Preseli Pembrokeshire (Senedd constituency)

Preseli Pembrokeshire
*Preseli Sir Benfro*
Preseli Pembrokeshire; Preseli Sir Benfro
Senedd county constituency; for the Senedd
	Preseli Pembrokeshire shown within the Mid and West Wales electoral region and the region shown within Wales
Current Senedd county constituency
Created	1999
Party	Conservative
MS	Paul Davies
Preserved county	Dyfed

Preseli Pembrokeshire (Welsh: Preseli Sir Benfro) is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. It is also one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Boundaries

Map of current boundaries

1999 to 2007

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Preseli Pembrokeshire Westminster constituency. It is a Dyfed constituency, one of five constituencies covering, and entirely within, the preserved county of Dyfed.

The other four Dyfed constituencies are Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Ceredigion and Llanelli. They are all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consisted of the eight constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli, Meirionnydd Nant Conwy, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

From 2007

Boundaries changed at the 2007 Assembly election. Preseli Pembrokeshire remained one of five Dyfed constituencies and one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales region. However, boundaries within Dyfed have changed to realign them with local government ward boundaries and to reduce disparities in the sizes of constituency electorates, and the boundaries of the region changed, to align them with the boundaries of preserved counties.

The other four Dyfed constituencies remain Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Ceredigion and Llanelli. They are all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consists of the constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Dwyfor Meirionnydd, Llanelli, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

For Westminster purposes, the same new constituency boundaries became effective for the National General Election in 2010.

Voting

In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

Assembly Members and Members of the Senedd

	Member	Party
1999	Richard Edwards	Labour
2003	Tamsin Dunwoody-Kneafsey	Labour
2007	Paul Davies	Conservative

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

2021 Senedd election: Preseli Pembrokeshire^[1]
Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Paul Davies^[a]	12,295	39.0	-0.2	10,631	33.8	+2.7
	Labour	Jackie Jones	10,895	34.6	+9.3	10,421	33.1	+9.4
	Plaid Cymru	Cris Tomos	6,135	19.5	+5.6	5,684	18.1	+1.1
	Reform UK	William Dennison	1,239	3.9	New	426	1.35	New
	Liberal Democrats	Tina Roberts	952	3.0	-2.9	763	2.4	-1.7
	Green					1,329	4.2	-0.1
	Abolish					1,072	3.4	-1.6
	UKIP					534	1.7	-10.4
	Christian					172	0.6	New
	Freedom Alliance (UK)					153	0.5	New
	Gwlad					122	0.4	New
	Communist					74	0.2	0.0
	Propel					71	0.2	New
	TUSC					32	0.1	New
Majority			1,400	4.4	−9.5
Turnout			31,516
	Conservative hold		Swing
Notes ^ Incumbent member for this constituency

Elections in the 2010s

Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Preseli Pembrokeshire
Party		Candidate	Constituency^[2]			Regional^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Paul Davies	11,123	39.2	-3.2	8,607	31.1	-4.7
	Labour	Dan Lodge	7,193	25.3	-9.1	6,547	23.7	-6.9
	Plaid Cymru	John Osmond	3,957	13.9	-1.6	4,701	17.0	+1.5
	UKIP	Howard Lillyman	3,286	11.6	New	3,351	12.1	+7.9
	Liberal Democrats	Bob Kilmister	1,677	5.9	-1.8	1,131	4.1	-1.3
	Green	Frances Bryant	1,161	4.1	New	1,182	4.3	+0.4
	Abolish					1,385	5.0	New
	People First (Wales)					137	0.5	New
	Monster Raving Loony					132	0.5	New
	Welsh Christian					135	0.5	-0.1
	Association of Welsh Independents					279	1.0	New
	Communist					58	0.2	-0.1
Majority			3,930	13.9	+5.9
Turnout			28,937	50.3	+3.3
	Conservative hold		Swing

Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Preseli Pembrokeshire
Party		Candidate	Constituency ^[4]			Regional^[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Paul Davies	11,541	42.4	+3.8	9,773	35.8	+1.3
	Labour	Terry Mills	9,366	34.4	+7.0	8,353	30.6	+6.7
	Plaid Cymru	Rhys Sinnett	4,226	15.5	−9.2	4,238	15.5	-6.8
	Liberal Democrats	Bob Kilmister	2,085	7.7	−1.5	1,462	5.4	-1.2
	Green					1,074	3.9	0.0
	UKIP					1,142	4.2	+0.6
	Socialist Labour					654	2.4	+1.3
	BNP					350	1.3	-1.1
	Welsh Christian					168	0.6	+0.1
	Communist					76	0.3	0.0
Majority			2,175	8.0	−3.2
Turnout			27,218	47.0	−3.9
	Conservative hold		Swing	−1.6

Regional ballots rejected: 203^[6]

Elections in the 2000s

Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Preseli Pembrokeshire
Party		Candidate	Constituency ^[7]			Regional^[8]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Paul Davies	11,086	38.6	+9.1	9,916	34.5	+10.0
	Labour	Tamsin Dunwoody	7,881	27.4	−7.9	6,863	23.9	-10.4
	Plaid Cymru	John Osmond	7,101	24.7	+1.8	6,396	22.3	+3.2
	Liberal Democrats	Hywel Davies	2,652	9.2	−3.1	1,895	6.6	-4.2
	Green					1,113	3.9	-1.0
	UKIP					1,024	3.6	0.0
	BNP					686	2.4	New
	Socialist Labour					310	1.1	New
	Welsh Christian					143	0.5	New
	Gwynoro Jones - Independent					136	0.5	New
	Communist					83	0.3	New
	Caroline Evans - Independent					60	0.2	New
	CPA					43	0.1	New
	Veritas					42	0.1	New
Majority			3,205	11.2	N/A
Turnout			28,720	50.9	+9.5
	Conservative gain from Labour		Swing	+8.5

Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Preseli Pembrokeshire
Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Tamsin Dunwoody	8,067	35.3	+0.9	7,781	34.1	+2.8
	Conservative	Paul Windsor Davies	6,741	29.5	+6.9	5,587	24.5	+1.2
	Plaid Cymru	Sion T. Jobbins	5,227	22.9	−2.0	4,356	19.1	-9.5
	Liberal Democrats	Michael I. Warden	2,799	12.3	+0.8	2,462	10.8	+0.4
	Green					1,116	4.9	Unknown
	UKIP					813	3.6	New
	Mid and West Wales Pensioners					416	1.8	New
	Cymru Annibynnol					167	0.7	New
	Vote 2 Stop the War					94	0.4	New
	Prolife Alliance					42	0.2	New
Majority			1,326	5.8	−3.7
Turnout			22,834	41.4	−12.2
	Labour hold		Swing	−3.0

2003 Electorate: 55,195
Regional ballots rejected: 313

Elections in the 1990s

Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Preseli Pembrokeshire^[10]
Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Richard Edwards	9,997	34.4	N/A	9,057	31.3	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	Conrad L. Bryant	7,239	24.9	N/A	8,278	28.6	N/A
	Conservative	Felix F.E. Aubel	6,585	22.6	N/A	6,763	23.3	N/A
	Liberal Democrats	David G.B. Lloyd	3,338	11.5	N/A	3,014	10.4	N/A
	Independent	Alwyn C. Luke	1,944	6.7	N/A
	Other list parties					1,854	6.4	N/A
Majority			2,758	9.5	N/A
Turnout			29,103	53.6	N/A
	Labour win (new seat)

References

^ [1] Preseli Pembrokeshire Statement of Persons Nominated
^ "Wales elections > Preseli Pembrokeshire". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
^ "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
^ "Wales elections > Preseli Pembrokeshire". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2011.
^ "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 30 October 2021.
^ "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
^ Election results – 2007 Archived 9 May 2011 at the Wayback Machine, National Assembly for Wales
^ "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 1 August 2021.
^ The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003 (PDF). The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 24 October 2021.
^ "Wales elections > Preseli Pembrokeshire". BBC News. 6 May 1999. Retrieved 28 October 2017.

51°56′28″N 4°57′40″W / 51.941°N 4.961°W / 51.941; -4.961

[fn1-2] Incumbent member for this constituency

[1] [1] Preseli Pembrokeshire Statement of Persons Nominated

[3] "Wales elections > Preseli Pembrokeshire". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.

[4] "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.

[5] "Wales elections > Preseli Pembrokeshire". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2011.

[6] "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 30 October 2021.

[7] "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.

[8] Election results – 2007 Archived 9 May 2011 at the Wayback Machine, National Assembly for Wales

[2007_Assembly_Election_Results_(updated)_July_2007-9] "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 1 August 2021.

[10] The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003 (PDF). The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 24 October 2021.

[11] "Wales elections > Preseli Pembrokeshire". BBC News. 6 May 1999. Retrieved 28 October 2017.

[1]

[a]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]