Opinion polling for the next Slovak parliamentary election
In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election , various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia . Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election , held on 30 September 2023.
Electoral polling
Graphical summary
A local regression graph of all polls conducted
Voting intention estimates
Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the Slovak Association of Research Agencies (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia . Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.
Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last parliamentary election or oscillate above 4% in the polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties. 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council .
Polling firm
Date
Sample
Smer
PS
Hlas
OĽaNO and Friends
KDH
SASKA
SNS
Republika
Hungarian
Democrats
We Are Family
ĽSNS
Others
Lead
Slovakia
ZĽ
KÚ
AKO[ 1]
14–24 Jan 2025
1,000
22.5
24.6
13.0
5.4
0.3
–
6.7
7.1
4.2
5.1
3.4
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.1
2.1
Ipsos[ 2]
11–17 Jan 2025
1,031
22.2
23.0
11.1
5.6
1.9
–
7.3
6.3
2.0
7.7
3.7
4.0
2.8
1.1
1.2
0.8
NMS[ 3]
9–13 Jan 2025
1,001
18.4
23.9
11.5
6.3
2.3
0.8
5.9
6.7
2.1
8.9
3.4
4.0
3.6
1.4
0.2
5.5
AKO[ 4]
16–19 Dec 2024
1,000
20.3
22.8
13.9
6.2
0.2
–
7.3
6.6
4.6
5.4
3.2
4.3
3.8
0.3
1.1
2.5
NMS[ 5]
4–9 Dec 2024
1,000
19.1
24.8
10.7
6.5
2.9
0.7
5.5
4.8
2.9
9.5
3.2
3.9
3.4
1.4
0.4
5.7
Focus[ 6]
2–8 Dec 2024
1,022
20.8
21.5
13.8
5.2
–
–
6.9
6.1
3.7
8.1
5.6
4.0
2.2
–
–
0.7
AKO[ 7]
12–20 Nov 2024
1,000
20.7
21.2
14.7
6.6
–
0.1
6.7
6.9
4.7
5.9
3.7
4.1
3.6
0.4
0.7
0.5
Focus[ 8]
6–13 Nov 2024
1,018
21.9
22.6
13.3
3.6
–
–
6.2
6.7
3.6
8.6
4.8
4.6
3.3
–
0.8
0.7
NMS[ 9]
7–11 Nov 2024
1,000
19.1
25.1
10.8
4.7
1.0
0.3
6.4
6.0
3.3
8.7
3.7
4.4
4.3
1.0
0.5
6.0
Ipsos[ 10]
27 Oct–1 Nov 2024
1,003
21.9
22.6
12.8
3.6
1.6
0.8
6.9
6.2
2.4
7.7
4.0
4.4
3.0
1.2
0.6
0.7
AKO[ 11]
8–17 Oct 2024
1,000
21.3
21.3
15.0
5.9
6.2
6.5
4.8
6.8
3.4
4.7
2.6
0.6
0.9
Tie
NMS[ 12]
2–7 Oct 2024
1,000
20.5
24.4
12.0
5.2
0.2
6.9
6.2
2.9
7.4
3.6
5.1
3.9
1.3
0.7
3.9
Focus[ 13]
17–26 Sep 2024
1,017
23.3
22.1
12.8
4.1
6.0
5.6
4.7
7.9
5.2
5.0
3.2
–
0.1
1.2
AKO[ 14]
10–16 Sep 2024
1,000
22.8
22.4
15.1
3.9
6.8
6.4
4.9
5.4
3.7
4.9
2.6
–
0.9
0.4
Ipsos[ 15]
6–10 Sep 2024
1,025
25.5
21.6
11.9
4.9
6.0
7.0
3.4
6.3
4.9
5.1
2.0
–
–
3.9
NMS[ 16]
5–9 Sep 2024
1,001
23.9
24.5
12.6
3.9
0.6
6.2
6.1
3.5
6.0
3.4
3.3
3.9
1.2
–
0.6
NMS[ 17]
8–12 Aug 2024
1,014
22.4
23.1
14.3
4.4
0.8
6.2
5.8
3.2
7.0
3.2
4.5
3.2
1.1
–
0.7
AKO[ 18]
6–12 Aug 2024
1,000
23.6
22.0
15.9
3.6
6.9
6.2
4.9
5.2
3.4
4.5
2.7
0.2
0.9
1.6
Focus[ 19]
9–14 Jul 2024
1,013
25.7
21.3
11.3
4.4
7.3
7.2
3.4
6.5
4.5
4.7
2.7
–
1.0
4.4
AKO[ 20]
9–15 Jul 2024
1,000
23.5
21.7
15.5
3.5
7.4
5.6
5.0
5.6
4.3
4.4
2.3
0.5
0.7
1.8
NMS[ 21]
4–8 Jul 2024
1,020
22.5
22.6
13.1
4.2
1.2
6.0
5.1
4.1
7.0
3.4
4.6
3.7
1.5
1.2
0.1
Ipsos[ 22]
26 Jun–1 Jul 2024
1,017
25.2
22.3
13.5
4.1
6.3
6.1
3.1
6.8
4.3
4.7
1.8
0.9
0.8
2.9
AKO[ 23]
11–18 Jun 2024
1,000
23.8
22.8
15.2
4.7
6.8
5.3
5.1
6.0
3.4
4.1
2.1
–
0.8
1.0
Focus[ 24]
5–12 Jun 2024
1,025
24.2
21.6
14.5
4.1
6.6
6.1
4.7
7.3
5.2
3.6
1.8
–
–
2.6
European election
8 Jun 2024
1,476,968
24.77
27.82
7.18
1.99
0.63
7.15
4.92
1.90
12.53
3.80
4.69
–
0.48
2.06
3.05
NMS[ 25]
30 May–3 Jun 2024
1,020
22.4
23.7
15.8
3.4
0.9
5.6
5.6
4.5
7.4
3.5
2.9
3.0
0.8
–
1.3
Ipsos[ 26]
14–21 May 2024
743
25.0
21.0
14.0
4.9
7.1
8.0
3.5
5.1
4.1
3.4
2.9
–
–
4.0
AKO[ 27]
7–14 May 2024
1,000
21.8
20.8
17.2
4.7
7.3
6.7
5.2
5.1
3.9
3.6
3.1
–
0.6
1.0
NMS[ 28]
9–13 May 2024
1,020
20.9
23.1
14.9
5.5
0.7
5.4
6.6
3.7
7.9
3.5
3.4
3.2
0.6
–
2.2
Focus[ 29]
17–24 Apr 2024
1,017
21.1
19.7
18.0
5.2
6.9
7.0
5.3
5.5
4.5
3.5
2.3
0.9
0.1
1.4
AKO[ 30]
9–16 Apr 2024
1,000
21.2
20.1
16.5
5.2
7.9
6.5
5.1
4.9
4.9
3.3
2.3
0.8
1.3
1.1
Focus[ 31]
28 Mar–4 Apr 2024
1,015
21.6
20.1
17.9
6.4
6.3
5.4
5.1
4.6
5.0
3.7
1.8
1.9
–
1.5
Ipsos[ 32]
16–19 Mar 2024
1,009
21.6
20.2
16.3
5.8
6.2
6.7
4.1
5.0
4.6
3.8
3.0
–
–
1.4
AKO[ 33]
11–18 Mar 2024
1,000
22.1
21.0
15.9
5.6
8.1
6.7
5.1
3.9
4.6
3.2
2.0
1.3
0.5
1.1
Ipsos[ 34]
12–16 Mar 2024
1,038
23.4
20.8
17.1
5.6
6.2
6.3
5.3
4.2
3.6
2.6
3.1
–
–
2.6
Ipsos[ 35]
16–21 Feb 2024
1,028
22.7
21.3
16.5
5.8
6.7
6.4
4.2
5.2
3.4
2.4
3.2
1.6
0.5
1.4
Focus[ 36]
14–21 Feb 2024
1,025
21.1
18.9
17.2
5.9
6.1
6.2
5.8
4.2
5.4
3.5
2.6
2.7
0.4
2.2
NMS[ 37]
14–18 Feb 2024
1,022
21.0
22.0
16.9
6.0
7.2
5.7
4.2
5.8
3.3
2.5
3.6
1.6
0.2
1.0
AKO[ 38]
5–12 Feb 2024
1,000
24.0
22.6
14.5
6.0
8.2
6.2
5.3
3.7
4.6
1.5
2.8
0.2
0.4
1.4
Ipsos[ 39]
22–25 Jan 2024
1,022
24.5
20.6
15.4
5.3
6.6
6.6
4.3
5.1
4.0
3.0
2.4
1.6
0.5
3.9
Focus[ 40]
16–23 Jan 2024
1,015
21.6
19.4
17.9
6.5
6.2
5.5
5.7
4.8
4.6
3.5
2.4
1.7
0.2
2.2
AKO[ 41]
11–16 Jan 2024
1,048
22.1
19.9
14.3
7.0
8.7
6.0
5.4
5.3
4.3
3.2
2.4
1.0
0.4
2.2
NMS[ 42]
10–14 Jan 2024
1,030
22.3
21.1
14.7
6.0
6.9
6.9
4.5
6.5
3.4
3.1
3.3
0.5
0.7
1.2
Ipsos[ 43]
13–18 Dec 2023
1,048
24.1
19.4
15.7
5.9
6.4
7.1
4.8
5.2
4.0
3.6
2.7
0.8
0.5
4.7
AKO[ 44]
11–13 Dec 2023
1,000
24.2
21.4
14.6
6.8
7.3
6.4
5.3
5.4
3.6
2.0
2.3
0.2
–
2.8
Focus[ 45]
15–22 Nov 2023
1,015
23.8
17.9
14.6
6.4
7.5
6.4
5.8
5.3
5.0
2.9
2.8
1.2
0.4
5.9
AKO[ 46]
7–14 Nov 2023
1,000
24.0
20.1
15.4
6.6
6.9
5.9
5.4
4.9
4.4
2.3
2.7
0.3
0.1
3.9
Ipsos[ 47]
2–7 Nov 2023
1,021
24.0
19.1
15.1
7.0
5.8
6.3
5.1
5.8
4.4
3.1
2.3
1.1
1.0
4.9
2023 election
30 Sep 2023
2,967,896
22.95
17.96
14.70
8.90
6.82
6.32
5.63
4.75
4.39
2.93
2.21
0.84
1.60
4.99
Seat projections
76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council .
Polling firm
Date
Sample
Smer
PS
Hlas
OĽaNO and Friends
KDH
SASKA
SNS
Republic
Hungarian
Democrats
Lead
Gov.
Opp.
AKO[ 1]
14–24 Jan 2025
1,000
40
44
23
9
12
13
0
9
0
0
4
63
87
Ipsos[ 2]
11–17 Jan 2025
1,031
40
42
20
10
13
11
0
14
0
0
2
60
90
NMS[ 3]
9–13 Jan 2025
1,001
34
44
21
12
12
11
0
16
0
0
10
55
95
AKO[ 4]
16–19 Dec 2024
1,000
37
42
25
11
13
12
0
10
0
0
5
62
88
NMS[ 5]
4–9 Dec 2024
1,000
37
49
21
13
11
0
0
19
0
0
12
58
92
Focus[ 6]
2–8 Dec 2024
1,022
36
37
23
9
12
10
0
14
9
0
1
59
91
AKO[ 7]
12–20 Nov 2024
1,000
37
39
27
12
12
12
0
11
0
0
2
64
86
Focus[ 8]
6–13 Nov 2024
1,018
41
43
25
0
12
13
0
16
0
0
2
66
84
NMS[ 9]
7–11 Nov 2024
1,000
38
50
21
0
12
12
0
17
0
0
12
59
91
Ipsos[ 10]
27 Oct–1 Nov 2024
1,003
42
43
25
0
13
12
0
15
0
0
1
67
83
AKO[ 11]
8–17 Oct 2024
1,000
41
41
29
0
12
13
0
14
0
0
0
70
80
NMS[ 12]
2–7 Oct 2024
1,000
35
42
20
9
12
10
0
13
0
9
7
55
95
37
45
22
0
13
11
0
13
0
9
8
59
91
Focus[ 13]
17–26 Sep 2024
1,017
40
38
22
0
10
10
0
13
9
8
2
62
88
AKO[ 14]
10–16 Sep 2024
1,000
43
43
29
0
13
12
0
10
0
0
0
72
78
Ipsos[ 15]
6–10 Sep 2024
1,025
46
39
21
0
11
13
0
11
0
9
7
67
83
NMS[ 16]
5–9 Sep 2024
1,001
45
46
24
0
12
12
0
11
0
0
1
69
81
AKO[ 18]
6–12 Aug 2024
1,000
44
41
30
0
13
12
0
10
0
0
3
74
76
AKO[ 20]
9–15 Jul 2024
1,000
42
39
27
0
13
10
9
10
0
0
3
78
72
Ipsos[ 22]
26 Jun–1 Jul 2024
1,017
47
42
25
0
12
11
0
13
0
0
5
72
78
AKO[ 23]
11–18 Jun 2024
1,000
42
40
27
0
12
9
9
11
0
0
2
78
72
Focus[ 24]
5–12 Jun 2024
1,025
43
38
25
0
11
11
0
13
9
0
5
68
82
AKO[ 27]
7–14 May 2024
1,000
39
37
31
0
13
12
9
9
0
0
2
79
71
Focus[ 29]
17–24 Apr 2024
1,017
38
36
33
0
12
12
9
10
0
0
2
80
70
AKO[ 30]
9–16 Apr 2024
1,000
41
39
32
0
15
13
10
0
0
0
2
83
67
Focus[ 31]
28 Mar–4 Apr 2024
1,015
40
37
33
0
12
10
9
0
9
0
3
82
68
AKO[ 33]
11–18 Mar 2024
1,000
42
40
30
0
15
13
10
0
0
0
2
82
68
Ipsos[ 34]
12–16 Mar 2024
1,038
42
37
30
10
11
11
0
9
0
0
5
72
78
Ipsos[ 35]
16–21 Feb 2024
1,028
41
38
29
10
12
11
0
9
0
0
3
70
80
Focus[ 36]
14–21 Feb 2024
1,025
39
35
32
0
11
12
11
0
10
0
4
82
68
AKO[ 38]
5–12 Feb 2024
1,000
45
42
27
0
15
11
10
0
0
0
5
82
68
Focus[ 40]
16–23 Jan 2024
1,015
43
38
35
0
12
11
11
0
0
0
5
89
61
AKO[ 41]
11–16 Jan 2024
1,048
37
34
24
12
15
10
9
9
0
0
5
70
80
Ipsos[ 43]
13–18 Dec 2023
1,048
47
37
30
0
12
14
0
10
0
0
10
77
73
AKO[ 44]
11–13 Dec 2023
1,000
43
38
26
0
13
11
9
10
0
0
5
78
72
Focus[ 45]
15–22 Nov 2023
1,015
42
31
25
0
13
11
10
9
9
0
11
77
73
AKO[ 46]
7–14 Nov 2023
1,000
47
39
30
0
13
11
10
0
0
0
8
87
63
2023 election
30 Sep 2023
2,967,896
42
32
27
16
12
11
10
0
0
0
10
79
71
References
^ a b "Prieskum AKO: Koalícia by väčšinu nezložila, ale ani opozícia nemá výraznú väčšinu" . Sme (in Slovak). 29 January 2025.^ a b "Ipsos: O prvé miesto súperia PS a Smer, Matovič sa vrátil nad päť percent. Opozícia by mala tesnú väčšinu" . Denník N (in Slovak). 20 January 2025.^ a b "Volebný model január 2025: Súčasná koalícia by vládu nezložila. Nepomohli by ani hlasy z Republiky" . NMS Global (in Slovak). 15 January 2025.^ a b "PS by zostavilo vládu len s Hlasom, alebo Matovičom" . Sme (in Slovak). 22 December 2024.^ a b "Volebný model: Lídrom ostáva PS, zmeny sa dejú na 5% hranici" . NMS Global (in Slovak). 11 December 2024.^ a b "Na trojkoalíciu zabudnite, zostaviť vládu by bolo zložité. Rast Matoviča potvrdil ďalší prieskum" . Sme (in Slovak). 21 December 2024.^ a b "Voľby by v druhej polovici novembra vyhralo PS pred Smerom, ukazuje ďalší prieskum" . Sme (in Slovak). 25 November 2024.^ a b "Popularita Smeru klesá, PS ho predbehlo aj v ďalšom prieskume" . Sme (in Slovak). 18 November 2024.^ a b "Volebný model november 2024: PS rastie, Smer klesá. Napriek tomu by progresívci vyskladali vládu len ťažko" . NMS Global (in Slovak). 13 November 2024.^ a b "Progresívne Slovensko predbehlo Smer v ďalšom prieskume, na úkor Fica rastie Republika" . Denník N (in Slovak). 5 November 2024.^ a b "Aj druhý októbrový prieskum naznačuje pokles Smeru. Fico prispôsobuje taktiku" . Sme (in Slovak). 21 October 2024.^ a b "Volebný model – október 2024: Konsolidačný balíček mení preferencie voličov" . NMS Global (in Slovak). 9 October 2024.^ a b "Šimečka dýcha Ficovi na krk. Rozdiel medzi Smerom a PS sa naďalej zmenšuje" . TV Markíza (in Slovak). 30 September 2024.^ a b "Prieskum AKO: Poradie strán sa nezmenilo, voľby by vyhral Smer pred PS" . Sme (in Slovak). 23 September 2024.^ a b "Smer by s 25 percentami vyhral voľby aj po lete, PS tesne zaostáva. Hlas klesá, Demokrati by boli v parlamente" . Denník N (in Slovak). 12 September 2024.^ a b "Prieskum NMS: PS a Smer si upevnili pozície lídrov" . Sme (in Slovak). 11 September 2024.^ "Prieskum: Progresívne Slovensko a Smer zvádzajú súboj o prvé miesto" . Sme (in Slovak). 21 August 2024.^ a b "Voľby by vyhral Smer pred progresívcami, SNS by skončila mimo parlamentu" . Sme (in Slovak). 19 August 2024.^ "Zostávam v politike, oznámil Korčok. Angažovať sa chce v parlamentných voľbách, no nehovorí za koho" . Denník N (in Slovak). 3 August 2024.^ a b "Prieskum: Oproti júnu sa preferencie zmenili minimálne, do parlamentu by prešli Republika aj SNS" . Sme (in Slovak). 23 July 2024.^ "Stranícky volebný model: O prvenstvo bojuje PS a Smer" . NMS Global (in Slovak). 17 July 2024. Retrieved 17 July 2024 .^ a b "Smer stále na čele, Danka by v parlamente vystriedala Republika. Demokrati tesne pod piatimi percentami" . Denník N (in Slovak). 2 July 2024. Retrieved 3 July 2024 .^ a b "Prieskum: Smer a Progresívne Slovensko výrazne posilnili, delí ich len percento" . Sme (in Slovak). 22 June 2024. Retrieved 22 June 2024 .^ a b "Prieskum: Hlas výrazne stratil, Smer posilnil, rástla aj Republika" . Sme (in Slovak). 18 June 2024. Retrieved 18 June 2024 .^ "Stranícky volebný model: Vo voľbách by zvíťazilo Progresívne Slovensko" . NMS Global (in Slovak). 17 June 2024. Retrieved 18 June 2024 .^ "Prieskum Ipsosu: Eurovoľby by nevyhralo PS, ale Smer, Republika má deväť percent" . Denník N (in Slovak). 22 May 2024. Retrieved 24 May 2024 .^ a b "Prieskum AKO: Voľby by v máji vyhral Smer pred PS a Hlasom" . Sme (in Slovak). 27 May 2024. Retrieved 21 June 2024 .^ "Stranícky volebný model: Najvyššiu podporu má Progresívne Slovensko" . NMS Global (in Slovak). 24 May 2024. Retrieved 24 May 2024 .^ a b "Republika späť v parlamente. Koalícii by pomohla k ústavnej väčšine" . TV Markíza (in Slovak). 28 April 2024. Retrieved 28 April 2024 .^ a b "Preferencie sa zmenili minimálne, výrazne sa však k parlamentu priblížila Republika" . Sme (in Slovak). 30 April 2024. Retrieved 1 May 2024 .^ a b "Parlamentné voľby by na prelome marca a apríla vyhral Smer, ukázal prieskum" . Sme (in Slovak). 7 April 2024. Retrieved 7 April 2024 .^ "Smer mierne klesol, Dankova SNS je na štyroch percentách" . Denník N (in Slovak). 27 March 2024. Retrieved 27 March 2024 .^ a b "Poradie na prvých troch miestach sa nemení, Smer je stále najsilnejší" . Sme (in Slovak). 20 March 2024. Retrieved 20 March 2024 .^ a b "Smer má 23 percent, protesty ním neotriasli. PS mierne zaostáva, darí sa aj Hlasu" . Denník N (in Slovak). 18 March 2024. Retrieved 10 December 2024 .^ a b "PS sa doťahuje na Smer a zväčšuje si potenciál. Od volieb zosilnel aj Hlas" . Denník N (in Slovak). 26 February 2024. Retrieved 10 December 2024 .^ a b "Vládna koalícia by mala teraz v parlamente silnejšiu väčšinu" . TV Markíza (in Slovak). 26 February 2024. Retrieved 3 March 2024 .^ "PS predbehlo Smer, SNS je mimo" . Sme (in Slovak). 22 February 2024. Retrieved 22 February 2024 .^ a b "Smer si stále drží prvé miesto pred PS a Hlasom" . Sme (in Slovak). 16 February 2024. Retrieved 16 February 2024 .^ "Smer sa drží na 25 percentách, neklesá ani Hlas. Od volieb najviac stratil Matovič" . Denník N (in Slovak). 29 January 2024. Retrieved 29 January 2024 .^ a b "Po sto dňoch vlády by mala koalícia v parlamente ešte silnejšiu väčšinu" . TV Markíza (in Slovak). 4 February 2024. Retrieved 4 February 2024 .^ a b "Smer je stále najsilnejší, zásadné posuny v preferenciách nenastali" . Sme (in Slovak). 18 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024 .^ "Účasť v koalícii sa SNS nedarí zúročiť" . Sme (in Slovak). 19 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024 .^ a b "Smer zostáva najsilnejší" . Denník N (in Slovak). 20 December 2023. Retrieved 10 December 2024 .^ a b "Voľby by v decembri vyhral Smer" . Sme (in Slovak). 14 December 2023. Retrieved 15 December 2023 .^ a b "Prieskum: Dve strany hlásia návrat do parlamentu" . TV Markíza (in Slovak). 26 November 2023. Retrieved 26 November 2023 .^ a b "Prieskum AKO: Voľby by vyhral Smer, Matovičovej strane zatiaľ zmena názvu škodí" . Sme (in Slovak). 16 November 2023. Retrieved 16 November 2023 .^ "Prvý povolebný model Ipsosu: Smer má 24 percent, PS 19. Matovičov nový názov ľudí mätie" . Denník N (in Slovak). 13 November 2023. Retrieved 13 November 2023 .
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