2007 California's 37th congressional district special election

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
	1849; 1850; 1852 sp; 1856; 1857 sp; 1860; 1860 sp; 1868; 1872; 1873; 1873 sp; 1878; 1880; 1885; 1886 sp; 1887; 1891; 1891 sp; 1893; 1895 sp; 1897; 1900 sp; 1903; 1905; 1909; 1911; 1914; 1916; 1920; 1922; 1926; 1928; 1932; 1934; 1938; 1940; 1944; 1946; 1946 sp; 1950; 1952; 1954 sp; 1956; 1958; 1962; 1964; 1968; 1970; 1974; 1976; 1980; 1982; 1986; 1988; 1992; 1992 sp; 1994; 1998; 2000; 2004; 2006; 2010; 2012; 2016; 2018; 2022; 2022 sp; 2024; 2024 sp; 2028;

U.S. President
U.S. President
	1852; 1856; 1860; 1864; 1868; 1872; 1876; 1880; 1884; 1888; 1892; 1896; 1900; 1904; 1908; 1912; 1916; 1920; 1924; 1928; 1932; 1936; 1940; 1944; 1948; 1952; 1956; 1960; 1964; 1968; 1972; 1976; 1980; 1984; 1988; 1992; 1996 Dem; Rep; ; 2000 Dem; Rep; ; 2004 Dem; Rep; ; 2008 Dem; Rep; ; 2012 Dem; Rep; ; 2016 Dem; Rep; ; 2020 Dem; Rep; ; 2024 Dem; Rep; ;

2007 California's 37th congressional district special election
California's 37th congressional district
U.S. Representative before election; Juanita Millender-McDonald; Democratic	Elected U.S. Representative ; Laura Richardson; Democratic

California's 37th congressional district special election, 2007 was held on August 21, 2007, to replace the seat of Congresswoman Juanita Millender-McDonald, who died of cancer on April 22, 2007.^[1] California State Assemblymember Laura Richardson received the plurality of votes in an open primary election on June 26. Since no candidate won a majority of votes in that contest, the special election was held on August 21, in which Richardson was the winner.

Candidates

Democratic

Lee Davis - publisher
Mervin Evans - Army veteran, businessman, and frequent candidate
Felicia Ford - Corporate Executive Officer
Bill Francisco Grisolia - Paralegal/Businessman
Peter Mathews University Professor
Valerie McDonald - daughter of deceased Rep. Millender-McDonald
Jenny Oropeza - State Senator, 2007–Present; State Assemblywoman, 2001–2007; Long Beach City Councilmember, 1995–2001
George Parmer Jr. - truck driver
Jeffrey Price - Workers Compensation Attorney
Laura Richardson - State Assemblywoman, 2007–Present, Long Beach Councilmember, 2001–2005
Ed Wilson - Signal Hill Councilmember, 1997–Present

Republican

Leroy Joseph Guillory - minister
John M. Kanaley - War Veteran
Jeffrey "Lincoln" Leavitt - teacher
Teri Ramirez - Businesswoman/mother

Green

Daniel Abraham Brezenoff - Clinical social worker and activist

Libertarian

Herb Peters - Retired aerospace engineer

Historically Democratic district

The district has been historically Democratic. In the 2004 Presidential election, John Kerry received 74% of the vote and George W. Bush received 25% of the vote. The district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index score of D +27. The district's high African American and Mexican American populations also make the district lean Democrat because those groups have tended to vote with the Democrats. It came as little surprise when Republican John M. Kanaley received 5,309 votes or 25.24% of the total. After the June 26 election, various articles that appeared in the Los Angeles Times and the Long Beach Press-Telegram all but declared Richardson the eventual winner (see references below).

Democratic Party Involvement

Democratic Party endorses Oropeza, May 19, 2007

A spokesman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee told The Hill that the committee had no plans to get involved in the election.^[2] Despite making claims to originally stay out of the Congressional race, the Democratic Party endorsed Oropeza on May 19, 2007. Oropeza took 119 of the 168 ballots cast by party delegates, or 71 percent, reaching the 60 percent threshold needed to win the party's endorsement [1].

Involvement from out of district officials

Richardson accused Senate President Pro Tem Don Perata of having "dumped 130 people here" from outside the district to throw the democratic party vote to Oropeza [2]. In the race, Perata supported fellow State Senator Oropeza. Richardson was endorsed by several California State Assembly members that included Speaker Fabian Nunez, Majority Leader Karen Bass, Assembly member Mervyn Dymally, and former Speaker Willie Brown.

Race

The Black vote

McDonald won only two votes from party delegates at the Democratic party endorsement. The vast majority of black delegates in attendance voted for Richardson, while Oropeza won all but a few of the Latino, white and Filipino delegates. Blacks make up roughly 25% of registered voters. Many black leaders saw this election as a test of their political clout. As Millender-McDonald was Black, Black leaders wanted to hang onto the congressional seat that had been held by an African-American, even as the seat's Latino population has grown rapidly. Black Congresswoman Maxine Waters also endorsed Richardson, as did many black state representatives.

The McDonald factor

Originally, the membership of the Congressional Black Caucus was divided between those who supported Richardson and those who supported Valerie McDonald, daughter of the late Millender-McDonald. McDonald was backed by US Congresswoman Diane Watson and some local churches and other political leaders. McDonald is the executive director of the African American Women Health and Education Foundation in Carson, a nonprofit founded by her mother. Some black leaders feared that the two black candidates would split the vote and lead to an Oropeza victory. Polls that were conducted began to justify that fear. Seeing this fact, many Black leaders began to rally around and throw their support to Richardson over McDonald.

The Latino vote

While the growing Latino vote represented 40% of the district's population, the Latino vote was about 21%.^[3] Most major Latino leaders and organizations, including the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, also supported Orepeza.

Labor versus Indian gaming

The race can also be seen as a contest between two of California's interest groups: Labor and Indian gaming. The two groups clashed over five tribal compacts that would doubled the number of slot machines at Indian casinos. Labor groups fought the compacts because they believed the compacts did not adequately protect workers.

Richardson had strong financial support from organized labor that included the Los Angeles County Federation of Labor, which provided volunteers to walk precincts and make phone calls in the final days of the race. The Los Angeles County Federation of Labor spent $275,000 on Richardson's campaign and put more than 1,000 union members on the street, made 45,000 phone calls and distributed 166,000 pieces of mail.^[4] Oropeza voted for the compacts. The tribes showed their gratitude by spending $457,000 of independently on television ads in Oropeza's support. Morongo Band of Mission Indians spent $440,000 alone.^[4]

Polling

Source	Date	Kanaley (R)	McDonald (D)	Oropeza (D)	Ramirez (R)	Richardson (D)	Wilson (D)
Fairbanks, Maslin, Maulin, and Associates^[5]	Jun 5–7, 2007	5%	7%	16%	2%	25%	2%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research^[6]	May 17–22, 2007	N/A	16%	27%	N/A	24%	N/A
David Binder Research^[7]	May 5–6, 2007	N/A	17%	26%	N/A	13%	N/A

Results

Of the 25 candidates who originally filed, 17 appeared on the ballot; running were eleven Democrats, four Republicans, one Green, and one Libertarian.

California's 37th congressional district special primary, 2007^[8]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Laura Richardson	11,956	36.5
	Democratic	Jenny Oropeza	9,960	30.4
	Democratic	Valerie McDonald	3,027	9.2
	Republican	John Kanaley	2,425	7.4
	Democratic	Peter Mathews	1,125	3.4
	Republican	Teri Ramirez	612	1.9
	Green	Daniel Brezenoff	391	1.2
	Republican	Jeffrey Leavitt	386	1.2
	Democratic	Albert Robles (write-in)	363	1.1
	Democratic	Ed Wilson	362	1.1
	Republican	L. J. Guillory	361	1.1
	Libertarian	Herb Peters	342	1.0
	Democratic	George Parmer	242	0.7
	Democratic	Lee Davis	202	0.6
	Democratic	Jeffrey Price	142	0.4
	Democratic	Bill Grisolia	141	0.4
	Democratic	Felicia Ford	122	0.4
	Democratic	Marvin Evans	29	0.1
Invalid or blank votes			548	1.7
Total votes			32,736	100.0
Turnout				12.3

California's 37th congressional district special election, 2007^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Laura Richardson	15,559	65.6
	Republican	John Kanaley	5,837	24.6
	Green	Daniel Brezenoff	1,274	5.4
	Libertarian	Herb Peters	538	2.3
	Independent	Lee Davis (write-in)	12	0.1
	Independent	Christopher Remple (write-in)	1	0.0
Invalid or blank votes			485	2.0
Total votes			23,706	100.0
Turnout				9.0
	Democratic hold

Low turnout

Voter turnout was very low during this special election. Many voters were unaware that a special election was occurring. The absentee ballot drives were a part of both sides campaign strategies because of the expected low turnout. Over 10,000 absentee ballots were processed by the Los Angeles County registrar-recorder despite there being 265,000 registered voters. 11% of the district's 265,000 registered voters cast ballots in the primary, and only 8% cast ballots on August 21.^[10]

Analysis

While race was a factor in the results of the election, some Blacks voters and leaders supported Orepeza and some Latino voters and leaders backed Richardson. Richardson's victory in the primary did depend on Black voters but final results showed that Richardson won over many Latino voters and leaders.^[11]

Current population estimate in California project a large increase in the Latino population in California over the next 40 years while the population of Blacks, Asian Americans, and Whites as a percentage of total population is expected to decline^[12] The dynamics of race relations in the special election could be foretelling of some political races in the future.

Interesting Election Information

Laura Richardson during her victory speech: "It's not just about money and it's not just about the number of years you've served. It's about what's in your heart" [3].
Oropeza and Richardson released polls, each showing that person in the lead [4].
Richardson was a former aide to Millender-McDonald.
Richardson used a mailing, just days before the primary, to criticize Orepeza for missing votes, but did not mention that Oropeza missed these votes because she was being treated for cancer. Two other mailers also targeted Oropeza "for taking pay raises and claiming to have a bachelor's degree from Cal State Long Beach, when, in fact, she had failed to get credit for two classes, leaving her without a diploma."^[13]
Richardson pledged on a cable TV Public-access television show candidate debate that she will not vote for any new funding for the Iraq war. After being elected, she said she had not made up her mind how she will vote.

External links

Candidate web sites

Democratic

References

^ Prengaman, Peter (April 23, 2007). "Rep. Millender-McDonald Dies of Cancer". Associated Press via The Washington Post. Retrieved July 14, 2008.
^ "Oropeza enters race for late rep.'s seat". The Hill. May 3, 2007. Archived from the original on June 14, 2008. Retrieved May 3, 2007.
^ Rojas, Aurelio. "Ethnic tensions underlie House race in south state; An African American and Latino vie in a 'black' district where the bulk of the residents are Latino." Sacramento Bee. May 13, 2007. Accessed July 16, 2007
^ ^a ^b Mitchell, John L. "Racial issues take a back seat in 37th'Multiracial support has Laura Richardson poised to represent a largely Latino district. Her take: `We are a new America, very diverse.'" Los Angeles Times. July 3, 2007. Accessed July 16, 2007.
^ Fairbanks, Maslin, Maulin, and Associates
^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
^ David Binder Research
^ "Special Election Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. July 2, 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 24, 2008. Retrieved April 24, 2008.
^ "Special Election Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. August 30, 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 24, 2008. Retrieved April 24, 2008.
^ latimes.com
^ Mitchell, John L. "Racial issues take a back seat in 37th;Multiracial support has Laura Richardson poised to represent a largely Latino district. Her take: `We are a new America, very diverse.'" Los Angeles Times. July 3, 2007. Accessed July 17, 2007
^ Lin, Judy. "California boomin' Dramatic changes in demographics as seen coming by midcentury." Sacramento Bee. Tuesday, July 10, 2007. Page A1.
^ "CA:37 Orepeza, Richardson Lead Ahead of Tuesday's Special Election." Bulletin New Network, Inc. The Frontrunner. June 25, 2007. Accessed July 16, 2007.

[1] Prengaman, Peter (April 23, 2007). "Rep. Millender-McDonald Dies of Cancer". Associated Press via The Washington Post. Retrieved July 14, 2008.

[Youngman-2] "Oropeza enters race for late rep.'s seat". The Hill. May 3, 2007. Archived from the original on June 14, 2008. Retrieved May 3, 2007.

[3] Rojas, Aurelio. "Ethnic tensions underlie House race in south state; An African American and Latino vie in a 'black' district where the bulk of the residents are Latino." Sacramento Bee. May 13, 2007. Accessed July 16, 2007

[Mitchell,_John_L_2007-4] Mitchell, John L. "Racial issues take a back seat in 37th'Multiracial support has Laura Richardson poised to represent a largely Latino district. Her take: `We are a new America, very diverse.'" Los Angeles Times. July 3, 2007. Accessed July 16, 2007.

[5] Fairbanks, Maslin, Maulin, and Associates

[6] Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research

[7] David Binder Research

[8] "Special Election Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. July 2, 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 24, 2008. Retrieved April 24, 2008.

[9] "Special Election Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. August 30, 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 24, 2008. Retrieved April 24, 2008.

[10] times.com

[11] Mitchell, John L. "Racial issues take a back seat in 37th;Multiracial support has Laura Richardson poised to represent a largely Latino district. Her take: `We are a new America, very diverse.'" Los Angeles Times. July 3, 2007. Accessed July 17, 2007

[12] Lin, Judy. "California boomin' Dramatic changes in demographics as seen coming by midcentury." Sacramento Bee. Tuesday, July 10, 2007. Page A1.

[13] "CA:37 Orepeza, Richardson Lead Ahead of Tuesday's Special Election." Bulletin New Network, Inc. The Frontrunner. June 25, 2007. Accessed July 16, 2007.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]