5–19 Jul 2024
1,003
–
16.5
32
11.5
6
17
–
–
8
9
15
INSA
12–15 Jul 2024
2,500
–
15
31
11.5
5
18
3
–
8.5
8
13
Forsa
9–15 Jul 2024
2,503
18
14
32
11
5
16
3
–
7
12
16
INSA
8–12 Jul 2024
1,449
–
15
30
12
5
18
2
–
9
9
12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Jul 2024
1,341
15
14
32
13
4
17
3
–
7
10
15
Verian
3–9 Jul 2024
1,486
–
15
31
13
5
16
3
–
7
10
15
INSA
5–8 Jul 2024
2,007
–
15
30.5
11
5.5
17.5
3
1.5
8.5
7.5
13
Forsa
2–8 Jul 2024
2,504
19
14
30
11
5
17
–
–
8
15
13
Ipsos
5–7 Jul 2024
1,000
–
14
30
12
5
16
3
2
8
10
14
INSA
1–5 Jul 2024
1,204
–
15
30
11
5
18
2
–
9
10
12
Infratest dimap
1–3 Jul 2024
1,294
–
14
31
13
5
17
3
–
8
9
14
YouGov
28 Jun – 3 Jul 2024
1,711
–
14
30
12
6
19
3
2
9
6
11
INSA
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024
2,006
–
15
29.5
12
5.5
17.5
2.5
2
8.5
7.5
12
Forsa
25 Jun – 1 Jul 2024
2,506
18
15
31
11
6
16
–
–
7
14
15
INSA
24–28 Jun 2024
1,203
–
15
30
12
6
17
2
2
9
7
13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
25–27 Jun 2024
1,186
11
14
31
13
4
17
3
–
7
11
14
INSA
21–24 Jun 2024
2,008
–
14.5
30.5
11.5
5
17.5
3
2
8.5
7.5
13
Forsa
18–24 Jun 2024
2,505
19
15
31
11
5
16
–
3
7
12
15
INSA
17–21 Jun 2024
1,204
–
15
30
12
5
17
3
2
8
8
13
INSA
14–17 Jun 2024
2,010
–
15
31
11
5
17
3
2
8
8
14
Forsa
11–17 Jun 2024
2,504
–
15
30
12
5
16
–
2
7
12
14
GMS
11–17 Jun 2024
1,007
–
14
31
14
5
18
3
2
6
7
13
INSA
10–15 Jun 2024
1,205
–
16
31
11
5
17
3
2
7
8
14
Allensbach
1–13 Jun 2024
1,084
–
16
32
13
6
15
3
–
7
8
16
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
10–12 Jun 2024
1,334
15
14
30
14
5
16
–
–
7
14
14
Verian
5–11 Jun 2024
1,425
–
16
30
13
5
17
3
3
6
7
13
INSA
7–10 Jun 2024
2,008
–
15.5
30
12
5
16
3
2.5
7.5
8.5
14
Forsa
4–10 Jun 2024
2,505
22
16
30
13
6
16
–
–
6
13
14
2024 EU Parliament Election
9 Jun 2024
–
–
13.9
30.0
11.9
5.2
15.9
2.7
2.7
6.2
11.5
14.1
INSA
3–7 Jun 2024
1,203
–
16
30
12
5
16
3
3
8
7
14
YouGov
31 May – 5 Jun 2024
1,894
–
14
29
12
4
18
4
2
9
8
11
Ipsos
29 May – 5 Jun 2024
957
–
15
29
13
5
17
3
3
8
7
12
INSA
31 May – 3 Jun 2024
2,002
–
16
30.5
12
5
15.5
3.5
2.5
7.5
7.5
14.5
Forsa
28 May – 3 Jun 2024
2,506
22
17
30
13
6
15
–
–
6
13
13
INSA
27–31 May 2024
1,205
–
16
31
12
5
16
3
3
7
7
15
Infratest dimap
27–29 May 2024
1,479
–
15
31
14
4
18
3
3
5
7
13
INSA
24–27 May 2024
2,004
–
15
30.5
12
5
17
3
2.5
7
8
13.5
Forsa
21–27 May 2024
2,503
22
16
30
13
6
15
–
–
6
14
14
INSA
21–24 May 2024
1,202
–
15
30
13
5
17
3
3
7
7
13
INSA
17–21 May 2024
2,010
–
16
30
12.5
5
17
3
3
7
6.5
13
Wahlkreisprognose
13–19 May 2024
2,500
24
16.5
31
13.5
6
15
3
–
6
9
14.5
Forsa
14–17 May 2024
2,001
–
16
32
14
5
15
–
–
5
13
16
INSA
13–17 May 2024
1,206
–
16
30
12
5
17
3
3
7
7
13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
14–16 May 2024
1,247
18
15
31
13
5
16
4
–
5
11
15
Allensbach
4–16 May 2024
1,093
–
17.5
32.5
13
6
14
3
–
8
6
15
Verian
7–14 May 2024
1,506
–
16
30
14
5
16
4
3
5
7
14
INSA
10–13 May 2024
2,087
–
15.5
30.5
13
5
17
3.5
2.5
7
6
13.5
Forsa
7–13 May 2024
2,006
23
16
32
13
5
15
3
–
5
11
16
INSA
6–10 May 2024
1,247
–
15
30
13
5
17
4
2
7
7
13
YouGov
3–8 May 2024
1,749
–
16
30
14
4
19
4
1
7
5
11
INSA
3–6 May 2024
2,006
–
15.5
30.5
12
5
18
3.5
2.5
7.5
5.5
12.5
Forsa
30 Apr – 6 May 2024
2,000
–
16
31
12
6
15
3
–
4
13
15
GMS
30 Apr – 6 May 2024
1,005
–
15
31
14
4
18
2
3
6
7
13
Ipsos
2–5 May 2024
2,000
–
16
28
13
5
18
4
3
7
6
10
INSA
29 Apr – 3 May 2024
1.203
–
15
30
12
5
18
4
2
7
7
12
Infratest dimap
29–30 Apr 2024
1,280
–
15
31
15
5
18
–
–
5
11
13
INSA
26–29 Apr 2024
2.004
–
16.5
29.5
12.5
5
18.5
3.5
2.5
7
5
11
Forsa
23–29 Apr 2024
2,505
23
17
30
12
5
16
3
–
4
13
13
INSA
22–26 Apr 2024
1,203
–
16
29
13
5
18
4
2
7
6
11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
23–25 Apr 2024
1,228
18
15
30
15
4
17
4
–
5
10
13
INSA
19–22 Apr 2024
2,008
–
15
30.5
12.5
5
18.5
4
2.5
7
5
12
Forsa
16–22 Apr 2024
2,501
25
16
31
12
5
16
–
–
5
15
15
INSA
15–19 Apr 2024
1,204
–
15
30
13
5
18
4
2
7
6
12
Allensbach
5–18 Apr 2024
1,041
–
16
32.5
15
6
16
3
–
7
4.5
16.5
Verian
10–16 Apr 2024
1,445
–
16
30
14
5
18
3
3
5
6
12
INSA
12–15 Apr 2024
2,006
–
16
29.5
13
6
18.5
3
2.5
6.5
5
11
Forsa
9–15 Apr 2024
2,505
23
16
31
12
5
17
–
–
5
14
14
INSA
8–12 Apr 2024
1,203
–
16
30
13
5
18
3
2
6
7
12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Apr 2024
1,254
20
16
31
12
4
18
3
–
6
10
13
YouGov
5–10 Apr 2024
1,588
–
14
29
15
5
19
4
1
7
6
10
INSA
5–8 Apr 2024
2,084
–
15
30.5
13
5
18.5
3.5
2.5
6.5
5.5
12
Forsa
2–8 Apr 2024
2,506
24
16
30
13
5
17
–
–
5
14
13
Ipsos
5–7 Apr 2024
2,000
–
15
29
13
5
18
4
3
7
6
11
INSA
2–5 Apr 2024
1,243
–
15
31
13
5
19
3
2
6
6
12
Infratest dimap
2–3 Apr 2024
1,304
–
15
30
15
4
18
3
3
5
7
12
INSA
28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024
2,004
–
15
30
12.5
5
19.5
3.5
2.5
6.5
5.5
10.5
Forsa
26–28 Mar 2024
1,508
24
16
31
13
4
17
–
–
5
14
14
INSA
25–28 Mar 2024
1,210
–
15
30
13
5
20
3
2
6
6
10
INSA
22–25 Mar 2024
2,008
–
15.5
30
12.5
5
19.5
3.5
2.5
6.5
5
10.5
Forsa
19–25 Mar 2024
2,503
24
16
31
13
4
17
3
3
5
8
14
INSA
18–22 Mar 2024
1,204
–
16
30
13
5
19
3
2
6
6
11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
19–21 Mar 2024
1,296
19
16
31
13
4
18
3
–
6
9
13
Wahlkreisprognose
18–20 Mar 2024
1,300
25
19.5
29
14
4
15
3.5
–
6.5
8.5
9.5
Verian
13–19 Mar 2024
1,480
–
17
29
15
5
18
3
–
5
8
11
INSA
15–18 Mar 2024
2,002
–
16
29.5
12
5
19.5
3.5
2.5
6.5
5.5
10
Forsa
12–18 Mar 2024
2,500
24
16
31
13
4
17
3
3
5
8
14
INSA
11–15 Mar 2024
1,199
–
15
30
12
5
19
3
2
6
8
11
Allensbach
1–14 Mar 2024
1,027
–
15
34
14
5
16
3
–
7
6
18
INSA
8–11 Mar 2024
2,079
–
14.5
31
12.5
5.5
18.5
3.5
2.5
6.5
5.5
12.5
Forsa
5–11 Mar 2024
2,502
26
15
30
14
5
17
3
3
5
8
13
INSA
4–8 Mar 2024
1,249
–
15
31
12
5
19
3
2
7
6
12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
5–7 Mar 2024
1,260
19
15
30
15
4
18
3
3
5
7
12
Infratest dimap
4–6 Mar 2024
1,288
–
16
29
14
5
19
3
–
6
8
10
YouGov
1–5 Mar 2024
1,762
–
15
29
14
4
19
4
1
7
7
10
INSA
1–4 Mar 2024
2,024
–
14.5
30.5
13
5.5
19.5
3
2.5
6.5
5
11
Forsa
27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024
2,506
–
15
31
14
5
17
3
3
4
8
14
Ipsos
1–3 Mar 2024
2,000
–
15
29
14
5
18
3
3
7
6
11
INSA
26 Feb – 1 Mar 2024
1,200
–
15
30
13
5
19
3
3
7
5
11
Verian
21–27 Feb 2024
1,392
–
16
30
15
5
18
3
–
4
9
12
INSA
23–26 Feb 2024
2,006
–
15.5
30.5
13
4.5
19
3
3
7.5
4
11.5
Forsa
20–26 Feb 2024
2,503
–
14
30
15
5
17
3
3
4
9
13
INSA
19–23 Feb 2024
1,203
–
15
30
13
5
19
3
3
8
4
11
Wahlkreisprognose
21–22 Feb 2024
1,300
–
14
28.5
12.5
5.5
19
2
2
8.5
8
9.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
20–22 Feb 2024
1,294
18
15
30
14
4
19
4
–
5
9
11
Verian
14–20 Feb 2024
1,505
–
16
29
15
4
19
3
–
5
9
10
INSA
16–19 Feb 2024
2,007
–
14.5
30.5
12.5
4.5
19.5
3.5
3
7.5
4.5
11
Forsa
13–19 Feb 2024
2,504
24
15
30
14
5
17
3
3
4
9
13
INSA
12–16 Feb 2024
1,203
–
14
31
13
4
19
3
3
8
5
12
Allensbach
3–15 Feb 2024
1,053
–
15
32
14
6
18
3
–
7
5
14
INSA
9–12 Feb 2024
2,083
–
15
30
12.5
3.5
20.5
3.5
3
7.5
4.5
9.5
Forsa
6–12 Feb 2024
2,502
25
15
31
14
4
18
3
–
5
10
13
INSA
5–8 Feb 2024
1,276
–
15
30
13
4
20
3
3
7
5
10
YouGov
2–6 Feb 2024
2,018
–
14
31
12
4
20
3
1
7
6
11
INSA
2–5 Feb 2024
2,004
–
15
30
12.5
4.5
20.5
3.5
3
7.5
3.5
9.5
GMS
31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024
1,012
–
16
32
13
4
18
2
3
5
7
14
Forsa
30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024
2,503
25
15
31
14
4
18
3
3
5
7
13
Ipsos
2–4 Feb 2024
2,000
–
15
30
13
4
18
4
3
8
5
12
INSA
29 Jan – 2 Feb 2024
1,202
–
15
30
13
4
20
4
3
7
4
10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024
1,217
20
15
31
13
4
19
3
3
6
6
12
Infratest dimap
29–31 Jan 2024
1,303
–
16
30
14
4
19
3
–
5
9
11
INSA
26–29 Jan 2024
2,002
–
14.5
30
12.5
5
21
3.5
2.5
7
4
9
Forsa
23–29 Jan 2024
2,506
27
15
32
14
3
19
3
3
3
8
13
INSA
22–26 Jan 2024
1,201
–
14
31
13
4
21
4
2
7
4
10
Wahlkreisprognose
22–24 Jan 2024
1,366
26
17.5
30.5
11
4.5
22
2.5
4
–
8
8.5
15.5
27.5
12.5
6.5
19
2.5
2
9
5.5
8.5
Verian
16–23 Jan 2024
1,922
–
16
29
16
4
19
4
–
3
9
10
pollytix
19–22 Jan 2024
1,530
–
15
29
12
5
22
4
–
9
4
7
INSA
19–22 Jan 2024
2,006
–
13.5
30.5
12.5
5
21.5
3
2.5
–
11.5
8
Forsa
16–22 Jan 2024
2,503
–
14
31
14
4
20
4
3
3
7
11
INSA
15–19 Jan 2024
1,203
–
13
30
13
5
22
3
3
7
4
8
Allensbach
5–18 Jan 2024
1,018
–
15
34
13.5
6
19.5
4
3
–
5
14.5
INSA
12–15 Jan 2024
2,004
–
14
31
12
5
23
4
3
–
8
8
Forsa
9–15 Jan 2024
2,504
–
13
31
14
4
22
4
3
–
9
9
INSA
11–12 Jan 2024
1,002
–
14
27
12
4
18
3
3
14
5
9
INSA
8–12 Jan 2024
1,202
–
15
30
12
5
22
4
3
–
9
8
Verian
9–11 Jan 2024
1,359
–
14
31
16
4
22
4
3
–
6
9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Jan 2024
1,337
21
13
31
14
4
22
4
4
4
4
9
INSA
5–8 Jan 2024
2,008
–
16
32
12
5
23
4
3
–
5
9
YouGov
3–8 Jan 2024
1,614
–
15
29
12
6
24
5
2
–
7
5
Forsa
2–8 Jan 2024
2,502
–
15
30
14
4
22
4
3
–
8
8
Ipsos
5–7 Jan 2024
2,000
–
15
30
13
6
22
5
–
–
9
8
INSA
2–5 Jan 2024
1,204
–
16
31
12
5
23
4
3
–
6
8
Wahlkreisprognose
2–4 Jan 2024
1,500
24
12
34
10.5
4.5
24.5
3
4
–
7.5
9.5
Infratest dimap
2–3 Jan 2024
1,321
–
14
31
13
5
22
4
3
–
8
9
INSA
29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024
2,002
–
15
32
13
5
22.5
4
3
–
5.5
9.5
GMS
27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024
1,004
–
14
33
13
6
23
3
3
–
5
10
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
23.4
25.7
24.2
14.7
11.4
10.4
4.9
2.4
–
6.3
1.6
2023
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Abs.
SPD
Union
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke
FW
Others
Lead
INSA
28–29 Dec 2023
1,001
–
15
32
12
5
23
4
3
6
9
INSA
22–27 Dec 2023
2,000
–
15
32
12
5
23
4
3
6
9
Forsa
19–22 Dec 2023
–
–
14
31
14
5
22
3
–
11
9
INSA
18–22 Dec 2023
1,202
–
15
32
12
5
22
4
3
7
10
Infratest dimap
18–20 Dec 2023
1,210
–
14
32
14
5
21
3
4
7
11
Verian
13–19 Dec 2023
1,421
–
15
31
15
4
21
4
–
10
10
INSA
15–18 Dec 2023
2,002
–
15.5
31.5
12.5
5
23
4
2.5
6
8.5
Forsa
12–18 Dec 2023
2,501
26
14
31
13
5
23
3
–
11
8
INSA
11–15 Dec 2023
1,202
–
15
32
12
5
23
4
2
7
9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Dec 2023
1,146
21
14
32
14
5
22
4
3
6
10
Allensbach
1–14 Dec 2023
1,013
–
17
34
15
5
18
3.5
3
4.5
16
Verian
6–12 Dec 2023
1,515
–
15
30
16
5
20
4
–
10
10
INSA
8–11 Dec 2023
2,008
–
16
30
12.5
6
22.5
4
3
6
7.5
GMS
6–11 Dec 2023
1,001
–
14
32
15
5
22
2
3
7
10
Forsa
5–11 Dec 2023
2,501
27
14
31
13
5
22
4
–
11
9
INSA
4–8 Dec 2023
1,203
–
16
30
12
6
22
4
3
7
8
Infratest dimap
4–6 Dec 2023
1,364
–
14
32
15
4
21
3
3
8
11
YouGov
1–6 Dec 2023
1,669
–
14
30
14
6
23
4
2
7
7
Verian
29 Nov – 5 Dec 2023
1,402
–
14
30
17
4
20
4
–
11
10
INSA
1–4 Dec 2023
2,006
–
15.5
29.5
13
6
22.5
3.5
3
7
7
Forsa
28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023
2,501
–
14
30
14
5
22
4
–
11
8
Ipsos
1–3 Dec 2023
2,000
–
16
29
13
6
21
5
–
10
8
INSA
27 Nov – 1 Dec 2023
1,202
–
16
30
13
6
22
3
3
7
8
Verian
20–28 Nov 2023
1,806
–
17
29
16
5
19
4
–
10
10
Wahlkreisprognose
25–27 Nov 2023
1,200
25
15
31
13
5
26
3.5
–
6.5
5
INSA
24–27 Nov 2023
2,007
–
15.5
30.5
12.5
6
22
4
3
6.5
8.5
Forsa
21–27 Nov 2023
2,500
25
14
30
15
5
21
4
–
11
9
INSA
20–24 Nov 2023
1,202
–
16
30
12
6
22
4
3
7
8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
21–23 Nov 2023
1,242
22
15
31
15
5
22
4
–
8
9
Verian
14–21 Nov 2023
1,452
–
16
29
17
5
20
4
–
9
9
INSA
17–20 Nov 2023
2,003
–
16.5
30
13
5.5
21
4.5
3
6.5
9
Forsa
14–20 Nov 2023
2,501
26
15
30
14
5
21
3
3
9
9
INSA
13–17 Nov 2023
1,201
–
16
30
13
6
21
4
3
7
9
Allensbach
1–16 Nov 2023
1,047
–
17
32
13.5
6
19
3.5
4
5
13
Verian
8–14 Nov 2023
1,421
–
16
28
16
6
20
4
–
10
8
INSA
10–13 Nov 2023
2,008
–
16.5
30.5
13.5
5
21.5
4.5
3
5.5
9
Forsa
7–13 Nov 2023
2,504
–
14
30
14
5
21
4
3
9
9
INSA
6–10 Nov 2023
1,204
–
17
30
14
5
21
4
3
6
9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
7–9 Nov 2023
1,234
21
16
30
15
5
21
4
3
6
9
Infratest dimap
7–8 Nov 2023
1,195
–
15
30
15
5
21
4
3
7
9
YouGov
3–7 Nov 2023
1,732
–
15
29
15
5
22
5
2
7
7
Kantar
1–7 Nov 2023
1,443
–
16
28
16
6
20
4
3
7
8
INSA
3–6 Nov 2023
2,006
–
16.5
29.5
13.5
5.5
22
4.5
3
5.5
7.5
Forsa
31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023
2,502
–
15
29
14
5
21
4
3
9
8
Ipsos
3–5 Nov 2023
2,000
–
17
28
15
6
20
5
–
9
8
INSA
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023
1,204
–
16
30
13
6
22
4
3
6
8
Infratest dimap
30 Oct – 1 Nov 2023
1,314
–
16
30
14
4
22
5
3
6
8
Kantar
25–31 Oct 2023
1,418
–
17
27
16
5
21
4
–
10
6
INSA
27–30 Oct 2023
2,010
–
16.5
30.5
13
5.5
21
4
3.5
6
9.5
Forsa
24–30 Oct 2023
2,501
26
15
29
14
5
22
3
3
9
7
INSA
23–27 Oct 2023
1,216
–
16
31
13
6
21
4
3
6
10
Wahlkreisprognose
23–25 Oct 2023
1,300
24
14.5
30
14
6
22
4
–
9.5
8
Kantar
18–24 Oct 2023
1,422
–
16
28
16
5
20
5
–
10
8
INSA
20–23 Oct 2023
2,004
–
16.5
28.5
13
5.5
22
5
3.5
6
6.5
Forsa
17–23 Oct 2023
2,504
–
14
31
14
5
21
4
3
8
10
INSA
16–20 Oct 2023
1,202
–
16
29
13
5
22
5
4
6
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
17–19 Oct 2023
1,252
21
15
30
14
5
21
5
3
7
9
Allensbach
6–19 Oct 2023
1,010
–
17
34
13
5
19
3
4
5
15
Kantar
11–17 Oct 2023
1,388
–
14
31
15
5
21
4
3
7
10
INSA
13–16 Oct 2023
2,006
–
16.5
28
13
6
23
4.5
4
5
5
Forsa
10–16 Oct 2023
2,501
22
14
32
14
4
21
4
3
8
11
INSA
9–13 Oct 2023
1,202
–
17
28
13
6
23
5
4
4
5
Infratest dimap
10–11 Oct 2023
1,203
–
15
29
13
5
23
4
4
5
6
YouGov
6–10 Oct 2023
1,842
–
16
29
15
5
21
6
2
5
8
Kantar
4–10 Oct 2023
1,386
–
16
27
15
6
22
5
3
6
5
INSA
6–9 Oct 2023
2,001
–
17
27
13.5
6
22.5
5
3
6
4.5
Forsa
4–9 Oct 2023
2,003
–
18
28
14
6
20
4
–
10
8
Ipsos
6–8 Oct 2023
2,000
–
17
26
14
7
22
5
–
9
4
INSA
2–6 Oct 2023
1,201
–
17
27
14
6
22
5
3
6
5
INSA
29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023
2,010
–
18
26.5
13.5
7
22
5
2.5
5.5
4.5
Forsa
26–29 Sep 2023
2,004
25
18
28
14
5
20
4
–
11
8
INSA
25–29 Sep 2023
1,206
–
18
26
14
7
22
5
3
5
4
Kantar
26–28 Sep 2023
1,391
–
16
26
16
7
21
5
–
9
5
Infratest dimap
25–27 Sep 2023
1,302
–
16
28
14
6
22
4
3
7
6
Kantar
20–26 Sep 2023
1,356
–
16
27
15
7
21
5
–
9
6
Wahlkreisprognose
24–25 Sep 2023
1,200
24
18.5
24
15
6.5
23
3.5
–
9.5
1
INSA
22–25 Sep 2023
2,003
–
17.5
27
13.5
6.5
21.5
5
3
6
5.5
Forsa
19–25 Sep 2023
2,503
27
17
27
14
6
21
4
–
11
6
INSA
18–22 Sep 2023
1,203
–
17
27
14
6
22
5
3
6
5
Kantar
13–19 Sep 2023
1,370
–
17
27
15
7
21
4
–
9
6
INSA
15–18 Sep 2023
2,008
–
17
26.5
14.5
6
21
5
3.5
6.5
5.5
GMS
13–18 Sep 2023
1,002
–
16
27
15
6
23
4
–
9
4
Forsa
12–18 Sep 2023
2,504
27
17
27
14
6
22
4
–
10
5
INSA
11–15 Sep 2023
1,204
–
17
27
15
6
21
5
3
6
6
Allensbach
4–15 Sep 2023
1,030
–
18
30
14
7
19
5
–
7
11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Sep 2023
1,201
21
17
26
16
6
21
5
3
6
5
Infratest dimap
12–13 Sep 2023
1,222
–
16
28
15
7
22
4
–
8
6
Kantar
6–12 Sep 2023
1,442
–
16
26
15
7
22
5
–
9
4
INSA
8–11 Sep 2023
2,002
–
18
26.5
14
7
22
4.5
–
8
4.5
Forsa
5–11 Sep 2023
2,505
28
17
27
13
7
21
4
–
11
6
INSA
4–8 Sep 2023
1,201
–
18
27
13
7
22
5
–
8
5
YouGov
1–6 Sep 2023
1,833
–
16
29
14
5
23
5
1
8
6
Kantar
30 Aug – 5 Sep 2023
1,441
–
17
26
15
6
21
5
–
10
5
INSA
1–4 Sep 2023
2,010
–
17.5
26.5
13.5
7.5
21.5
4.5
–
9
5
Forsa
29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023
2,506
–
16
27
14
7
21
4
–
11
6
Ipsos
1–3 Sep 2023
2,000
–
17
26
14
8
21
6
–
8
5
INSA
28 Aug – 1 Sep 2023
1,195
–
18
27
13
7
21
5
–
9
6
Infratest dimap
28–30 Aug 2023
1,310
–
16
29
14
6
22
4
–
9
7
Kantar
23–29 Aug 2023
1,330
–
18
25
15
7
20
5
–
10
5
INSA
25–28 Aug 2023
2,006
–
18
26.5
14.5
7
21
4.5
–
8.5
5.5
Forsa
22–28 Aug 2023
2,504
29
17
26
14
7
21
4
–
11
5
Wahlkreisprognose
22–27 Aug 2023
1,200
26
20.5
25
13
7.5
22
4
–
8
3
INSA
21–25 Aug 2023
1,285
–
18
27
14
7
21
5
–
8
6
Kantar
16–22 Aug 2023
1,426
–
18
26
14
7
20
5
–
10
6
INSA
18–21 Aug 2023
2,008
–
18.5
26.5
14
8
20.5
5
–
7.5
6
Forsa
15–21 Aug 2023
2,506
29
18
26
14
7
20
4
–
11
6
INSA
14–18 Aug 2023
1,203
–
18
27
14
8
21
5
–
7
6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
15–17 Aug 2023
1,288
26
19
26
15
7
20
5
–
8
6
Infratest dimap
15–16 Aug 2023
1,216
–
17
27
14
7
21
4
–
10
6
Allensbach
4–16 Aug 2023
1,026
–
19
29
14
7
19
5
–
7
10
Kantar
9–15 Aug 2023
1,426
–
18
26
15
7
19
5
–
10
7
INSA
11–14 Aug 2023
2,002
–
19.5
26
13.5
7
21
4.5
–
8.5
5
Forsa
8–14 Aug 2023
2,501
28
17
25
15
7
21
4
–
11
4
INSA
7–11 Aug 2023
1,200
–
20
26
13
7
21
5
–
8
5
GMS
2–9 Aug 2023
1,004
–
17
27
14
7
21
4
–
10
6
Kantar
2–8 Aug 2023
1,330
–
19
27
16
6
18
6
–
8
8
INSA
4–7 Aug 2023
2,004
–
19
27
14.5
7.5
20.5
4.5
–
7
6.5
Forsa
1–7 Aug 2023
2,502
28
17
25
15
7
21
4
–
11
4
Ipsos
4–6 Aug 2023
1,000
–
17
26
15
8
22
5
–
7
4
INSA
31 Jul – 4 Aug 2023
1,203
–
19
27
14
7
21
5
–
7
6
Infratest dimap
31 Jul – 2 Aug 2023
1,297
–
17
27
15
7
21
4
–
9
6
Kantar
26 Jul – 1 Aug 2023
1,310
–
19
27
16
6
19
5
–
8
8
YouGov
25 Jul – 2 Aug 2023
1,756
–
17
27
14
5
23
6
1
7
4
INSA
28–31 Jul 2023
2,003
–
18.5
26.5
14
6.5
21.5
5
–
8
5
Forsa
25–31 Jul 2023
2,500
28
17
25
15
6
21
5
–
11
4
INSA
24–28 Jul 2023
1,200
–
18
26
14
7
22
5
–
8
4
Wahlkreisprognose
26–27 Jul 2023
1,525
23
20.5
25
13
7
20.5
4.5
3
6.5
4.5
Kantar
19–25 Jul 2023
1,402
–
18
27
16
6
20
5
–
8
7
INSA
21–24 Jul 2023
2,006
–
18.5
26.5
14
7.5
21.5
4.5
–
7.5
5
Forsa
18–24 Jul 2023
2,504
28
18
27
14
6
19
5
–
11
8
INSA
17–21 Jul 2023
1,266
–
18
26
14
7
22
5
–
8
4
Infratest dimap
18–19 Jul 2023
1,235
–
18
28
13
7
20
4
–
10
8
Allensbach
7–19 Jul 2023
1,011
–
19
29
16
7
18
4
–
7
10
Kantar
12–18 Jul 2023
1,403
–
18
26
16
7
20
5
–
8
6
INSA
14–17 Jul 2023
2,004
–
18
27
14
7
20.5
5
–
8.5
6.5
Forsa
11–17 Jul 2023
2,502
26
18
26
15
7
20
4
–
10
6
INSA
10–14 Jul 2023
1,184
–
18
27
14
7
20
5
–
9
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
11–13 Jul 2023
1,347
27
17
27
16
7
20
4
–
9
7
Kantar
5–11 Jul 2023
1,393
–
19
26
15
7
20
5
–
8
6
INSA
7–10 Jul 2023
2,008
–
19
26
14
7
20.5
5
–
8.5
5.5
Ipsos
7–9 Jul 2023
1,000
–
18
26
14
7
22
5
–
8
4
Forsa
4–7 Jul 2023
2,003
25
18
27
14
7
19
5
–
10
8
INSA
3–7 Jul 2023
1,204
–
19
27
13
7
20
5
–
9
7
Infratest dimap
3–5 Jul 2023
1,305
–
18
28
14
7
20
4
–
9
8
YouGov
30 Jun – 4 Jul 2023
1,694
–
18
27
14
6
21
6
1
6
6
Kantar
28 Jun – 4 Jul 2023
1,403
–
18
27
15
6
20
5
–
9
7
INSA
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023
2,897
–
19
25.5
14.5
6.5
21
5
–
8.5
4.5
GMS
28 Jun – 3 Jul 2023
1,005
–
17
28
14
7
20
4
–
10
8
Forsa
27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023
2,501
25
18
27
15
6
19
5
–
10
8
INSA
26–30 Jun 2023
1,401
–
19
26
14
7
20
5
–
9
6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
27–29 Jun 2023
1,379
24
18
28
16
6
19
5
–
8
9
Kantar
20–27 Jun 2023
1,408
–
18
26
15
7
19
5
–
10
7
INSA
23–26 Jun 2023
2,004
–
19.5
26.5
13.5
6.5
20.5
4.5
–
9
6
Forsa
20–26 Jun 2023
2,506
25
18
27
15
7
19
4
–
10
8
Wahlkreisprognose
22–25 Jun 2023
1,399
25
21
24
14.5
6
21
4.5
–
9
3
INSA
19–23 Jun 2023
1,203
–
20
26
13
7
20
4
–
10
6
Allensbach
9–22 Jun 2023
1,039
–
19
31
15
8
17
4
–
6
12
Infratest dimap
20–21 Jun 2023
1,191
–
17
29
15
6
19
4
–
10
10
Kantar
14–20 Jun 2023
1,406
–
19
27
15
7
20
4
–
8
7
INSA
16–19 Jun 2023
2,006
–
20
26.5
13.5
7.5
20
4.5
–
8
6.5
Forsa
13–19 Jun 2023
2,503
25
18
27
15
7
19
4
–
10
8
INSA
12–16 Jun 2023
1,203
–
20
27
13
8
19
4
–
9
7
Civey
9–16 Jun 2023
10,031
–
19
25
16
7
20
5
–
8
5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
13–15 Jun 2023
1,224
21
19
28
16
6
18
5
–
8
9
Kantar
6–13 Jun 2023
1,387
–
20
27
15
6
19
5
–
8
7
INSA
9–12 Jun 2023
2,003
–
20
27
13
8
19.5
4.5
–
8
7
Forsa
6–12 Jun 2023
2,504
24
18
29
14
7
19
4
–
9
10
INSA
5–9 Jun 2023
1,201
–
20
27
13
8
19
5
–
8
7
YouGov
2–7 Jun 2023
1,628
–
19
28
13
5
20
6
1
7
8
Kantar
31 May – 6 Jun 2023
1,402
–
20
27
15
7
18
5
–
8
7
INSA
2–5 Jun 2023
2,009
–
19
26.5
13.5
9
19
5
–
8
7.5
GMS
31 May – 5 Jun 2023
1,001
–
18
29
15
7
19
4
–
8
10
Forsa
30 May – 5 Jun 2023
2,505
23
18
30
14
7
17
4
–
10
12
Ipsos
2–4 Jun 2023
1,000
–
20
28
13
8
19
6
–
6
8
Wahlkreisprognose
1–2 Jun 2023
1,100
24
21
27
13
8
19
4
–
8
6
INSA
30 May – 2 Jun 2023
1,205
–
19
27
13
9
19
5
–
8
8
Infratest dimap
30–31 May 2023
1,302
–
18
29
15
7
18
4
–
9
11
INSA
26–30 May 2023
2,004
–
20.5
28
13
8.5
18
4.5
–
7.5
7.5
Kantar
23–30 May 2023
1,379
–
20
27
15
8
17
5
–
8
7
Forsa
23–26 May 2023
2,001
23
18
29
14
7
17
5
–
10
11
INSA
22–26 May 2023
1,207
–
20
28
13
9
18
4
–
8
8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
23–25 May 2023
1,257
24
20
28
16
6
17
5
–
8
8
Kantar
16–23 May 2023
1,321
–
18
29
15
8
16
5
–
9
11
INSA
19–22 May 2023
2,004
–
20.5
27.5
14
8.5
17
5
–
7.5
7
Forsa
16–22 May 2023
2,003
–
18
30
14
7
16
5
–
10
12
INSA
15–19 May 2023
1,195
–
21
28
14
8
17
5
–
7
7
Kantar
9–16 May 2023
1,401
–
18
28
16
8
16
5
–
9
10
INSA
12–15 May 2023
2,010
–
20
28
14.5
8.5
16.5
5
–
7.5
8
Forsa
9–15 May 2023
2,503
25
17
30
15
8
16
4
–
10
13
INSA
8–12 May 2023
1,205
–
20
28
15
9
16
4
–
8
8
Infratest dimap
9–10 May 2023
1,220
–
18
28
16
8
16
5
–
9
10
Allensbach
28 Apr – 10 May 2023
1,001
–
18
32
16
8
15
5
–
6
14
YouGov
5–9 May 2023
1,700
–
16
31
16
5
17
6
2
7
14
Kantar
3–9 May 2023
1,405
–
18
29
17
8
16
5
–
7
11
INSA
5–8 May 2023
2,008
–
20
28
14
9
16.5
4.5
–
8
8
Forsa
2–8 May 2023
2,505
–
18
29
16
7
16
4
–
10
11
Ipsos
5–7 May 2023
1,000
–
19
29
15
8
16
5
–
8
10
INSA
2–5 May 2023
1,204
–
20
28
14
9
16
4
–
9
8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
2–4 May 2023
1,225
28
19
30
17
6
15
5
–
8
11
Infratest dimap
2–3 May 2023
1,360
–
17
30
16
7
16
5
–
9
13
INSA
28 Apr – 2 May 2023
2,006
–
21
27
15
8
16.5
4.5
–
8
6
Kantar
26 Apr – 2 May 2023
1,394
–
17
31
16
8
16
4
–
8
14
Wahlkreisprognose
26–30 Apr 2023
1,400
24
21
27.5
14
10.5
15
3.5
–
8.5
6.5
Forsa
25–28 Apr 2023
2,007
–
17
30
16
7
16
4
–
10
13
INSA
24–28 Apr 2023
1,202
–
21
28
14
8
16
5
–
8
7
Kantar
18–25 Apr 2023
1,426
–
18
30
16
7
16
5
–
8
12
INSA
21–24 Apr 2023
2,004
–
20
27.5
14.5
9
16
4.5
–
8.5
7.5
Forsa
18–24 Apr 2023
2,506
23
18
30
16
7
15
4
–
10
12
INSA
17–21 Apr 2023
1,202
–
20
28
15
9
16
4
–
8
8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
18–20 Apr 2023
1,266
24
18
31
18
6
15
4
–
8
13
Kantar
12–18 Apr 2023
1,407
–
19
29
17
7
15
4
–
9
10
Allensbach
3–18 Apr 2023
1,007
–
20
31
15
7.5
16
5
–
5.5
11
INSA
14–17 Apr 2023
2,008
–
21
27.5
15
8
16
4.5
–
8
6.5
Forsa
11–17 Apr 2023
2,508
24
18
29
17
7
15
4
–
10
11
INSA
11–14 Apr 2023
1,204
–
21
27
15
8
16
5
–
8
6
Infratest dimap
11–12 Apr 2023
1,204
–
19
29
17
7
15
4
–
9
10
INSA
6–11 Apr 2023
2,005
–
20
27.5
15.5
8
16
4.5
–
8.5
7.5
Kantar
5–11 Apr 2023
1,367
–
21
27
17
8
14
5
–
8
6
Forsa
4–6 Apr 2023
1,501
25
18
30
18
7
14
4
–
10
12
INSA
3–6 Apr 2023
1,204
–
20
28
16
8
16
4
–
8
8
Infratest dimap
3–5 Apr 2023
1,304
–
18
30
17
7
15
4
–
9
12
Ipsos
3–4 Apr 2023
1,000
–
21
27
17
8
15
4
–
8
6
YouGov
30 Mar – 4 Apr 2023
1,522
–
20
30
15
6
17
6
1
6
10
Kantar
29 Mar – 4 Apr 2023
1,269
–
20
27
18
8
14
5
–
8
7
INSA
31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023
2,007
–
20
28
15.5
7.5
16
4.5
–
8.5
8
GMS
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023
1,007
–
19
31
17
6
15
4
–
8
12
Forsa
28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023
2,502
25
18
29
18
7
14
4
–
10
11
INSA
27–31 Mar 2023
1,200
–
21
27
16
8
16
4
–
8
6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
28–30 Mar 2023
1,379
25
19
30
17
7
15
5
–
7
11
Kantar
21–28 Mar 2023
1,387
–
18
28
19
7
15
4
–
9
10
INSA
24–27 Mar 2023
2,004
–
20.5
28
16
8
15.5
4
–
8
7.5
Forsa
21–27 Mar 2023
2,506
24
19
29
18
6
14
4
–
10
10
Wahlkreisprognose
23–26 Mar 2023
1,200
23
23
26.5
15
7.5
13.5
4
–
10.5
3.5
INSA
20–24 Mar 2023
1,203
–
21
28
16
8
15
4
–
8
7
Kantar
14–21 Mar 2023
1,504
–
18
28
18
7
15
5
–
9
10
INSA
17–20 Mar 2023
2,006
–
21.5
28
15
7.5
16
5
–
7
6.5
Forsa
14–20 Mar 2023
2,503
23
19
29
18
6
14
5
–
9
10
INSA
13–17 Mar 2023
1,202
–
21
28
15
8
16
5
–
7
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
14–16 Mar 2023
1,146
24
21
29
19
5
14
5
–
7
8
Infratest dimap
14–15 Mar 2023
1,215
–
18
30
16
7
15
5
–
9
12
Allensbach
2–15 Mar 2023
1,101
–
21
31
16
6.5
15
4.5
–
6
10
Kantar
8–14 Mar 2023
1,432
–
19
28
18
7
15
5
–
8
9
INSA
10–13 Mar 2023
2,002
–
21.5
28.5
15.5
7.5
16
4
–
7
7
Forsa
7–13 Mar 2023
2,505
22
20
29
17
6
14
5
–
9
9
INSA
6–10 Mar 2023
1,268
–
21
29
16
7
15
4
–
8
8
YouGov
3–7 Mar 2023
1,649
–
20
28
16
6
17
7
1
6
8
Kantar
1–7 Mar 2023
1,504
–
19
29
19
7
13
5
–
8
10
INSA
3–6 Mar 2023
2,007
–
20
29.5
15.5
7.5
15.5
5
–
7
9.5
Forsa
28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023
2,504
–
20
31
17
5
13
5
–
9
11
Ipsos
3–4 Mar 2023
1,000
–
20
27
18
7
15
5
–
8
7
INSA
27 Feb – 3 Mar 2023
1,203
–
20
30
16
7
15
5
–
7
10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023
1,165
24
21
29
18
5
15
5
–
7
8
Infratest dimap
27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023
1,311
–
18
31
17
6
14
5
–
9
13
Wahlkreisprognose
27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023
1,419
25
23.5
32
15.5
5
14
3
–
7
8.5
Kantar
21–28 Feb 2023
1,722
–
20
28
18
6
14
6
–
8
8
INSA
24–27 Feb 2023
2,010
–
20.5
29.5
15.5
7.5
15.5
4.5
–
7
9
Forsa
21–27 Feb 2023
2,501
22
20
31
17
5
13
5
–
9
11
INSA
20–24 Feb 2023
1,200
–
21
29
16
7
15
5
–
7
8
Kantar
14–21 Feb 2023
1,373
–
21
29
17
6
15
5
–
7
8
INSA
17–20 Feb 2023
2,006
–
21.5
29
15.5
7
15.5
5
–
6.5
7.5
GMS
15–20 Feb 2023
1,004
–
19
29
17
7
15
5
–
8
10
Forsa
14–20 Feb 2023
2,510
–
19
31
17
6
13
5
–
9
12
INSA
13–17 Feb 2023
1,207
–
21
29
16
7
16
5
–
6
8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
14–16 Feb 2023
1,361
25
20
30
19
5
14
5
–
7
10
Infratest dimap
14–15 Feb 2023
1,216
–
19
29
17
6
15
5
–
9
10
Kantar
8–14 Feb 2023
1,386
–
21
26
18
7
15
5
–
8
5
INSA
10–13 Feb 2023
2,005
–
20
28
16
7.5
16
5
–
7.5
8
Forsa
7–13 Feb 2023
2,505
23
21
28
18
6
13
5
–
9
7
INSA
6–10 Feb 2023
1,457
–
20
28
16
8
16
5
–
7
8
YouGov
3–9 Feb 2023
1,736
–
19
27
16
6
17
6
2
7
8
Allensbach
27 Jan – 9 Feb 2023
1,088
–
22.5
30
16
7.5
14
4
–
6
7.5
Kantar
31 Jan – 7 Feb 2023
1,410
–
21
25
19
7
15
5
–
8
4
INSA
3–6 Feb 2023
2,008
–
21
27
16
8
15.5
5
–
7.5
6
Forsa
31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023
2,502
24
21
28
18
7
13
5
–
8
7
Ipsos
3 Feb 2023
1,000
–
20
26
17
8
16
5
–
8
6
INSA
30 Jan – 3 Feb 2023
1,462
–
21
28
16
8
15
5
–
7
7
Infratest dimap
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2023
1,328
–
20
27
18
7
15
4
–
9
7
Kantar
25–31 Jan 2023
1,405
–
21
25
19
7
15
5
–
8
4
INSA
27–30 Jan 2023
2,007
–
20.5
28.5
16
7.5
15
5
–
7.5
8
Forsa
24–30 Jan 2023
2,503
–
20
27
19
7
13
5
–
9
7
Wahlkreisprognose
26–27 Jan 2023
1,421
26
24
24
18
6.5
14.5
3.5
–
9.5
Tie
INSA
24–27 Jan 2023
1,506
–
20
29
16
7
15
5
–
8
9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
24–26 Jan 2023
1,345
26
21
27
19
6
15
6
–
6
6
Kantar
18–24 Jan 2023
1,392
–
21
27
19
7
14
5
–
7
6
INSA
20–23 Jan 2023
2,009
–
20.5
28
16.5
7.5
15
4.5
–
8
7.5
Forsa
17–23 Jan 2023
2,502
23
19
28
20
7
12
5
–
9
8
INSA
16–21 Jan 2023
1,504
–
20
28
16
7
15
5
–
9
8
Infratest dimap
17–18 Jan 2023
1,211
–
19
29
19
6
14
4
–
9
10
Allensbach
5–18 Jan 2023
1,023
–
21
31
17
6
14
4.5
–
6.5
10
Kantar
11–17 Jan 2023
1,418
–
20
27
20
6
14
5
–
8
7
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 Jan 2023
1,500
–
21.5
24.5
17
8
16.5
3.5
–
9
3
INSA
13–16 Jan 2023
2,006
–
21
28
16.5
7.5
15
5
–
7
7
Forsa
10–16 Jan 2023
2,500
24
18
28
20
7
13
5
–
9
8
INSA
9–13 Jan 2023
1,202
–
20
27
17
8
15
5
–
8
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
10–12 Jan 2023
1,259
26
20
27
21
6
14
6
–
6
6
Civey
5–12 Jan 2023
10,065
–
18
28
20
7
14
5
–
8
8
Ipsos
9–10 Jan 2023
1,000
–
19
27
18
7
15
6
–
8
8
YouGov
6–10 Jan 2023
1,561
–
18
27
17
8
16
6
1
6
9
Kantar
4–10 Jan 2023
1,398
–
19
28
18
7
14
4
–
10
9
INSA
6–9 Jan 2023
2,006
–
20
27
17.5
7.5
15
5
–
8
7
Forsa
3–9 Jan 2023
2,502
23
18
29
20
7
13
5
–
8
9
INSA
2–6 Jan 2023
1,465
–
20
27
18
7
15
5
–
8
7
Infratest dimap
2–4 Jan 2023
1,314
–
18
29
19
6
15
5
–
8
10
GMS
28 Dec – 3 Jan 2023
1,002
–
19
29
17
7
14
5
–
9
10
INSA
29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023
2,010
–
20
27
17.5
7.5
15
4.5
–
8.5
7
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
23.4
25.7
24.2
14.7
11.4
10.4
4.9
2.4
6.3
1.6
2022
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Abs.
SPD
Union
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke
FW
Others
Lead
INSA
27–29 Dec 2022
1,205
–
20
26
18
7
15
5
−
9
6
INSA
19–22 Dec 2022
1,203
–
21
27
17
8
14
5
−
8
6
YouGov
16–21 Dec 2022
1,608
–
19
30
17
7
14
5
1
8
11
INSA
16–19 Dec 2022
2,005
–
21
27.5
17.5
7.5
14.5
4.5
−
7.5
6.5
Forsa
13–19 Dec 2022
2,503
24
19
28
19
7
13
5
−
9
9
INSA
12–16 Dec 2022
1,501
–
21
27
18
7
15
5
−
7
6
Kantar
13–15 Dec 2022
1,717
–
19
29
18
7
14
5
−
8
10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–15 Dec 2022
1,365
22
20
28
20
6
15
5
−
6
8
Allensbach
2–15 Dec 2022
1,035
–
22
30
18
7.5
12
4.5
−
6
8
INSA
9–12 Dec 2022
2,007
–
20
28.5
18
7
15.5
4.5
−
6.5
8.5
Kantar
7–12 Dec 2022
1,429
–
18
28
19
7
14
5
−
9
9
Forsa
6–12 Dec 2022
2,506
24
19
29
19
7
12
5
−
9
10
Wahlkreisprognose
7–9 Dec 2022
1,500
–
22.5
25
16.5
7
14.5
4
−
10.5
2.5
INSA
2–9 Dec 2022
1,502
–
20
28
18
7
15
4
−
8
8
Infratest dimap
6–7 Dec 2022
1,259
–
18
29
18
6
15
5
−
9
11
Kantar
30 Nov – 6 Dec 2022
1,443
–
19
27
19
6
15
5
−
9
8
INSA
3–5 Dec 2022
2,008
–
20.5
28
17
7
14.5
5
−
8
7.5
Forsa
29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022
2,500
25
19
29
19
7
12
5
−
9
10
Ipsos
2–3 Dec 2022
1,000
–
19
27
19
7
14
6
−
8
8
INSA
28 Nov – 2 Dec 2022
1,502
–
20
28
17
7
15
5
−
8
8
Civey
25 Nov – 2 Dec 2022
10,016
–
19
28
21
7
13
4
−
8
7
GMS
28 Nov – 1 Dec 2022
1,005
–
18
28
21
7
12
4
−
10
7
Infratest dimap
28–30 Nov 2022
1,318
–
18
30
18
5
15
5
−
9
12
Kantar
22–29 Nov 2022
1,414
–
18
27
20
7
14
5
−
9
7
INSA
25–28 Nov 2022
2,006
–
21
27
17.5
7
15
5
−
7.5
6
Forsa
22–28 Nov 2022
2,505
24
19
29
20
6
12
5
−
9
9
INSA
21–25 Nov 2022
1,501
–
21
27
18
7
15
5
−
7
6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
22–24 Nov 2022
1,273
26
19
28
22
5
14
6
−
6
6
Kantar
15–22 Nov 2022
1,430
–
19
29
19
7
13
4
−
9
10
INSA
18–21 Nov 2022
2,004
–
20
28
17
7.5
15
5
−
7.5
8
Forsa
15–21 Nov 2022
2,502
25
19
28
20
6
13
5
−
9
8
INSA
14–18 Nov 2022
1,314
–
20
28
17
7
15
5
−
8
8
Allensbach
5–17 Nov 2022
1,042
–
20
29.5
20
7
14
4
−
5.5
9.5
Kantar
9–15 Nov 2022
1,443
–
20
27
19
7
13
5
−
9
7
INSA
11–14 Nov 2022
2,010
–
20.5
27.5
17.5
7
15
4.5
−
8
7
Forsa
8–14 Nov 2022
2,503
25
19
28
20
6
14
4
−
9
8
INSA
8–11 Nov 2022
1,255
–
21
28
18
7
15
4
−
7
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
8–10 Nov 2022
1,310
23
19
28
22
5
15
5
−
6
6
Infratest dimap
8–9 Nov 2022
1,225
–
18
28
19
7
14
4
−
10
9
YouGov
4–9 Nov 2022
1,608
–
18
29
20
5
16
7
1
5
9
Wahlkreisprognose
7–8 Nov 2022
1,300
–
24.5
25.5
16
8.5
14
3.5
−
8
1
Kantar
2–8 Nov 2022
1,442
–
21
26
20
7
14
5
−
7
5
Ipsos
4–7 Nov 2022
1,000
–
19
27
20
7
13
6
−
8
7
INSA
4–7 Nov 2022
2,007
–
21
27
17.5
8
14.5
4.5
−
7.5
6
Forsa
1–7 Nov 2022
2,502
24
19
28
19
6
14
5
−
9
9
INSA
1–4 Nov 2022
1,286
–
21
27
17
8
15
5
−
7
6
Infratest dimap
31 Oct – 2 Nov 2022
1,307
–
19
28
19
6
14
5
−
9
9
Kantar
25 Oct – 2 Nov 2022
1,516
–
21
26
19
8
14
5
−
7
5
INSA
28–31 Oct 2022
2,009
–
20.5
26
18
9
15
4.5
−
7
5.5
Forsa
25–31 Oct 2022
2,503
23
20
27
20
6
14
4
−
9
7
INSA
24–28 Oct 2022
1,230
–
20
26
18
9
15
5
−
7
6
Kantar
19–25 Oct 2022
1,406
–
21
25
20
7
15
5
−
7
4
GMS
19–25 Oct 2022
1,002
–
18
28
20
6
15
4
−
9
8
INSA
21–24 Oct 2022
2,007
–
20.5
26.5
17.5
8.5
15
4.5
−
7.5
6
Forsa
18–24 Oct 2022
2,502
22
19
28
20
6
14
4
−
9
8
Wahlkreisprognose
18–21 Oct 2022
1,910
–
22
25
17.5
8
16
3.5
−
8
3
INSA
17–21 Oct 2022
1,503
–
20
27
18
8
15
5
−
7
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
18–20 Oct 2022
1,389
22
19
28
21
6
15
5
−
6
7
Kantar
12–18 Oct 2022
1,435
–
22
23
20
7
16
4
−
8
1
INSA
14–17 Oct 2022
2,000
–
19.5
27.5
18.5
7.5
15.5
4.5
−
7
8
Forsa
11–17 Oct 2022
2,505
–
20
27
20
6
14
4
−
9
7
INSA
10–14 Oct 2022
1,327
–
19
28
18
8
15
5
−
7
9
Allensbach
1–13 Oct 2022
1,021
–
19
30.5
19
7
14
5
−
5.5
11.5
Infratest dimap
11–12 Oct 2022
1,225
–
19
26
20
6
15
5
−
9
6
YouGov
7–12 Oct 2022
1,617
–
16
29
19
6
15
6
2
7
10
Kantar
5–11 Oct 2022
1,433
–
20
25
21
6
15
5
−
8
4
Forsa
4–10 Oct 2022
2,501
24
18
28
20
6
14
5
−
9
8
INSA
4–10 Oct 2022
2,005
–
19.5
27.5
19
7.5
15
5
−
6.5
8
Ipsos
7–9 Oct 2022
1,000
–
18
27
21
7
13
6
−
8
6
INSA
4–7 Oct 2022
1,315
–
19
27
19
8
15
5
−
7
8
Wahlkreisprognose
3–6 Oct 2022
1,923
–
21
25
16
9
16
4.5
−
8.5
4
Infratest dimap
3–5 Oct 2022
1,307
–
17
28
19
7
15
5
−
9
9
Kantar
28 Sep – 4 Oct 2022
1,864
–
18
27
20
8
14
6
−
7
7
INSA
30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022
2,008
–
19
27.5
18.5
8
15
5.5
−
6.5
8.5
Forsa
27–30 Sep 2022
2,001
25
18
28
20
6
14
5
−
9
8
INSA
26–30 Sep 2022
1,210
–
19
28
18
8
15
6
−
6
9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
27–29 Sep 2022
1,355
27
18
27
22
7
14
5
−
7
5
Kantar
22–27 Sep 2022
1,381
–
19
27
21
8
13
5
−
7
6
INSA
23–26 Sep 2022
2,102
–
18
27.5
19.5
8
15
5.5
−
6.5
8
Forsa
20–26 Sep 2022
2,505
23
18
28
20
7
13
5
−
9
8
INSA
19–23 Sep 2022
1,255
–
19
28
19
8
14
5
−
7
9
Wahlkreisprognose
20–22 Sep 2022
1,700
–
22
26
18
8
13.5
4
−
8.5
4
Kantar
14–20 Sep 2022
1,444
–
19
27
20
7
14
5
−
8
7
GMS
14–20 Sep 2022
1,003
–
18
28
21
7
13
4
−
9
7
INSA
16–19 Sep 2022
2,080
–
18.5
28.5
19
7.5
14
5.5
−
7
9.5
Forsa
13–19 Sep 2022
2,506
23
19
28
19
7
13
5
−
9
9
INSA
12–16 Sep 2022
1,476
–
19
28
19
7
13
6
−
8
9
Infratest dimap
13–14 Sep 2022
1,224
–
17
28
21
7
14
5
−
8
7
Allensbach
1–14 Sep 2022
1,030
–
20
30
19
7
13
5.5
−
5.5
10
YouGov
9–13 Sep 2022
1,635
–
16
29
19
6
14
7
1
7
10
Kantar
7–13 Sep 2022
1,443
–
20
26
21
7
13
5
−
8
5
Forsa
6–13 Sep 2022
2,501
–
19
28
20
6
13
5
−
9
8
INSA
9–12 Sep 2022
2,039
–
18
28
20
8
13.5
5.5
−
7
8
Wahlkreisprognose
9–11 Sep 2022
1,300
–
20
25.5
19
7
14
5.5
−
9
5.5
INSA
5–9 Sep 2022
1,443
–
19
27
20
8
13
5
−
8
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
6–8 Sep 2022
1,299
25
19
28
23
6
13
5
−
6
5
Kantar
31 Aug – 6 Sep 2022
1,416
–
20
25
21
8
12
5
−
9
4
INSA
2–5 Sep 2022
2,004
–
18
28
20.5
7.5
13.5
5.5
−
7
7.5
Forsa
30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022
2,500
25
18
26
24
7
11
5
−
9
2
Ipsos
2–4 Sep 2022
1,000
–
19
26
21
8
12
6
−
8
5
INSA
29 Aug – 2 Sep 2022
1,203
–
19
28
20
8
13
5
−
7
8
Infratest dimap
29–31 Aug 2022
1,324
–
17
27
22
8
13
5
−
8
5
Kantar
24–30 Aug 2022
1,411
–
21
24
22
8
12
5
−
8
2
INSA
26–29 Aug 2022
2,138
–
19
27.5
20.5
8
13
5.5
−
6.5
7
Forsa
23–29 Aug 2022
2,503
25
17
26
25
7
11
5
−
9
1
INSA
22–26 Aug 2022
1,204
–
20
28
21
8
12
5
−
6
7
Civey
18–25 Aug 2022
10,014
–
19
27
22
7
11
5
−
9
5
Kantar
17–23 Aug 2022
1,431
–
19
26
23
7
12
5
−
8
3
INSA
19–22 Aug 2022
2,091
–
18.5
28
21
7.5
13
5.5
−
6.5
7
Forsa
16–22 Aug 2022
2,505
25
18
26
25
7
11
4
−
9
1
INSA
15–19 Aug 2022
1,427
–
19
28
21
8
12
5
−
7
7
Wahlkreisprognose
16–18 Aug 2022
1,433
–
18
25
26
6
14
3
−
8
1
Allensbach
5–18 Aug 2022
1,038
–
19.5
29
21
8
12
5
−
5.5
8
Infratest dimap
16–17 Aug 2022
1,273
–
18
28
23
7
12
4
−
8
5
Kantar
10–16 Aug 2022
1,429
–
20
28
23
6
12
4
−
7
5
INSA
12–15 Aug 2022
2,146
–
19
28
22
8
12
5
−
6
6
Forsa
9–15 Aug 2022
2,500
28
18
26
25
6
11
4
−
10
1
INSA
8–12 Aug 2022
1,502
–
19
27
22
9
12
5
−
6
5
Wahlkreisprognose
6–12 Aug 2022
2,920
–
16
24
25.5
8
14.5
3.5
−
8.5
1.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Aug 2022
1,389
25
19
26
26
7
12
4
−
6
Tie
YouGov
5–10 Aug 2022
1,595
–
19
27
21
6
14
6
1
7
6
Kantar
3–9 Aug 2022
1,422
–
21
27
22
7
11
5
−
7
5
Ipsos
5–8 Aug 2022
1,000
–
19
27
22
8
11
5
−
8
5
INSA
5–8 Aug 2022
2,099
–
18
27
21.5
8
12.5
5.5
−
7.5
5.5
Forsa
2–8 Aug 2022
2,504
26
18
26
24
7
10
5
−
10
2
INSA
1–5 Aug 2022
1,701
–
19
27
21
9
12
5
−
7
6
Infratest dimap
1–3 Aug 2022
1,313
–
17
28
23
7
13
4
−
8
5
Kantar
26 Jul – 2 Aug 2022
1,426
–
21
25
23
6
11
5
−
9
2
INSA
29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022
2,144
–
18.5
26.5
22
8
12
5
−
8
4.5
Forsa
26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022
2,504
–
18
27
24
7
10
5
−
9
3
INSA
25–29 Jul 2022
1,202
–
19
26
22
9
12
5
−
7
4
Kantar
19–26 Jul 2022
1,413
–
21
26
22
7
11
5
−
8
4
INSA
22–25 Jul 2022
2,043
–
18.5
26.5
22
8
12
5
−
8
4.5
GMS
20–25 Jul 2022
1,005
–
18
27
23
9
10
5
−
8
4
Forsa
19–25 Jul 2022
2,510
22
19
26
24
6
10
5
−
10
2
INSA
18–22 Jul 2022
1,501
–
18
27
23
8
12
5
−
7
4
Allensbach
8–21 Jul 2022
1,006
–
22
27.5
22
7
11
5
−
5.5
5.5
Infratest dimap
19–20 Jul 2022
1,210
–
19
27
22
7
12
4
−
9
5
Wahlkreisprognose
19–20 Jul 2022
1,400
−
22
24
24
8.5
10.5
3.5
−
7.5
Tie
Kantar
13–19 Jul 2022
1,392
–
19
25
23
8
11
5
−
9
2
INSA
15–18 Jul 2022
2,062
–
18.5
26.5
22
8
12
4.5
−
8.5
4.5
Forsa
12–18 Jul 2022
2,501
–
20
26
24
6
9
5
−
10
2
Civey
11–18 Jul 2022
10,018
–
20
27
23
7
10
5
−
8
4
INSA
11–15 Jul 2022
1,277
–
19
26
22
8
11
5
−
9
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Jul 2022
1,167
25
21
26
25
6
11
5
−
6
1
Kantar
6–12 Jul 2022
1,433
–
20
25
24
8
11
4
−
8
1
INSA
8–11 Jul 2022
2,044
–
20
27
21
8.5
11
4.5
−
8
6
Forsa
5–11 Jul 2022
2,503
22
19
26
24
7
9
5
−
10
2
INSA
4–8 Jul 2022
1,202
–
19
28
22
8
10
4
−
9
6
Wahlkreisprognose
5–6 Jul 2022
1,700
−
22
25
22
8
10
4
−
9
3
Infratest dimap
4–6 Jul 2022
1,327
–
19
27
23
8
11
4
−
8
4
YouGov
1–5 Jul 2022
1,655
–
19
28
20
7
12
5
1
8
8
Kantar
28 Jun – 5 Jul 2022
1,426
–
20
25
24
7
10
5
−
9
1
INSA
1–4 Jul 2022
2,066
–
19
28
21
9.5
11
4
−
7.5
7
Forsa
28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022
2,502
23
20
26
24
8
9
4
−
9
2
Ipsos
1–2 Jul 2022
1,000
–
22
26
20
9
10
5
−
8
4
INSA
27 Jun – 2 Jul 2022
1,253
–
20
27
22
9
11
4
−
7
5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
28–30 Jun 2022
1,186
20
21
27
25
6
10
5
−
6
2
Kantar
21–28 Jun 2022
1,410
–
20
26
25
8
10
4
−
7
1
INSA
24–27 Jun 2022
2,101
–
20
27
21.5
9
10.5
4
−
8
5.5
Forsa
21–27 Jun 2022
2,500
22
20
26
24
8
9
4
−
9
2
Wahlkreisprognose
23–26 Jun 2022
2,430
−
22
25
21
7
12
4
−
9
3
INSA
20–24 Jun 2022
1,414
–
20
26
22
9
11
4
−
8
4
Infratest dimap
21–22 Jun 2022
1,248
–
20
26
23
8
12
4
−
7
3
Kantar
14–21 Jun 2022
1,769
–
20
26
24
8
10
4
−
8
2
INSA
17–20 Jun 2022
2,063
–
19.5
28
21
9.5
10
4
−
8
7
GMS
15–20 Jun 2022
1,003
–
21
29
21
8
8
4
−
9
8
Forsa
14–20 Jun 2022
2,504
25
19
28
23
8
9
4
−
9
5
INSA
13–17 Jun 2022
1,501
–
20
27
21
9
10
4
−
9
6
Allensbach
3–17 Jun 2022
1,046
–
23
27
22
8
10
4.5
−
5.5
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
13–15 Jun 2022
1,133
22
22
26
25
6
10
5
−
6
1
Kantar
8–14 Jun 2022
1,895
–
20
28
22
8
9
4
−
9
6
INSA
10–13 Jun 2022
2,082
–
20
27.5
21
9.5
10.5
3.5
−
8
6.5
Forsa
7–13 Jun 2022
2,511
20
20
27
23
8
9
4
−
9
4
INSA
7–10 Jun 2022
1,203
–
21
27
21
9
10
4
−
8
6
Wahlkreisprognose
7–8 Jun 2022
1,603
−
22
24
20
7
13
6
−
8
2
Ipsos
3–7 Jun 2022
1,000
–
23
27
19
9
10
4
−
8
4
YouGov
3–7 Jun 2022
1,633
–
18
30
21
7
12
6
1
6
9
INSA
3–7 Jun 2022
2,055
–
20
27
21.5
9.5
10.5
3.5
−
8
5.5
Kantar
1–7 Jun 2022
1,428
–
22
26
23
9
8
4
−
8
3
Forsa
31 May – 3 Jun 2022
2,002
20
19
27
23
8
10
4
−
9
4
INSA
30 May – 3 Jun 2022
1,501
–
22
27
20
9
9
4
−
9
5
Infratest dimap
30 May – 1 Jun 2022
1,226
–
21
27
21
8
11
4
−
8
6
Wahlkreisprognose
30 May – 1 Jun 2022
1,500
−
18
27
25.5
8
9
4
−
8.5
1.5
Kantar
24–31 May 2022
1,428
–
20
28
23
8
8
4
−
9
5
INSA
27–30 May 2022
2,056
–
22
27
20.5
8.5
10
3.5
−
8.5
5
GMS
25–30 May 2022
1,005
–
22
30
20
8
7
4
−
9
8
Forsa
24–30 May 2022
2,004
21
19
29
24
7
9
4
−
8
5
INSA
23–27 May 2022
1,337
–
23
27
19
9
9
4
−
9
4
Kantar
17–24 May 2022
1,422
–
21
27
21
8
9
5
−
9
6
INSA
20–23 May 2022
2,100
–
22
28.5
20
8.5
10.5
3
−
7.5
6.5
Forsa
17–23 May 2022
2,505
22
21
28
23
7
9
4
−
8
5
Civey
16–23 May 2022
10,050
–
22
27
20
8
11
5
−
7
5
INSA
16–20 May 2022
1,214
–
21
28
19
10
10
3
−
9
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
17–19 May 2022
1,162
22
22
26
24
7
10
4
−
7
2
Allensbach
6–18 May 2022
1,118
–
24
29
20.5
8
9
4.5
−
5
5
Kantar
11–17 May 2022
1,425
–
22
26
21
8
10
5
−
8
4
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 May 2022
1,302
−
23.5
29
23
5.5
7.5
2.5
−
9
5.5
INSA
13–16 May 2022
2,147
–
21.5
28
20.5
9
11
3
−
7
6.5
Forsa
10–16 May 2022
2,502
23
22
27
22
8
8
4
−
9
5
INSA
9–13 May 2022
1,501
–
22
27
18
10
10
4
−
9
5
Infratest dimap
10–11 May 2022
1,226
–
22
26
20
8
11
4
−
9
4
YouGov
6–10 May 2022
1,659
–
20
28
19
9
10
5
1
7
8
Kantar
4–10 May 2022
1,426
–
22
26
20
9
10
5
−
8
4
Wahlkreisprognose
8–9 May 2022
1,610
−
24
23.5
22.5
10.5
9
3
−
7.5
0.5
INSA
6–9 May 2022
2,086
–
22.5
27.5
19
10
10.5
3.5
−
7
5
Forsa
3–9 May 2022
2,501
–
23
26
21
9
9
4
−
8
3
Ipsos
6 May 2022
906
–
24
25
16
11
11
5
−
8
1
INSA
2–6 May 2022
1,501
–
23
27
18
11
10
3
−
8
4
pollytix
29 Apr – 4 May 2022
1,303
–
22
26
17
12
12
5
−
6
4
Kantar
26 Apr – 3 May 2022
1,570
–
23
27
19
9
9
5
−
8
4
INSA
29 Apr – 2 May 2022
2,146
–
23
27
19
9.5
10.5
4.5
−
6.5
4
Forsa
26 Apr – 2 May 2022
2,508
–
23
26
20
9
9
4
−
9
3
INSA
25–29 Apr 2022
1,202
–
23
26
18
10
11
4
−
8
3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
26–28 Apr 2022
1,170
21
25
23
21
9
11
4
−
7
2
Infratest dimap
25–27 Apr 2022
1,314
–
24
26
18
9
11
3
−
9
2
Kantar
19–26 Apr 2022
1,431
–
23
25
20
9
9
5
−
9
2
INSA
22–25 Apr 2022
2,056
–
24
26.5
18
9
11.5
4.5
−
6.5
2.5
GMS
20–25 Apr 2022
1,003
–
26
26
18
8
9
4
−
9
Tie
Forsa
19–25 Apr 2022
2,507
25
24
25
20
9
9
4
−
9
1
Civey
8–25 Apr 2022
10,011
–
24
25
20
9
11
4
−
7
1
Wahlkreisprognose
23 Apr 2022
1,007
−
24.5
22.5
22
11
8.5
3
−
8.5
2
INSA
19–22 Apr 2022
1,296
–
24
26
18
9
11
5
−
7
2
Kantar
12–19 Apr 2022
1,715
–
25
25
19
9
9
4
−
9
Tie
INSA
15–18 Apr 2022
2,073
–
23.5
26
19
9
11
4.5
−
7
2.5
Forsa
12–14 Apr 2022
1,501
25
25
25
20
8
9
4
−
9
Tie
INSA
11–14 Apr 2022
1,402
–
25
26
17
10
10
5
−
7
1
Infratest dimap
11–12 Apr 2022
1,226
–
24
26
18
8
11
4
−
9
2
YouGov
8–12 Apr 2022
1,643
–
21
26
18
9
12
6
1
7
5
Kantar
6–12 Apr 2022
1,960
–
26
25
19
8
10
4
−
8
1
INSA
8–11 Apr 2022
2,061
–
25
27
17.5
9
11
4.5
−
6
2
Forsa
5–11 Apr 2022
2,500
25
27
24
19
8
9
4
−
9
3
INSA
4–8 Apr 2022
1,503
–
25
26
16
10
11
4
−
8
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
5–7 Apr 2022
1,230
21
27
24
19
8
11
4
−
7
3
Infratest dimap
4–6 Apr 2022
1,325
–
24
25
19
9
11
4
−
8
1
Allensbach
25 Mar – 6 Apr 2022
1,075
–
28
24
17
9
9
6
−
7
4
Kantar
30 Mar – 5 Apr 2022
1,437
–
27
25
19
8
10
4
−
7
2
Wahlkreisprognose
3–4 Apr 2022
2,450
−
27
25.5
19
8.5
9
3
−
8
1.5
INSA
1–4 Apr 2022
2,063
–
25
26
17.5
10.5
10.5
4.5
−
6
1
Ipsos
1 Apr 2022
912
–
25
23
15
12
12
6
−
7
2
Forsa
29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022
2,508
24
27
24
19
8
9
4
−
9
3
INSA
25 Mar – 1 Apr 2022
1,501
–
26
26
16
10
11
4
−
7
Tie
Kantar
23–29 Mar 2022
1,428
–
25
26
18
9
9
5
−
8
1
INSA
25–28 Mar 2022
2,070
–
25
26
16.5
10
10.5
5.5
−
6.5
1
Forsa
22–28 Mar 2022
2,507
22
24
26
18
9
9
5
−
9
2
INSA
21–25 Mar 2022
1,205
–
26
26
16
10
11
5
−
6
Tie
Kantar
16–22 Mar 2022
1,429
–
26
25
18
9
9
6
−
7
1
INSA
18–21 Mar 2022
2,122
–
24.5
26.5
16.5
11
11
4.5
−
6
2
Forsa
15–21 Mar 2022
2,501
22
23
27
18
10
9
5
−
8
4
Allensbach
9–21 Mar 2022
1,041
–
25
25
17
10.5
10
5
−
7.5
Tie
Wahlkreisprognose
18–20 Mar 2022
1,923
−
26.5
25.5
18.5
10
8.5
3
−
8
1
INSA
14–18 Mar 2022
1,198
–
26
26
16
10
10
5
−
7
Tie
Infratest dimap
15–16 Mar 2022
1,254
–
25
26
17
9
11
4
−
8
1
Kantar
9–15 Mar 2022
1,416
–
26
26
19
8
9
5
−
7
Tie
INSA
11–14 Mar 2022
2,073
–
25
25.5
15.5
10.5
10.5
5
−
8
0.5
Forsa
8–14 Mar 2022
2,502
–
25
26
18
9
9
5
−
8
1
INSA
7–11 Mar 2022
1,201
–
26
24
16
10
10
6
−
8
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
8–10 Mar 2022
1,345
19
27
24
18
9
10
5
−
7
3
YouGov
4–8 Mar 2022
1,629
–
23
26
16
9
11
6
1
7
3
Kantar
2–8 Mar 2022
1,426
–
25
26
19
8
10
5
−
7
1
INSA
4–7 Mar 2022
2,103
–
25
24.5
15.5
11
10.5
6
−
7.5
0.5
Ipsos
4 Mar 2022
935
–
25
24
16
11
11
6
−
7
1
Forsa
1–7 Mar 2022
2,501
22
26
25
18
9
7
6
−
9
1
INSA
28 Feb – 4 Mar 2022
1,185
–
25
25
15
11
11
6
−
7
Tie
Infratest dimap
28 Feb – 2 Mar 2022
1,320
–
25
26
16
9
11
5
−
8
1
Kantar
23 Feb – 1 Mar 2022
1,405
–
26
26
17
8
10
6
−
7
Tie
INSA
25–28 Feb 2022
2,067
–
23
27
15.5
11
10.5
6.5
−
6.5
4
Forsa
24–28 Feb 2022
1,500
–
25
26
18
9
7
6
−
9
1
Wahlkreisprognose
24–27 Feb 2022
2,030
−
26
23.5
17.5
11.5
10.5
4
−
7
2.5
GMS
23–26 Feb 2022
1,005
–
24
27
15
10
9
6
−
9
3
INSA
21–25 Feb 2022
1,405
–
23
26
15
11
12
7
−
6
3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
21–23 Feb 2022
1,103
20
26
24
17
9
11
6
−
7
2
Kantar
16–22 Feb 2022
1,432
–
26
25
17
9
10
7
−
6
1
INSA
18–21 Feb 2022
1,539
–
23
27
14.5
12.5
11
6
−
6
4
Forsa
15–21 Feb 2022
2,500
23
23
27
17
9
9
6
−
9
4
INSA
14–18 Feb 2022
1,303
–
22
27
15
11
12
7
−
6
5
Infratest dimap
15–16 Feb 2022
1,202
–
24
26
15
9
12
5
−
9
2
Allensbach
3–16 Feb 2022
1,033
–
23
27
15
10.5
10
6
−
6.5
4
Wahlkreisprognose
13–15 Feb 2022
1,200
−
25
24.5
17
9.5
9.5
6
−
8.5
0.5
YouGov
10–15 Feb 2022
1,659
–
21
27
17
9
11
7
1
6
6
Kantar
8–15 Feb 2022
1,434
–
24
24
16
10
12
6
−
8
Tie
INSA
11–14 Feb 2022
2,141
–
22.5
26
15
12
12
6
−
6.5
3.5
Forsa
8–14 Feb 2022
2,504
22
23
27
16
9
9
6
−
10
4
INSA
7–11 Feb 2022
1,504
–
22
26
16
11
12
6
−
7
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
8–10 Feb 2022
1,224
18
25
25
16
9
11
6
−
8
Tie
pollytix
4–8 Feb 2022
1,547
–
23
27
15
9
12
8
−
6
4
Kantar
1–8 Feb 2022
1,287
–
22
26
16
10
12
6
−
8
4
INSA
4–7 Feb 2022
2,067
–
23
26
15
12
11
7
−
6
3
Ipsos
4 Feb 2022
910
–
25
24
16
8
12
8
−
7
1
Forsa
1–7 Feb 2022
2,502
23
22
27
16
9
10
6
−
10
5
INSA
1–4 Feb 2022
1,202
–
22
27
16
11
11
6
−
7
5
Wahlkreisprognose
1–3 Feb 2022
2,330
−
21
28
19
8.5
10
5.5
−
8
7
Civey
22 Jan – 3 Feb 2022
10,070
–
25
25
15
10
11
6
–
8
Tie
Infratest dimap
31 Jan – 2 Feb 2022
1,339
–
22
27
16
10
12
5
–
8
5
Kantar
26 Jan – 1 Feb 2022
1,410
–
24
24
17
9
11
6
−
9
Tie
INSA
28–31 Jan 2022
2,247
–
24
25
15
12.5
10
6.5
–
7
1
Forsa
25–31 Jan 2022
2,501
23
23
27
16
9
10
6
–
9
4
INSA
24–28 Jan 2022
1,383
–
26
24
16
11
11
6
–
6
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
25–27 Jan 2022
1,249
21
24
23
18
10
10
7
–
8
1
YouGov
21–25 Jan 2022
1,602
–
23
26
15
8
12
8
2
7
3
Kantar
19–25 Jan 2022
1,415
–
24
24
18
10
10
6
–
8
Tie
INSA
21–24 Jan 2022
2,146
–
26
24
15
11.5
11
6
–
6.5
2
Forsa
18–24 Jan 2022
2,502
22
25
24
16
10
10
6
–
9
1
INSA
17–21 Jan 2022
1,204
–
26
23
16
12
12
6
–
5
3
Allensbach
6–20 Jan 2022
1,090
–
27.5
23
14.5
12.5
10
5.5
–
7
4.5
Infratest dimap
18–19 Jan 2022
1,424
–
25
24
16
10
12
5
–
8
1
Wahlkreisprognose
15–18 Jan 2022
1,920
−
27.5
22.5
17
10.5
10
4.5
–
8
5
Kantar
12–18 Jan 2022
1,441
–
26
22
17
9
12
6
–
8
4
INSA
14–17 Jan 2022
2,130
–
26
22.5
15.5
12
12
6
–
6
3.5
Forsa
11–17 Jan 2022
2,504
22
25
25
16
10
10
5
–
9
Tie
INSA
10–14 Jan 2022
1,504
–
27
23
16
11
12
5
–
6
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
11–13 Jan 2022
1,128
21
27
22
16
11
10
6
–
8
5
Kantar
5–11 Jan 2022
1,426
–
26
23
17
10
10
6
–
8
3
INSA
7–10 Jan 2022
2,107
–
26.5
23
15
12
12
5
–
6.5
3.5
Forsa
3–10 Jan 2022
3,003
22
25
25
17
10
9
5
–
9
Tie
Ipsos
6–9 Jan 2022
929
–
25
21
15
11
12
6
–
10
4
INSA
3–7 Jan 2022
1,504
–
27
23
16
12
11
5
–
6
4
Infratest dimap
3–5 Jan 2022
1,325
–
26
23
16
11
11
5
–
8
3
INSA
30 Dec – 3 Jan 2022
2,060
–
26.5
23
15.5
11
11.5
6
–
6.5
3.5
GMS
29 Dec – 3 Jan 2022
1,003
–
26
24
16
12
11
4
–
7
2
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
23.4
25.7
24.2
14.7
11.4
10.4
4.9
2.4
6.3
1.5
2021
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Abs.
SPD
Union
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke
FW
Others
Lead
INSA
27–30 Dec 2021
1,201
–
27
24
16
10
11
5
–
7
3
INSA
20–23 Dec 2021
1,195
–
28
23
15
11
11
5
–
7
5
INSA
17–20 Dec 2021
2,075
–
27.5
21.5
14.5
13
11.5
5.5
–
6.5
6
Forsa
14–20 Dec 2021
2,501
–
26
24
16
10
9
5
–
10
2
Wahlkreisprognose
18–19 Dec 2021
1,120
−
30
21.5
14.5
11.5
10
4
–
8.5
8.5
INSA
13–18 Dec 2021
1,501
–
27
23
14
12
12
5
–
7
4
Kantar
14–16 Dec 2021
1,436
–
27
22
16
11
11
5
–
8
5
Allensbach
1–15 Dec 2021
1,069
–
26
24
15
13
10.5
5
–
6.5
2
YouGov
10–14 Dec 2021
1,715
–
27
23
16
10
11
6
2
6
4
Kantar
8–14 Dec 2021
1,440
–
27
22
16
11
10
5
–
9
5
INSA
10–13 Dec 2021
2,221
–
27
22
14.5
13
11.5
5.5
–
6.5
5
Forsa
7–13 Dec 2021
2,509
–
26
23
15
11
10
5
–
10
3
INSA
6–10 Dec 2021
1,480
–
26
22
15
13
11
5
–
8
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
7–9 Dec 2021
1,303
21
28
21
17
12
10
5
–
7
7
Infratest dimap
7–8 Dec 2021
1,266
–
26
23
16
12
11
5
–
7
3
Civey
1–8 Dec 2021
10,043
–
27
23
15
11
11
5
–
8
4
Kantar
1–7 Dec 2021
1,439
–
28
21
15
11
11
5
3
6
7
INSA
3–6 Dec 2021
2,119
–
26
22
15
13.5
11.5
5.5
–
6.5
4
Wahlkreisprognose
1–6 Dec 2021
1,002
−
29
18
16.5
13.5
11
4
–
8
11
Forsa
30 Nov – 6 Dec 2021
2,503
–
25
22
17
11
10
5
–
10
3
INSA
29 Nov – 3 Dec 2021
1,348
–
26
21
15
13
12
5
–
8
5
Infratest dimap
29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021
1,316
–
25
23
17
12
11
5
–
7
2
Civey
24 Nov – 1 Dec 2021
10,078
–
26
24
15
11
11
5
–
8
2
Kantar
24–30 Nov 2021
1,425
–
27
20
16
12
11
6
–
8
7
INSA
26–29 Nov 2021
2,129
–
25
21
16
14
11
5.5
–
7.5
4
Forsa
23–29 Nov 2021
2,509
–
24
22
17
12
10
5
–
10
2
INSA
22–26 Nov 2021
1,403
–
26
21
15
13
12
6
–
7
5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
23–25 Nov 2021
1,344
19
28
19
17
13
11
5
–
7
9
Infratest dimap
23–24 Nov 2021
1,239
–
25
21
17
13
11
5
–
8
4
Wahlkreisprognose
22–24 Nov 2021
1,002
–
27
22.5
15.5
11.5
10
5
–
8.5
4.5
Civey
17–24 Nov 2021
10,064
–
25
24
15
11
11
5
–
9
1
YouGov
19–23 Nov 2021
1,797
–
25
23
16
11
12
6
2
5
2
Kantar
17–23 Nov 2021
1,424
–
24
22
18
11
11
6
–
8
2
INSA
19–22 Nov 2021
2,096
–
26
22
14
14
11
5.5
–
7.5
4
Forsa
16–22 Nov 2021
2,501
21
24
22
17
12
10
5
–
10
2
INSA
15–19 Nov 2021
1,501
–
26
21
15
13
12
5
–
8
5
Civey
10–17 Nov 2021
10,077
–
26
23
15
12
11
5
–
8
3
Kantar
10–16 Nov 2021
1,433
–
24
21
18
12
11
6
–
8
3
INSA
12–15 Nov 2021
2,091
–
27
21
15
13
11.5
5.5
–
7
6
Forsa
9–15 Nov 2021
2,510
21
24
22
17
12
10
5
–
10
2
INSA
8–12 Nov 2021
1,202
–
26
22
15
13
11
5
–
8
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Nov 2021
1,257
16
28
20
16
13
11
5
–
7
8
Allensbach
29 Oct – 11 Nov 2021
1,016
–
27
23
15
14
9.5
5.5
–
6
4
Civey
3–10 Nov 2021
9,999
–
26
22
15
13
11
5
–
8
4
Kantar
3–9 Nov 2021
1,424
–
25
21
16
14
10
6
–
8
4
INSA
5–8 Nov 2021
2,112
–
26.5
20.5
16
13.5
10.5
5.5
–
7.7
6
Forsa
2–8 Nov 2021
2,502
–
25
22
16
14
9
5
–
9
3
INSA
1–5 Nov 2021
1,212
–
27
21
15
14
11
5
–
7
6
Wahlkreisprognose
31 Oct – 5 Nov 2021
1,200
–
28
20.5
15.5
14
10.5
4
–
7.5
7.5
GMS
1–4 Nov 2021
1,005
–
26
21
16
15
10
4
–
8
5
Infratest dimap
2–3 Nov 2021
1,329
–
27
21
16
13
10
5
–
8
6
Civey
27 Oct – 3 Nov 2021
10,069
–
26
22
15
13
11
5
–
8
4
Kantar
27 Oct – 2 Nov 2021
1,417
–
25
22
16
13
10
5
3
6
3
INSA
29 Oct – 1 Nov 2021
2,140
–
27
20
16
13.5
11.5
5
–
7
7
Forsa
26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021
2,501
–
25
21
16
15
9
5
–
9
4
INSA
25–29 Oct 2021
1,503
–
27
21
16
13
11
5
–
7
6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
26–28 Oct 2021
1,208
15
27
20
16
14
11
5
–
7
7
Infratest dimap
26–27 Oct 2021
1,239
–
26
22
16
13
10
4
–
9
4
Civey
20–27 Oct 2021
10,050
–
25
21
15
14
12
5
–
8
4
Kantar
19–26 Oct 2021
1,422
–
25
21
17
14
11
5
–
7
4
INSA
22–25 Oct 2021
2,105
–
28
20
16
14
11
5
–
6
8
Forsa
19–25 Oct 2021
2,510
–
25
20
17
16
9
5
–
8
5
INSA
18–22 Oct 2021
1,205
–
27
20
17
14
11
4
–
7
7
Civey
13–20 Oct 2021
10,028
–
25
20
15
15
11
6
–
8
5
Kantar
13–19 Oct 2021
1,424
–
25
21
16
13
11
5
–
9
4
INSA
15–18 Oct 2021
2,140
–
28
18.5
16
15
11.5
5
–
6
9.5
Forsa
12–18 Oct 2021
2,502
–
26
20
16
15
9
5
–
9
6
INSA
11–15 Oct 2021
1,195
–
28
19
16
13
11
4
–
9
9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Oct 2021
1,329
14
28
19
17
13
11
5
–
7
9
Allensbach
1–14 Oct 2021
1,045
–
28
21
15
14
9.5
5
–
7.5
7
Civey
6–13 Oct 2021
9,999
–
26
20
14
15
11
6
–
8
6
Kantar
6–12 Oct 2021
1,410
–
26
19
17
14
10
5
–
9
7
INSA
8–11 Oct 2021
2,101
–
28.5
19.5
16
14.5
11
4
–
6.5
9
Wahlkreisprognose
7–10 Oct 2021
1,210
–
27
19
17.5
14
10
4
–
8.5
8
Forsa
5–11 Oct 2021
2,503
–
26
20
16
14
9
5
–
10
6
INSA
4–8 Oct 2021
1,509
–
28
20
15
14
10
5
–
8
8
Civey
29 Sep – 6 Oct 2021
10,009
–
28
19
15
14
11
6
–
7
9
Kantar
28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021
1,985
–
26
20
17
13
10
5
3
6
6
INSA
1–4 Oct 2021
2,000
–
28
21
15.5
13.5
10
4.5
–
7.5
7
Forsa
27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021
3,004
–
26
20
16
14
9
5
–
10
6
INSA
27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021
1,254
–
28
21
16
12
10
5
–
8
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
28–30 Sep 2021
1,249
15
28
20
16
13
10
5
–
8
8
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
23.4
25.7
24.2
14.7
11.4
10.4
4.9
2.4
6.3
1.5
CDU and CSU
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
SPD
CDU
Grüne
FDP
AfD
CSU
Linke
FW
BSW
Others
Lead
INSA
1–4 Nov 2024
2,005
15.5
24
10.5
4.5
18
8
3.5
–
8
8
6
INSA
25–28 Oct 2024
2,008
15
24.5
11
4
19
6.5
2.5
–
9
8.5
5.5
INSA
18–21 Oct 2024
2,006
16,5
23.5
10
4
19
7
2.5
–
9
8.5
4.5
INSA
11–14 Oct 2024
2,002
16
24.5
10
4
18.5
7
3.5
–
9
7.5
6
INSA
4–7 Oct 2024
2,010
16
24
10.5
4
20
7.5
2.5
–
8
7.5
4
INSA
27–30 Sep 2024
2,004
15
24.5
11
4
19
7
2.5
–
9.5
7.5
5.5
INSA
20–23 Sep 2024
2,002
15.5
25.5
9.5
3.5
20
6.5
2.5
–
10
7
5.5
INSA
13–16 Sep 2024
2,008
14
26
10
4.5
19.5
7
2.5
–
10
6.5
6.5
INSA
6–9 Sep 2024
2,010
14
25.5
10
4
19.5
7
2.5
–
10
7.5
6
INSA
30 Aug – 2 Sep 2024
2,002
15
24.5
10.5
4.5
19
7
2.5
–
9.5
7.5
5.5
INSA
23–26 Aug 2024
2,004
15
24.5
11.5
5.5
18.5
7
3
–
9
6
6
INSA
16–19 Aug 2024
2,006
15.5
24
10.5
5
19
6.5
3
–
9.5
7
5
INSA
9–12 Aug 2024
2,008
15
23.5
10.5
5
18
7
3
–
9.5
8.5
5.5
INSA
2–5 Aug 2024
2,002
15
24
10.5
5
17
6.5
3
–
9.5
9.5
7
INSA
26–29 Jul 2024
2,006
15
24.5
10
5
18
5.5
3.5
–
9.5
9
6.5
INSA
19–22 Jul 2024
2,010
15
24.5
10.5
5
17
6.5
3.5
–
9
9
7.5
INSA
12–15 Jul 2024
2,500
15
24.5
11.5
5
18
6.5
3
–
8.5
8
6.5
INSA
5–8 Jul 2024
2,007
15
24
11
5.5
17.5
6.5
3
1.5
8.5
7.5
6.5
INSA
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024
2,006
15
24
12
5.5
17.5
5.5
2.5
2
8.5
7.5
6.5
INSA
21–24 Jun 2024
2,008
14.5
24.5
11.5
5
17.5
6
3
2
8.5
7.5
7
INSA
14–17 Jun 2024
2,010
15
24.5
11
5
17
6.5
3
2
8
8
7.5
INSA
7–10 Jun 2024
2,008
15.5
23
12
5
16
7
3
2.5
7.5
8.5
7
INSA
31 May – 3 Jun 2024
2,002
16
24
12
5
15.5
6.5
3.5
2.5
7.5
7.5
8
INSA
24–27 May 2024
2,004
15
25
12
5
17
5.5
3
2.5
7
8
8
INSA
17–21 May 2024
2,010
16
23.5
12.5
5
17
6.5
3
3
7
6.5
6.5
INSA
10–13 May 2024
2,087
15.5
24.5
13
5
17
6
3.5
2.5
7
6
7.5
INSA
3–6 May 2024
2,006
15.5
23.5
12
5
18
7
3.5
2.5
7.5
5.5
5.5
Forsa
30 Apr – 6 May 2024
2,000
16
24.5
12
6
15
6.5
3
–
4
13
8.5
INSA
26–29 Apr 2024
2,004
16.5
23.5
12.5
5
18.5
6
3.5
2.5
7
5
5
INSA
19–22 Apr 2024
2,008
15
23.5
12.5
5
18.5
7
4
2.5
7
5
5
INSA
12–15 Apr 2024
2,006
16
23.5
13
6
18.5
6
3
2.5
6.5
5
5
INSA
5–8 Apr 2024
2,084
15
23.5
13
5
18.5
7
3.5
2.5
6.5
5.5
5
INSA
28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024
2,004
15
23.5
12.5
5
19.5
6.5
3.5
2.5
6.5
5.5
4
INSA
22–25 Mar 2024
2,008
15.5
23.5
12.5
5
19.5
6.5
3.5
2.5
6.5
5
4
INSA
15–18 Mar 2024
2,002
16
23.5
12
5
19.5
6
3.5
2.5
6.5
5.5
4
INSA
8–11 Mar 2024
2,079
14.5
25.5
12.5
5.5
18.5
5.5
3.5
2.5
6.5
5.5
7
INSA
1–4 Mar 2024
2,007
14.5
24.5
13
5.5
19.5
6
3
2.5
6.5
5
5
INSA
23–26 Feb 2024
2,006
15.5
24
13
4.5
19
6.5
3
3
7.5
4
5
INSA
16–19 Feb 2024
2,007
14.5
24
12.5
4.5
19.5
6.5
3.5
3
7.5
4.5
4.5
INSA
9–12 Feb 2024
2,083
15
23.5
12.5
3.5
20.5
6.5
3.5
3
7.5
4.5
3
INSA
2–5 Feb 2024
2,004
15
24
12.5
4.5
20.5
6
3.5
3
7.5
3.5
3.5
INSA
26–29 Jan 2024
2,002
14.5
23.5
12.5
5
21
6.5
3.5
2.5
7
4
2.5
INSA
19–22 Jan 2024
2,006
13.5
23.5
12.5
5
21.5
7
3
2.5
–
11.5
2
INSA
12–15 Jan 2024
2,004
14
24
12
5
23
7
4
3
–
8
1
INSA
5–8 Jan 2024
2,008
16
25
12
5
23
7
4
3
–
5
2
INSA
29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024
2,002
15
25
13
5
22.5
7
4
3
–
5.5
2.5
INSA
22–27 Dec 2023
2,000
15
25
12
5
23
7
4
3
–
6
2
INSA
15–18 Dec 2023
2,002
15,5
24.5
12.5
5
23
7
4
2.5
–
6
1.5
INSA
8–11 Dec 2023
2,008
16
23.5
12.5
6
22.5
6.5
4
3
–
6
1
INSA
1–4 Dec 2023
2,006
15.5
23
13
6
22.5
6.5
3.5
3
–
7
0.5
INSA
24–27 Nov 2023
2,007
15.5
24.5
12.5
6
22
6
4
3
–
6.5
2.5
INSA
17–20 Nov 2023
2,008
16.5
25.5
13
5.5
21
4.5
4.5
3
–
6.5
4.5
INSA
10–13 Nov 2023
2,008
16.5
24.5
13.5
5
21.5
6
4.5
3
–
5.5
3
INSA
3–6 Nov 2023
2,006
16.5
23
13.5
5.5
22
6.5
4.5
3
–
5.5
1
INSA
27–30 Oct 2023
2,010
16.5
23.5
13
5.5
21
7
4
3.5
–
6
2.5
INSA
20–23 Oct 2023
2,004
16.5
22
13
5.5
22
6.5
5
3.5
–
6
Tie
INSA
13–16 Oct 2023
2,006
16.5
21.5
13
6
23
6.5
4.5
4
–
5
1.5
INSA
6–9 Oct 2023
2,001
17
20.5
13.5
6
22.5
6.5
5
3
–
6
2
INSA
29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023
2,010
18
21
13.5
7
22
5.5
5
2.5
–
5.5
1
INSA
22–25 Sep 2023
2,003
17.5
20.5
13.5
6.5
21.5
6.5
5
3
–
6
1
INSA
15–18 Sep 2023
2,008
17
21
14.5
6
21
5.5
5
3.5
–
6.5
Tie
INSA
8–11 Sep 2023
2,002
18
19.5
14
7
22
7
4.5
–
–
8
2.5
INSA
1–4 Sep 2023
2,010
17.5
20
13.5
7.5
21.5
6.5
4.5
–
–
9
1.5
INSA
25–28 Aug 2023
2,006
18
20.5
14.5
7
21
6
4.5
–
–
8.5
0.5
INSA
18–21 Aug 2023
2,008
18.5
19.5
14
8
20.5
7
5
–
–
7.5
1
INSA
11–14 Aug 2023
2,002
19.5
19.5
13.5
7
21
6.5
4.5
–
–
8.5
1.5
INSA
4–7 Aug 2023
2,004
19
22
14.5
7.5
20.5
5
4.5
–
–
7
1.5
INSA
28–31 Jul 2023
2,003
18.5
20
14
6.5
21.5
6.5
5
–
–
8
1.5
INSA
21–24 Jul 2023
2,006
18.5
20.5
14
7.5
21.5
6
4.5
–
–
7.5
1
INSA
14–17 Jul 2023
2,004
18
20
14
7
20.5
7
5
–
–
8.5
0.5
INSA
7–10 Jul 2023
2,008
19
21
14
7
20.5
5
5
–
–
8.5
0.5
INSA
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023
2,897
19
20.5
14.5
6.5
21
5
5
–
–
8.5
0.5
INSA
23–26 Jun 2023
2,004
19.5
20
13.5
6.5
20.5
6.5
4.5
–
–
9
0.5
INSA
16–19 Jun 2023
2,006
20
20.5
13.5
7.5
20
6
4.5
–
–
8
0.5
INSA
9–12 Jun 2023
2,003
20
21
13
8
19.5
6
4.5
–
–
8
1
INSA
2–5 Jun 2023
2,009
19
20.5
13.5
9
19
6
5
–
–
8
1.5
INSA
26–30 May 2023
2,004
20.5
23
13
8.5
18
5
4.5
–
–
7.5
2.5
INSA
19–22 May 2023
2,004
20.5
21
14
8.5
17
6.5
5
–
–
7.5
0.5
INSA
12–15 May 2023
2,010
20
22
14.5
8.5
16.5
6
5
–
–
7.5
2
INSA
5–8 May 2023
2,008
20
22
14
9
16.5
6
4.5
–
–
8
2
INSA
28 Apr – 2 May 2023
2,006
21
21
15
8
16.5
6
4.5
–
–
8
Tie
INSA
21–24 Apr 2023
2,004
20
21
14.5
9
16
6.5
4.5
–
–
8.5
1
INSA
14–17 Apr 2023
2,008
21
20.5
15
8
16
7
4.5
–
–
8
0.5
INSA
6–11 Apr 2023
2,005
20
22
15.5
8
16
5.5
4.5
–
–
8.5
2
INSA
31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023
2,007
20
22
15.5
7.5
16
6
4.5
–
–
8.5
2
INSA
24–27 Mar 2023
2,004
20.5
23
16
8
15.5
5
4
–
–
8
2.5
INSA
17–20 Mar 2023
2,006
21.5
22
15
7.5
16
6
5
–
–
7
0.5
INSA
10–13 Mar 2023
2,002
21.5
22
15.5
7.5
16
6.5
4
–
–
7
0.5
INSA
3–6 Mar 2023
2,007
20
23.5
15.5
7.5
15.5
6
5
–
–
7
3.5
INSA
24–27 Feb 2023
2,010
20.5
23.5
15.5
7.5
15.5
6
4.5
–
–
7
3
INSA
17–20 Feb 2023
2,006
21.5
24
15.5
7
15.5
5
5
–
–
6.5
2.5
INSA
10–13 Feb 2023
2,005
20
21
16
7.5
16
7
5
–
–
7.5
1
INSA
3–6 Feb 2023
2,008
21
20
16
8
15.5
7
5
–
–
7.5
1
INSA
27–30 Jan 2023
2,007
20.5
21
16
7.5
15
7.5
5
–
–
7.5
0.5
INSA
20–23 Jan 2023
2,009
20.5
22
16.5
7.5
15
6
4.5
–
–
8
1.5
INSA
13–16 Jan 2023
2,006
21
21
16.5
7.5
15
7
5
–
–
7
Tie
INSA
6–9 Jan 2023
2,006
20
21
17.5
7.5
15
6
5
–
–
8
1
INSA
29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023
2,010
20
21
17.5
7.5
15
6
4.5
–
–
8.5
1
INSA
16–19 Dec 2022
2,005
21
22
17.5
7.5
14.5
5.5
4.5
–
–
7.5
1
INSA
9–12 Dec 2022
2,007
20
21.5
18
7
15.5
7
4.5
–
–
6.5
1.5
INSA
3–5 Dec 2022
2,008
20.5
22
17
7
14.5
6
5
–
–
8
1.5
INSA
25–28 Nov 2022
2,006
21
21
17.5
7
15
6
5
–
–
7.5
Tie
INSA
18–21 Nov 2022
2,004
20
22
17
7.5
15
6
5
–
–
7.5
2
INSA
11–14 Nov 2022
2,010
20.5
21
17.5
7
15
6.5
4.5
–
–
8
0.5
INSA
4–7 Nov 2022
2,007
21
21
17.5
8
14.5
6
4.5
–
–
7.5
Tie
INSA
28–31 Oct 2022
2,009
20.5
20
18
9
15
6
4.5
–
–
7
0.5
INSA
21–24 Oct 2022
2,007
20.5
20.5
17.5
8.5
15
6
4.5
–
–
7.5
Tie
INSA
14–17 Oct 2022
2,000
19.5
20.5
18.5
7.5
15.5
7
4.5
–
–
7
1
INSA
7–10 Oct 2022
2,005
19.5
20.5
19
7.5
15
7
5
–
–
6.5
1
INSA
30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022
2,008
19
21.5
18.5
8
15
6
5.5
–
–
6.5
2.5
INSA
23–26 Sep 2022
2,102
18
21.5
19.5
8
15
6
5.5
–
–
6.5
2
INSA
16–19 Sep 2022
2,080
18.5
22
19
7.5
14
6.5
5.5
–
–
7
3
INSA
9–12 Sep 2022
2,039
18
22
20
8
13.5
6
5.5
–
–
7
2
INSA
2–5 Sep 2022
2,004
18
22
20.5
7.5
13.5
6
5.5
–
–
7
1.5
INSA
26–29 Aug 2022
2,138
19
22.5
20.5
8
13
5
5.5
–
–
6.5
2
INSA
19–22 Aug 2022
2,091
18.5
22
21
7.5
13
6
5.5
–
–
6.5
1
INSA
12–15 Aug 2022
2,146
19
22
22
8
12
6
5
–
–
6
Tie
INSA
5–8 Aug 2022
2,099
18
21
21.5
8
12.5
6
5.5
–
–
7.5
0.5
INSA
29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022
2,144
18.5
20.5
22
8
12
6
5
–
–
8
1.5
INSA
22–25 Jul 2022
2,043
18.5
21.5
22
8
12
5
5
–
–
8
0.5
INSA
15–18 Jul 2022
2,062
18.5
21.5
22
8
12
5
4.5
–
–
8.5
0.5
INSA
8–11 Jul 2022
2,044
20
21.5
21
8.5
11
5.5
4.5
–
–
8
0.5
INSA
1–4 Jul 2022
2,066
19
23
21
9.5
11
5
4
–
–
7.5
2
INSA
24–27 Jun 2022
2,101
20
22
21.5
9
10.5
5
4
–
–
8
0.5
INSA
17–20 Jun 2022
2,063
19.5
21
21
9.5
10
7
4
–
–
8
Tie
INSA
10–13 Jun 2022
2,082
20
21.5
21
9.5
10.5
6
3.5
–
–
8
0.5
INSA
3–7 Jun 2022
2,055
20
21.5
21.5
9.5
10.5
5.5
3.5
–
–
8
Tie
INSA
27–30 May 2022
2,056
22
20.5
20.5
8.5
10
6.5
3.5
–
–
8.5
1.5
INSA
20–23 May 2022
2,100
22
22
20
8.5
10.5
6.5
3
–
–
7.5
Tie
INSA
13–16 May 2022
2,147
21.5
23
20.5
9
11
5
3
–
–
7
1.5
INSA
6–9 May 2022
2,086
22.5
21
19
10
10.5
6.5
3.5
–
–
7
1.5
INSA
29 Apr – 2 May 2022
2,146
23
21
19
9.5
10.5
6
4.5
–
–
6.5
2
INSA
22–25 Apr 2022
2,056
24
20
18
9
11.5
6.5
4.5
–
–
6.5
4
INSA
15–18 Apr 2022
2,073
23.5
20
19
9
11
6
4.5
–
–
7
3.5
INSA
8–11 Apr 2022
2,061
25
20
17.5
9
11
7
4.5
–
–
6
5
INSA
1–4 Apr 2022
2,063
25
21
17.5
10.5
10.5
5
4.5
–
–
6
4
INSA
25–28 Mar 2022
2,070
25
21
16.5
10
10.5
5
5.5
–
–
6.5
4
INSA
18–21 Mar 2022
2,122
24.5
20.5
16.5
11
11
6
4.5
–
–
6
4
INSA
11–14 Mar 2022
2,073
25
19.5
15.5
10.5
10.5
6
5
–
–
8
5.5
INSA
4–7 Mar 2022
2,103
25
19
15.5
11
10.5
5.5
6
–
–
7.5
6
INSA
18–21 Feb 2022
1,539
23
22
14.5
12.5
11
5
6
–
–
6
1
INSA
11–14 Feb 2022
2,141
22.5
21
15
12
12
5
6
–
–
6.5
1.5
INSA
4–7 Feb 2022
2,067
23
20
15
12
11
6
7
–
–
6
3
INSA
28–31 Jan 2022
2,147
24
20
15
12.5
10
5
6.5
–
–
7
4
INSA
21–24 Jan 2022
2,146
26
19
15
11.5
11
5
6
–
–
6.5
7
INSA
14–17 Jan 2022
2,130
26
17
15.5
12
12
5.5
6
–
–
6.5
9
INSA
7–10 Jan 2022
2,107
26.5
18
15
12
12
5
5
–
–
6.5
8.5
INSA
31 Dec – 3 Jan 2022
2,060
26.5
17
15.5
11
11.5
6
6
–
–
6.5
9.5
INSA
17–20 Dec 2021
2,075
27.5
17
14.5
13
11.5
4.5
5.5
–
–
6.5
10.5
INSA
10–13 Dec 2021
2,221
27
17
14.5
13
11.5
5
5.5
–
–
6.5
10
INSA
3–6 Dec 2021
2,119
26
17
15
13.5
11.5
5
5.5
–
–
6.5
9
INSA
26–29 Nov 2021
2,129
25
17
16
14
11
4
5.5
–
–
7.5
8
INSA
19–22 Nov 2021
2,096
26
18
14
14
11
4
5.5
–
–
7.5
8
INSA
12–15 Nov 2021
2,091
27
16.5
15
13
11.5
4.5
5.5
–
–
7
10.5
INSA
5–8 Nov 2021
2,112
26.5
16.5
16
13.5
10.5
4
5.5
–
–
7.5
10
INSA
22–25 Oct 2021
2,105
28
16
16
14
11
4
5
–
–
6
12
INSA
15–18 Oct 2021
2,140
28
13.5
16
15
11.5
5
5
–
–
6
12
INSA
8–11 Oct 2021
2,101
28.5
14
16
14.5
11
5.5
4
–
–
6.5
12.5
INSA
1–4 Oct 2021
2,000
28
15
15.5
13.5
10
6
4.5
–
–
7.5
12.5
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
25.7
19.0
14.7
11.4
10.4
5.2
4.9
2.4
–
6.3
6.8
Scenario polls
New party scenarios
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht[ a]
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Abs.
SPD
Union
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke
FW
BSW
Others
Don't Know
Lead
Wahlkreisprognose
2–4 Jan 2024
1,500
24
13
28.5
11.5
6
23.5
3
2
6
6.5
–
5
Wahlkreisprognose
25–27 Nov 2023
1,200
25
14.5
28
12.5
5.5
23.5
3
–
6
7
–
4.5
INSA
9–10 Nov 2023
1,004
–
17
24
13
5
17
2
3
14
5
–
7
INSA
26–27 Oct 2023
1,005
–
15
29
12
5
17
4
–
14
2
–
12
Wahlkreisprognose
23–25 Oct 2023
1,300
24
15.5
26.5
12.5
5.5
18
3
–
13
6
–
8.5
INSA
20–23 Oct 2023
2,004
–
15.5
26.5
12.5
5.5
18
4
–
12
6
–
8.5
INSA
28–31 Jul 2023
2,003
–
17
23
14
6
16
3
–
15
6
–
6
YouGov
14–19 Jul 2023
2,317
5
14
25
12
5
19
5
–
2
5
9
6
Wahlkreisprognose
27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023
1,419
25
22
26
14
4
13
2
–
14
5
–
4
Wahlkreisprognose
20–22 Sep 2022
1,700
–
20
24
17
7
11
3
–
10
8
–
4
Boris Palmer list
Leadership scenarios
Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate
Other scenarios
National-wide CSU CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD
By state
Bavaria
Brandenburg
Hamburg
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
North Rhine-Westphalia
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
SPD
CDU
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke
BSW
Others
Lead
Forsa
23 Jul – 1 Aug 2024
1,060
18
34
13
5
14
2
5
9
16
Forsa
5–14 Mar 2024
1,502
18
32
16
5
14
3
4
8
14
Forsa
29 May – 7 Jun 2023
1,506
23
30
15
7
15
3
–
7
7
Forsa
27–28 Mar 2023
1,005
22
32
18
6
10
4
–
8
10
Forsa
21–26 Sep 2022
1,511
21
30
22
6
10
4
–
7
9
Wahlkreisprognose
27–30 Jun 2022
1,040
25.5
25
22
8
8.5
3
–
8
0.5
Forsa
16 Feb 2022
1,008
25
30
25
6
6
2
–
6
5
Forsa
26 Jan – 2 Feb 2022
2,006
28
25
18
10
8
4
–
7
3
Forsa
26 Nov – 7 Dec 2021
2,009
29
23
18
12
7
4
–
7
6
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
29.1
26.0
16.1
11.4
7.3
3.7
–
6.5
3.1
Rhineland-Palatinate
Saxony
Saxony-Anhalt
Schleswig-Holstein
Thuringia
By Western and Eastern Germany
Western Germany
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
SPD
Union
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke
FW
BSW
Others
Lead
INSA
9–12 Aug 2024
2,008 in all of Germany
16
32
12
5
16
2
–
8
9
16
YouGov
31 May – 5 Jun 2024
2,295 in all of Germany
15
32
12
4
16
3
2
7
8
16
INSA
22–27 Dec 2023
2,000 in all of Germany
16
34
13
5
20
3
–
–
9
14
Forsa
30 May – 5 Jun 2023
2,505 in all of Germany
19
30
16
7
13
5
–
–
10
11
INSA
23–26 Sep 2022
2,102 in all of Germany
19
28
21
8
12
5
–
–
7
9
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
26.1
25.6
15.9
11.9
8.2
3.7
–
–
8.6
0.5
Eastern Germany
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
SPD
AfD
CDU
Linke
FDP
Grüne
BSW
Others
Lead
INSA
9–12 Aug 2024
2,008 in all of Germany
11
28
22
5
5
6
15
8
6
YouGov
31 May – 5 Jun 2024
2,295 in all of Germany
10
26
19
5
2
10
19
8
7
INSA
22–27 Dec 2023
2,000 in all of Germany
12
36
24
7
4
8
–
9
12
Verian
24 Oct – 15 Nov 2023
830 in East Germany
12
32
24
9
4
9
–
10
8
Forsa
30 May – 5 Jun 2023
2,505 in all of Germany
16
32
23
8
6
6
–
9
9
INSA
17 Apr – 5 May 2023
7,618 in all of Germany
20
26
23
9
8
10
–
4
3
INSA
23–26 Sep 2022
2,102 in all of Germany
15
27
26
8
7
14
–
3
1
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
24.1
20.5
16.8
10.4
9.5
9.2
–
9.5
3.6
Chancellor polling
These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's candidate for Chancellor; they gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.
Scholz vs. Merz
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Scholz SPD Merz Union Neither
Forsa
29 Oct – 4 Nov 2024
2,500
23
29
48
Forsa
22–28 Oct 2024
2,503
24
29
47
Forsa
15–21 Oct 2024
2,500
24
28
48
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
15–17 Oct 2024
1.249
37
48
15
Forsa
8–14 Oct 2024
2,501
24
28
48
Forsa
1–7 Oct 2024
2,001
25
27
48
Forsa
24–30 Sep 2024
2,501
26
27
47
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
24–26 Sep 2024
1.348
37
43
20
INSA
19–23 Sep 2024
1,001
27
34
39
Forsa
17–23 Sep 2024
2,500
24
28
48
INSA
18–19 Sep 2024
1,001
30
30
40
Forsa
10–16 Sep 2024
2,501
26
26
48
INSA
12–13 Sep 2024
1,004
21
25
54
Forsa
3–9 Sep 2024
2,500
24
28
48
Forsa
27 Aug – 2 Sep 2024
2,508
23
27
50
Forsa
20–26 Aug 2024
2,501
25
25
50
Forsa
13–19 Aug 2024
2,503
26
26
48
Forsa
6–12 Aug 2024
2,502
27
27
46
INSA
8–9 Aug 2024
1,004
23
35
42
Forsa
30 Jul – 5 Aug 2024
2,500
28
28
44
Forsa
23–29 Jul 2024
2,501
27
27
46
Forsa
16–22 Jul 2024
2,504
26
29
45
Forsa
9–15 Jul 2024
2,503
26
29
45
Forsa
2–8 Jul 2024
2,504
25
28
47
Forsa
25 Jun – 1 Jul 2024
2,506
27
28
45
Forsa
18–24 Jun 2024
2,505
27
29
44
Forsa
11–17 Jun 2024
2,504
28
30
42
Forsa
4–10 Jun 2024
2,505
30
28
42
Forsa
28 May – 3 Jun 2024
2,506
31
28
41
Forsa
21–27 May 2024
2,503
33
31
36
Wahlkreisprognose
13–19 May 2024
2,500
26
31
43
Forsa
8–13 May 2024
1,503
32
29
39
Wahlkreisprognose
18–20 Mar 2024
1,300
26
26
48
Wahlkreisprognose
21–22 Feb 2024
1,300
23
25
52
INSA
25–26 Jan 2024
1,001
21
28
51
Wahlkreisprognose
22–24 Jan 2024
1,366
21
32
47
Forsa
9–15 Jan 2024
1,502
27
28
45
INSA
4–5 Jan 2024
1,004
23
26
51
Wahlkreisprognose
2–4 Jan 2024
1,500
17
34
49
INSA
14–15 Dec 2023
1,001
17
18
65
Forsa
28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023
2,501
36
32
32
Wahlkreisprognose
25–27 Nov 2023
1,200
19
29
52
Wahlkreisprognose
23–25 Oct 2023
1,300
25
24
51
Wahlkreisprognose
24–25 Sep 2023
1,200
27
24
49
INSA
7–8 Sep 2023
1,001
23
15
62
Wahlkreisprognose
22–27 Aug 2023
1,200
23
20
57
Wahlkreisprognose
26–27 Jul 2023
1,525
26
24
50
Wahlkreisprognose
22–25 Jun 2023
1,399
31
21
48
INSA
15–16 Jun 2023
1,003
25
16
59
Wahlkreisprognose
1–2 Jun 2023
1,100
28
27
45
Wahlkreisprognose
26–30 Apr 2023
1,400
36
30
34
Wahlkreisprognose
23–26 Mar 2023
1,200
33
21
46
Wahlkreisprognose
27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023
1,419
33
20
47
Wahlkreisprognose
26–27 Jan 2023
1,421
33
19
48
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 Jan 2023
1,500
29
25
46
Wahlkreisprognose
7–9 Dec 2022
1,500
38
21
41
Wahlkreisprognose
7–8 Nov 2022
1,300
37
21
42
Wahlkreisprognose
18–21 Oct 2022
1,910
36
24
40
Wahlkreisprognose
3–6 Oct 2022
1,923
36
29
35
Wahlkreisprognose
20–22 Sep 2022
1,700
36
24
40
Wahlkreisprognose
16–18 Aug 2022
1,433
40
13
47
Wahlkreisprognose
6–12 Aug 2022
2,920
42
13
45
Wahlkreisprognose
19–20 Jul 2022
1,400
46
16
38
Forsa
12–18 Jul 2022
2,501
40
18
42
Forsa
5–11 Jul 2022
2,503
43
17
40
Forsa
28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022
2,502
43
17
40
Forsa
21–27 Jun 2022
2,500
42
19
39
Wahlkreisprognose
23–26 Jun 2022
2,430
46
15
39
Forsa
14–20 Jun 2022
2,504
39
20
41
Forsa
7–13 Jun 2022
2,511
38
21
41
Wahlkreisprognose
7–8 Jun 2022
1,603
46
16
38
Forsa
31 May – 3 Jun 2022
2,002
41
20
39
Wahlkreisprognose
30 May – 1 Jun 2022
1,500
45
18
37
Forsa
24–30 May 2022
2,004
39
20
41
Forsa
17–23 May 2022
2,505
41
19
40
INSA
20 May 2022
1,003
26
15
59
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 May 2022
1,302
42
26
32
Forsa
10–16 May 2022
2,502
42
19
39
Wahlkreisprognose
8–9 May 2022
1,610
46
26
28
Forsa
3–9 May 2022
2,501
42
18
40
Forsa
26 Apr – 2 May 2022
2,508
43
19
38
Forsa
19–25 Apr 2022
2,507
42
18
40
Wahlkreisprognose
23 Apr 2022
1,007
45
16
39
Forsa
12–14 Apr 2022
1,501
43
18
39
Forsa
5–11 Apr 2022
2,500
42
18
40
Wahlkreisprognose
3–4 Apr 2022
2,450
51
17
32
Forsa
29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022
2,508
43
18
39
Forsa
22–28 Mar 2022
2,507
42
20
38
Forsa
15–21 Mar 2022
2,501
44
20
36
Wahlkreisprognose
18–20 Mar 2022
3,923
51.5
21.5
27
Forsa
8–14 Mar 2022
2,502
46
19
35
Forsa
1–7 Mar 2022
2,501
48
19
33
Forsa
24–28 Feb 2022
1,500
45
20
35
Wahlkreisprognose
24–27 Feb 2022
2,030
49
19
32
Forsa
15–21 Feb 2022
2,500
42
20
38
Wahlkreisprognose
13–15 Feb 2022
1,220
43
25
32
Forsa
8–14 Feb 2022
2,504
40
21
39
Forsa
1–7 Feb 2022
2,502
40
22
38
Wahlkreisprognose
2–3 Feb 2022
2,330
42
31
27
Forsa
25–31 Jan 2022
2,501
43
21
36
Forsa
18–24 Jan 2022
2,502
48
19
33
Forsa
11–17 Jan 2022
2,504
48
17
35
Wahlkreisprognose
11–12 Jan 2022
1,030
54
19
27
Forsa
3–10 Jan 2022
3,003
49
18
33
Forsa
14–20 Dec 2021
2,501
50
18
32
Wahlkreisprognose
18–19 Dec 2021
1,120
55
20
25
Forsa
23–29 Nov 2021
2,509
45
18
37
Forsa
16–22 Nov 2021
2,501
45
19
36
Forsa
9–15 Nov 2021
2,510
46
19
35
Wahlkreisprognose
11–12 Nov 2021
1,004
44
21
35
Forsa
2–8 Nov 2021
2,502
52
17
31
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel
Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Scholz SPD Merz Union Habeck Grüne Neither
INSA
3–4 Oct 2024
1,001
23
31
13
33
INSA
26–27 Sep 2024
1,002
19
35
16
30
INSA
11–12 Jul 2024
1,250
17
31
16
36
Forsa
14–17 May 2024
2,001
17
26
18
39
Forsa
7–13 May 2024
2,006
17
25
17
41
Forsa
30 Apr – 6 May 2024
2,000
18
23
17
42
Forsa
23–29 Apr 2024
2,505
17
23
17
43
Forsa
16–22 Apr 2024
2,501
17
22
16
45
Forsa
9–15 Apr 2024
2,505
17
22
16
45
INSA
11–12 Apr 2024
1,003
20
30
14
36
Forsa
2–8 Apr 2024
2,506
18
21
17
44
Forsa
26–28 Mar 2024
1,508
19
22
17
42
Forsa
19–25 Mar 2024
2,503
18
22
17
43
Forsa
12–18 Mar 2024
2,500
16
21
18
45
Forsa
5–11 Mar 2024
2,502
15
21
19
45
Forsa
27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024
2,506
15
23
18
44
Forsa
20–26 Feb 2024
2,503
15
25
18
42
Forsa
13–19 Feb 2024
2,504
14
24
18
44
Forsa
6–12 Feb 2024
2,502
15
23
19
43
Forsa
30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024
2,503
12
25
19
44
Forsa
23–29 Jan 2024
2,506
12
24
19
45
Forsa
16–22 Jan 2024
2,503
13
25
17
45
Forsa
9–15 Jan 2024
2,504
15
24
15
46
Forsa
2–8 Jan 2024
2,502
15
24
15
46
Forsa
19–22 Dec 2023
–
15
25
17
43
Forsa
12–18 Dec 2023
2,501
15
24
18
43
Forsa
5–11 Dec 2023
2,501
15
24
18
43
Forsa
28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023
2,501
16
24
18
42
Forsa
21–27 Nov 2023
2,500
17
22
19
42
Forsa
14–20 Nov 2023
2,501
19
21
18
42
Forsa
7–13 Nov 2023
2,504
19
22
18
41
Forsa
31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023
2,502
20
21
17
42
Forsa
24–30 Sep 2023
2,501
20
20
16
44
Forsa
17–23 Sep 2023
2,504
20
21
15
44
Forsa
10–16 Sep 2023
2,501
19
20
17
44
Forsa
4–9 Sep 2023
2,003
22
20
16
42
Forsa
26–29 Sep 2023
2,004
22
20
16
42
Forsa
19–25 Sep 2023
2,503
22
20
16
42
Forsa
12–18 Sep 2023
2,504
21
19
16
44
Forsa
4–11 Sep 2023
2,505
21
19
16
44
Forsa
29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023
2,506
21
20
16
43
Forsa
22–28 Aug 2023
2,504
21
19
15
45
Forsa
15–21 Aug 2023
2,506
21
19
15
45
Forsa
8–14 Aug 2023
2,501
21
18
15
46
Forsa
1–7 Aug 2023
2,502
21
17
16
46
Forsa
25–31 Jul 2023
2,500
22
18
17
43
Forsa
18–24 Jul 2023
2,504
23
20
16
41
Forsa
11–17 Jul 2023
2,502
23
20
17
40
Forsa
4–7 Jul 2023
2,003
22
20
16
42
Forsa
27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023
2,501
21
20
16
43
Forsa
20–26 Jun 2023
2,506
23
20
16
41
Forsa
13–19 Jun 2023
2,503
25
20
15
40
Forsa
6–12 Jun 2023
2,504
25
21
15
39
Forsa
30 May – 5 Jun 2023
2,505
25
23
14
38
Forsa
23–26 May 2023
2,001
25
23
14
38
Forsa
16–22 May 2023
2,003
26
22
13
39
Forsa
9–15 May 2023
2,503
24
23
14
39
Forsa
2–8 May 2023
2,505
24
22
15
39
Wahlkreisprognose
26–30 Apr 2023
1,400
31
26
8
35
Forsa
25–28 Apr 2023
2,007
23
22
16
39
Forsa
18–24 Apr 2023
2,506
22
24
16
38
Forsa
11–17 Apr 2023
2,508
23
25
17
35
Forsa
4–6 Apr 2023
1,501
21
23
18
38
Forsa
28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023
2,502
23
21
17
39
Forsa
21–27 Mar 2023
2,506
24
22
18
36
Wahlkreisprognose
23–26 Mar 2023
1,200
29
18
13
40
Forsa
14–20 Mar 2023
2,503
26
21
17
36
Forsa
7–13 Mar 2023
2,505
27
21
17
35
Forsa
28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023
2,504
25
20
19
36
Wahlkreisprognose
27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023
1,419
27
17
11
45
Forsa
21–27 Feb 2023
2,501
27
19
19
35
Forsa
14–20 Feb 2023
2,510
25
20
19
36
Forsa
7–13 Feb 2023
2,505
27
20
20
33
Forsa
31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023
2,502
26
20
20
34
Forsa
24–30 Jan 2023
2,503
25
21
20
34
Wahlkreisprognose
26–27 Jan 2023
1,421
26
16
12
46
Forsa
17–23 Jan 2023
2,502
23
21
21
35
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 Jan 2023
1,500
22
21
15
42
Forsa
10–16 Jan 2023
2,500
22
20
20
38
Forsa
3–9 Jan 2023
2,502
21
20
20
39
Forsa
13–19 Dec 2022
2,503
23
19
20
38
Forsa
6–12 Dec 2022
2,506
24
19
19
38
Wahlkreisprognose
7–9 Dec 2022
1,500
24
22
13
41
Forsa
29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022
2,500
22
20
20
38
Forsa
22–28 Nov 2022
2,505
23
20
20
37
Forsa
15–21 Nov 2022
2,502
22
20
20
38
Forsa
8–14 Nov 2022
2,503
21
20
20
39
Wahlkreisprognose
7–8 Nov 2022
1,300
25
22
13
40
Forsa
1–7 Nov 2022
2,502
22
19
19
40
Forsa
25–31 Oct 2022
2,503
23
19
19
39
Forsa
18–24 Oct 2022
2,502
24
19
18
39
Wahlkreisprognose
18–21 Oct 2022
1,910
28
19
15
38
Forsa
11–17 Oct 2022
2,505
23
19
19
39
Forsa
4–10 Oct 2022
2,501
24
18
17
41
Wahlkreisprognose
3–6 Oct 2022
1,923
28
25
14
33
Forsa
27–30 Sep 2022
2,001
22
20
17
41
Forsa
20–26 Sep 2022
2,505
22
22
17
39
Wahlkreisprognose
20–22 Sep 2022
1,700
29
25
15
31
Forsa
13–19 Sep 2022
2,506
23
22
18
37
Forsa
6–13 Sep 2022
2,501
21
20
21
38
Wahlkreisprognose
9–11 Sep 2022
1,300
30
24
15
31
INSA
9 Sep 2022
1,000
24
23
19
34
Forsa
30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022
2,500
21
18
25
36
Forsa
23–29 Aug 2022
2,503
20
16
27
37
Forsa
16–22 Aug 2022
2,505
20
16
25
39
INSA
19 Aug 2022
1,002
18
19
25
38
Wahlkreisprognose
16–18 Aug 2022
1,433
36
13
30
21
Forsa
9–15 Aug 2022
2,500
22
16
26
36
Wahlkreisprognose
6–12 Aug 2022
2,920
32
15
28
25
Forsa
2–8 Aug 2022
2,504
24
16
27
33
Forsa
26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022
2,504
23
18
28
31
INSA
29 Jul 2022
1,002
24
18
21
37
Forsa
19–25 Jul 2022
2,510
25
17
30
28
Wahlkreisprognose
19–20 Jul 2022
1,400
39
11
32
18
Forsa
15–18 Jul 2022
2,002
26
17
31
26
Wahlkreisprognose
23–26 Jun 2022
2,430
40
13
31
16
Wahlkreisprognose
7–8 Jun 2022
1,603
38
13
27
22
Wahlkreisprognose
30 May – 1 Jun 2022
1,500
35
14
29
21
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 May 2022
1,302
37
21
25
17
Wahlkreisprognose
8–9 May 2022
1,610
38
21
24
17
Pistorius vs. Merz
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Scholz SPD Söder Union Neither
INSA
8–9 Aug 2024
1,004
23
41
36
Forsa
8–13 May 2024
1,503
30
36
34
Forsa
9–15 Jan 2024
1,502
27
40
33
INSA
4–5 Jan 2024
1,004
20
36
44
INSA
7–8 Sep 2023
1,001
26
32
42
INSA
15–16 Jun 2023
1,003
30
31
39
INSA
20 May 2022
1,003
32
29
39
Wahlkreisprognose
18–19 Dec 2021
1,120
49
28
23
Forsa
2–8 Nov 2021
2,502
39
33
28
Forsa
5–11 Oct 2021
2,503
37
33
30
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Scholz SPD Wüst Union Neither
INSA
8–9 Aug 2024
1,004
23
26
51
Forsa
8–13 May 2024
1,503
28
28
44
Forsa
9–15 Jan 2024
1,502
25
36
39
INSA
15–16 Jun 2023
1,003
29
18
53
INSA
20 May 2022
1,003
32
14
54
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Scholz SPD Merz Union Baerbock Grüne Neither
Forsa
14–17 May 2024
2,001
20
29
17
34
Forsa
7–13 May 2024
2,006
20
28
15
37
Forsa
30 Apr – 6 May 2024
2,000
21
26
16
37
Forsa
23–29 Apr 2024
2,505
21
26
16
37
Forsa
16–22 Apr 2024
2,501
20
25
16
39
Forsa
9–15 Apr 2024
2,505
20
25
17
38
INSA
11–12 Apr 2024
1,003
18
32
17
33
Forsa
2–8 Apr 2024
1,506
21
24
16
39
Forsa
26–28 Mar 2024
1,508
22
25
16
37
Forsa
19–25 Mar 2024
2,503
21
25
16
38
Forsa
12–18 Mar 2024
2,500
19
24
17
40
Forsa
5–11 Mar 2024
2,502
18
24
19
39
Forsa
27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024
2,506
18
26
17
39
Forsa
20–26 Feb 2024
2,503
18
27
18
37
Forsa
13–19 Feb 2024
2,504
17
27
18
38
Forsa
6–12 Feb 2024
2,502
18
26
18
38
Forsa
30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024
2,503
16
28
18
38
Forsa
23–29 Jan 2024
2,506
15
28
17
40
Forsa
16–22 Jan 2024
2,503
16
28
16
40
Forsa
9–15 Jan 2024
2,504
17
27
15
41
Forsa
2–8 Jan 2024
2,502
17
27
15
41
Forsa
19–22 Dec 2023
–
18
28
17
37
Forsa
12–18 Dec 2023
2,501
19
27
17
37
Forsa
5–11 Dec 2023
2,501
18
28
17
37
Forsa
28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023
2,501
19
27
17
37
Forsa
21–27 Nov 2023
2,500
19
25
17
39
Forsa
14–20 Nov 2023
2,501
22
24
16
38
Forsa
7–13 Nov 2023
2,504
22
25
16
37
Forsa
31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023
2,502
23
24
16
37
Forsa
24–30 Sep 2023
2,501
22
23
17
38
Forsa
17–23 Sep 2023
2,504
23
23
17
37
Forsa
10–16 Sep 2023
2,501
22
22
18
38
Forsa
4–9 Sep 2023
2,003
23
22
18
37
Forsa
26–29 Sep 2023
2,004
24
22
17
37
Forsa
19–25 Sep 2023
2,503
24
22
18
36
Forsa
12–18 Sep 2023
2,504
23
21
17
39
Forsa
4–11 Sep 2023
2,505
23
22
17
38
Forsa
29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023
2,506
22
22
17
39
Forsa
22–28 Aug 2023
2,504
22
21
17
40
Forsa
15–21 Aug 2023
2,506
22
21
16
41
Forsa
8–14 Aug 2023
2,501
22
20
16
42
Forsa
1–7 Aug 2023
2,502
22
19
18
41
Forsa
25–31 Jul 2023
2,500
24
21
18
37
Forsa
18–24 Jul 2023
2,504
25
23
17
35
Forsa
11–17 Jul 2023
2,502
25
22
18
35
Forsa
4–7 Jul 2023
2,003
24
22
18
36
Forsa
27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023
2,501
23
23
19
35
Forsa
20–26 Jun 2023
2,506
24
23
19
34
Forsa
13–19 Jun 2023
2,503
26
23
19
32
Forsa
6–12 Jun 2023
2,504
26
23
19
32
Forsa
30 May – 5 Jun 2023
2,505
26
25
19
30
Forsa
23–26 May 2023
2,001
27
25
19
29
Forsa
16–22 May 2023
2,003
27
24
18
31
Forsa
9–15 May 2023
2,503
25
25
18
32
Forsa
2–8 May 2023
2,505
26
24
18
32
Wahlkreisprognose
26–30 Apr 2023
1,400
30
25
13
32
Forsa
25–28 Apr 2023
2,007
25
25
19
31
Forsa
18–24 Apr 2023
2,506
24
26
19
31
Forsa
11–17 Apr 2023
2,508
25
27
18
30
Forsa
4–6 Apr 2023
1,501
24
25
19
32
Forsa
28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023
2,502
24
23
20
33
Forsa
21–27 Mar 2023
2,506
26
24
20
30
Wahlkreisprognose
23–26 Mar 2023
1,200
28
18
14
40
Forsa
14–20 Mar 2023
2,503
28
24
19
29
Forsa
7–13 Mar 2023
2,505
28
23
18
31
Forsa
28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023
2,504
28
23
19
30
Wahlkreisprognose
27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023
1,419
26
17
14
43
Forsa
21–27 Feb 2023
2,501
30
22
18
30
Forsa
14–20 Feb 2023
2,510
28
22
19
31
Forsa
7–13 Feb 2023
2,505
30
22
19
29
Forsa
31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023
2,502
30
22
18
30
Forsa
24–30 Jan 2023
2,503
27
23
19
31
Wahlkreisprognose
26–27 Jan 2023
1,421
26
15
15
44
Forsa
17–23 Jan 2023
2,502
25
24
22
29
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 Jan 2023
1,500
23
23
20
34
Forsa
10–16 Jan 2023
2,500
24
23
23
30
Forsa
3–9 Jan 2023
2,502
24
23
22
31
Forsa
13–19 Dec 2022
2,503
24
22
21
33
Forsa
6–12 Dec 2022
2,506
24
22
22
32
Wahlkreisprognose
7–9 Dec 2022
1,500
26
18
15
41
Forsa
29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022
2,500
24
22
22
32
Forsa
22–28 Nov 2022
2,505
24
22
22
32
Forsa
15–21 Nov 2022
2,502
25
22
22
31
Forsa
8–14 Nov 2022
2,503
24
22
22
32
Wahlkreisprognose
7–8 Nov 2022
1,300
27
17
14
42
Forsa
1–7 Nov 2022
2,502
24
21
20
35
Forsa
25–31 Oct 2022
2,503
25
20
20
35
Forsa
18–24 Oct 2022
2,502
25
20
19
36
Wahlkreisprognose
18–21 Oct 2022
1,910
29
21
16
34
Forsa
11–17 Oct 2022
2,505
24
21
21
34
Forsa
4–10 Oct 2022
2,501
25
20
20
35
Wahlkreisprognose
3–6 Oct 2022
1,923
28
24
16
32
Forsa
27–30 Sep 2022
2,001
23
22
19
36
Forsa
20–26 Sep 2022
2,505
23
23
19
35
Wahlkreisprognose
20–22 Sep 2022
1,700
28
24
17
31
Forsa
13–19 Sep 2022
2,506
23
23
20
34
Forsa
6–13 Sep 2022
2,501
23
23
20
34
Forsa
30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022
2,500
23
21
23
33
Forsa
23–29 Aug 2022
2,503
23
19
24
34
Forsa
16–22 Aug 2022
2,505
26
17
23
34
Forsa
9–15 Aug 2022
2,500
29
17
22
32
Wahlkreisprognose
8–9 May 2022
1,610
38
20
23
19
Wahlkreisprognose
23 Apr 2022
1,007
37
13
24
26
Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Scholz SPD Merz Union Weidel AfD Neither
Wahlkreisprognose
22–27 Aug 2023
1,200
21
15
17
47
Wahlkreisprognose
26–27 Jul 2023
1,525
24
18
16
42
Wahlkreisprognose
22–25 Jun 2023
1,399
27
15
15
43
Wahlkreisprognose
1–2 Jun 2023
1,100
25
22
16
37
Wahlkreisprognose
26–30 Apr 2023
1,400
34
22
11
33
Wahlkreisprognose
23–26 Mar 2023
1,200
33
18
13
36
Wahlkreisprognose
27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023
1,419
31
15
13
41
Wahlkreisprognose
26–27 Jan 2023
1,421
30
14
14
42
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 Jan 2023
1,500
24
17
16
43
Wahlkreisprognose
7–9 Dec 2022
1,500
31
18
13
38
Wahlkreisprognose
7–8 Nov 2022
1,300
26
18
17
39
Scholz vs. Habeck
Merz vs. Habeck
Scholz vs. Braun
Scholz vs. Laschet
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
Scholz SPD Laschet Union Neither
YouGov
19–23 Nov 2021
2,167
46
6
48
Forsa
26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021
2,501
50
8
42
Forsa
19–25 Oct 2021
2,510
52
8
40
Forsa
12–18 Oct 2021
2,502
53
8
39
Forsa
5–11 Oct 2021
2,503
52
8
40
Forsa
27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021
3,004
52
9
39
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
28–30 Sep 2021
1,249
76
13
11
Infratest dimap
27 Sep 2021
1,084
62
16
22
Forsa
27 Sep 2021
1,006
56
11
33
YouGov
26 Sep 2021
1,596
43
13
43
Scholz vs. Kretschmer
Preferred coalition
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
SPD
Union FDP
SPD
Union
Union Grüne
Union
Union
SPD
SPD
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
5–7 Nov 2024
1,231
13
10
1
23
6
–
–
1
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
15–17 Oct 2024
1,249
13
7
0
23
7
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
24–26 Sep 2024
1,348
13
6
1
21
4
–
–
1
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
3–5 Sep 2024
1,328
8
8
0
23
6
–
–
2
0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Aug 2024
1,334
15
10
1
17
7
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Jul 2024
1,341
12
13
1
18
8
–
–
2
0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
25–27 May 2024
1,186
9
11
2
17
9
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
10–12 May 2024
1,334
9
10
2
19
8
–
–
1
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
14–16 May 2024
1,247
13
10
1
23
7
–
–
2
2
Forsa
26–29 Apr 2024
1,007
–
–
10
21
10
4
11
–
–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
23–25 Apr 2024
1,228
17
13
2
17
7
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Apr 2024
1,254
11
11
2
20
8
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
19–21 Mar 2024
1,296
12
11
2
20
8
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
5–7 Mar 2024
1,260
15
9
1
20
7
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
20–22 Feb 2024
1,294
12
13
2
18
9
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024
1,217
10
9
2
23
8
–
–
1
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Jan 2024
1,337
13
8
1
19
7
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Dec 2023
1,146
13
14
2
16
6
–
–
1
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
21–23 Nov 2023
1,242
15
10
1
19
8
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
7–9 Nov 2023
1,234
16
9
2
17
10
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
17–19 Oct 2023
1,252
13
10
1
18
8
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Sep 2023
1,201
18
13
3
14
7
–
–
3
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
15–17 Aug 2023
1,288
16
11
3
15
6
–
–
2
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
11–13 Jul 2023
1,346
14
11
3
15
8
–
–
4
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
27–29 Jun 2023
1,379
17
10
2
19
6
–
–
3
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
13–15 Jun 2023
1,224
19
11
3
19
6
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
23–25 May 2023
1,257
15
11
3
17
7
–
–
4
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
2–4 May 2023
1,225
16
13
3
15
7
–
–
3
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
18–20 Apr 2023
1,266
19
12
2
16
9
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
28–30 Mar 2023
1,379
18
12
3
15
7
–
–
2
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
14–16 Mar 2023
1,146
21
11
4
14
9
–
–
2
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023
1,165
19
10
2
17
10
–
–
2
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
14–16 Feb 2023
1,361
18
10
3
13
12
–
–
3
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
24–26 Jan 2023
1,345
20
10
5
10
11
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
10–12 Jan 2023
1,259
19
11
4
12
9
–
–
3
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–15 Dec 2022
1,365
21
11
4
11
11
–
–
2
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
22–24 Nov 2022
1,273
21
12
3
12
9
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
8–10 Nov 2022
1,310
24
9
3
11
11
–
–
3
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
18–20 Oct 2022
1,389
23
11
3
11
9
–
–
2
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
27–29 Sep 2022
1,355
20
11
5
10
9
–
–
3
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
6–8 Sep 2022
1,299
18
13
6
10
9
–
–
3
3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Aug 2022
1,389
19
8
6
10
13
–
–
4
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
12–14 Jul 2022
1,167
19
7
5
8
14
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
28–30 Jun 2022
1,186
22
8
5
11
15
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
13–15 Jun 2022
1,133
20
7
6
10
15
–
–
3
3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
17–19 May 2022
1,162
22
8
7
10
16
–
–
2
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
26–28 Apr 2022
1,170
21
10
10
10
7
–
–
4
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
5–7 Apr 2022
1,230
23
8
9
14
7
–
–
4
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
8–10 Mar 2022
1,345
18
11
12
15
5
–
–
3
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
21–23 Feb 2022
1,103
17
11
9
12
5
–
–
5
3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
8–10 Feb 2022
1,224
16
13
11
15
5
–
–
4
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
25–27 Jan 2022
1,249
16
11
11
9
6
–
–
4
3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
11–13 Jan 2022
1,128
16
11
12
10
4
–
–
5
5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
7–9 Dec 2021
1,303
16
10
12
10
6
–
–
4
4
Constituency projections
With the new electoral reform, constituency seats are only awarded if it is covered by the votes cast for the party in that state. As such, the number of constituency seats won by a party may be lower than that party's number of constituency pluralities.[ 1]
Constituency pluralities
By probability
Polling firm
Release date
Union
SPD
Grüne
AfD
Linke
Safe
Likely
Lean
Safe
Likely
Lean
Safe
Likely
Lean
Safe
Likely
Lean
Safe
Likely
Lean
election.de
15 Oct 2024
126
57
43
1
5
17
1
2
6
1
19
19
0
1
1
election.de
15 Sep 2024
137
56
43
1
4
12
1
1
5
1
19
17
0
1
1
election.de
15 Aug 2024
125
58
44
1
5
16
1
2
7
1
19
18
0
1
1
election.de
15 Jul 2024
122
58
42
1
4
16
1
3
9
2
18
21
0
1
1
election.de
15 Jun 2024
113
61
44
1
6
23
1
4
7
1
19
17
0
1
1
election.de
15 May 2024
118
55
44
1
5
22
1
5
8
1
19
18
0
1
1
election.de
15 Apr 2024
114
62
37
1
6
23
1
3
8
3
19
20
0
1
1
election.de
15 Mar 2024
111
61
38
1
5
23
1
4
9
5
22
17
0
1
1
election.de
15 Feb 2024
113
62
39
1
4
22
1
2
9
5
25
14
0
1
1
election.de
15 Jan 2024
106
71
40
1
4
15
1
2
10
9
28
11
0
1
0
election.de
15 Dec 2023
107
68
42
1
4
15
1
3
9
9
27
12
0
1
0
election.de
15 Nov 2023
94
72
37
1
6
24
1
4
11
11
25
11
0
1
1
election.de
15 Oct 2023
69
83
38
1
11
31
1
5
11
17
24
6
0
1
1
election.de
1 Sep 2023
65
78
42
2
16
31
1
5
10
16
23
8
0
1
1
election.de
18 Aug 2023
63
74
44
2
23
26
1
5
12
16
22
9
0
1
1
election.de
4 Aug 2023
66
74
43
2
17
29
1
7
11
16
22
9
0
1
1
election.de
21 Jul 2023
73
74
41
1
18
27
1
5
10
9
26
11
0
1
2
election.de
7 Jul 2023
71
73
40
2
18
29
1
6
10
9
25
12
0
1
2
election.de
23 Jun 2023
78
71
40
2
18
28
1
5
10
7
22
14
1
0
2
election.de
9 Jun 2023
85
70
35
1
16
31
1
5
10
2
24
16
1
0
2
election.de
26 May 2023
88
63
45
2
18
29
1
5
10
1
17
17
1
1
1
election.de
12 May 2023
89
62
45
2
18
29
1
6
9
1
16
18
1
1
1
election.de
28 Apr 2023
91
62
43
1
17
31
1
6
11
1
15
17
1
1
1
election.de
16 Apr 2023
85
64
42
2
18
34
1
7
11
1
14
17
1
1
1
election.de
2 Apr 2023
82
63
46
2
20
32
1
7
11
1
15
16
1
1
1
election.de
19 Mar 2023
77
65
43
2
26
32
1
6
12
1
14
17
1
1
1
election.de
10 Mar 2023
83
62
48
2
23
31
1
7
10
1
13
15
1
1
1
election.de
24 Feb 2023
80
63
48
2
25
30
1
7
11
1
13
15
1
1
1
election.de
10 Feb 2023
66
66
46
5
26
30
1
9
15
1
14
17
1
1
1
election.de
27 Jan 2023
69
70
42
3
25
31
1
9
17
1
13
15
1
1
1
election.de
13 Jan 2023
67
70
44
3
25
29
3
11
15
1
13
15
1
1
1
election.de
30 Dec 2022
67
68
44
4
24
33
3
11
15
1
13
13
1
1
1
election.de
16 Dec 2022
71
67
44
2
26
26
3
11
17
1
13
15
1
1
1
election.de
2 Dec 2022
66
71
43
3
24
28
3
12
17
1
13
15
1
1
1
election.de
18 Nov 2022
67
70
40
2
25
28
3
12
17
1
14
17
1
1
1
election.de
4 Nov 2022
61
71
42
4
24
29
3
13
17
1
14
17
1
1
1
election.de
21 Oct 2022
61
70
43
3
24
30
3
13
17
1
14
17
1
1
1
election.de
7 Oct 2022
67
69
41
2
25
27
3
13
17
1
14
17
1
1
1
election.de
23 Sep 2022
66
70
44
2
25
28
3
13
17
0
14
14
1
1
1
election.de
9 Sep 2022
58
71
48
4
21
34
4
14
20
0
10
13
1
1
0
election.de
26 Aug 2022
57
67
53
4
21
35
5
17
19
0
8
11
1
1
0
election.de
12 Aug 2022
53
69
52
4
22
35
5
20
18
0
8
11
1
1
0
election.de
29 Jul 2022
52
64
55
4
28
34
4
17
21
0
8
10
1
1
0
election.de
15 Jul 2022
52
64
58
4
33
32
4
15
20
0
5
10
1
0
1
election.de
1 Jul 2022
51
66
58
5
33
32
4
13
21
0
3
11
1
0
1
election.de
17 Jun 2022
54
64
59
5
35
30
3
13
21
0
1
12
1
0
1
election.de
3 Jun 2022
53
67
58
5
36
30
3
13
20
0
1
11
1
0
1
election.de
20 May 2022
47
51
59
12
44
41
2
12
17
0
4
8
1
0
1
election.de
6 May 2022
44
52
49
15
44
51
2
10
16
0
5
8
1
0
2
election.de
22 Apr 2022
46
51
47
15
46
54
2
9
13
0
6
7
1
1
1
election.de
8 Apr 2022
46
51
47
16
43
57
2
8
13
0
6
7
1
0
2
election.de
25 Mar 2022
51
51
59
12
46
46
2
4
13
0
5
7
1
1
1
election.de
11 Mar 2022
48
51
51
15
44
56
2
4
13
0
4
8
1
1
1
election.de
25 Feb 2022
53
50
56
12
42
49
2
3
13
0
7
9
1
1
1
election.de
11 Feb 2022
49
51
58
12
44
47
2
3
13
0
7
10
1
1
1
election.de
28 Jan 2022
41
50
42
22
42
57
2
6
12
0
9
12
1
1
2
election.de
14 Jan 2022
37
50
42
27
44
58
2
5
12
0
9
10
1
1
1
election.de
31 Dec 2021
30
41
40
31
57
60
2
5
13
1
7
9
1
0
2
election.de
17 Dec 2021
30
41
38
33
58
58
2
5
13
1
7
10
1
1
1
election.de
3 Dec 2021
27
42
42
28
55
60
2
8
12
1
10
8
1
1
2
election.de
19 Nov 2021
26
39
38
35
55
63
2
5
13
1
8
10
1
1
2
election.de
5 Nov 2021
25
35
41
40
57
59
2
6
12
1
9
8
1
0
3
election.de
22 Oct 2021
26
35
40
39
54
61
2
5
13
1
10
9
1
1
2
election.de
8 Oct 2021
28
42
38
30
59
59
2
5
13
1
9
9
1
1
2
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
143
121
16
16
3
Second place
Notes
^ BSW was established as an official political party on 8 January 2024.
References
External links
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Western
North
Canada Caribbean and United States
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Unless otherwise stated, all links are for parliamentary elections.
