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2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

← 2014 November 6, 2018 2022 →
 
Nominee Kevin Stitt Drew Edmondson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 644,579 500,973
Percentage 54.33% 42.23%

Stitt:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Edmondson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
     Tie      No votes

Governor before election

Mary Fallin
Republican

Elected Governor

Kevin Stitt
Republican

The 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Oklahoma. Incumbent Republican governor Mary Fallin was term-limited, and was prohibited by the Constitution of Oklahoma from seeking another gubernatorial term. Republican Businessman Kevin Stitt was elected elected with 54.3% of the vote, defeating Democratic nominee and former Oklahoma attorney general Drew Edmondson.

Primary elections occurred on June 26, 2018. Edmondson won the Democratic nomination outright. Stitt, however, faced a runoff election against former Oklahoma City mayor Mick Cornett. On August 28, 2018, Stitt won the Republican primary runoff and became the Republican nominee for the office. The Libertarian Party also held a primary, which advanced to a runoff, with Chris Powell, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Oklahoma, winning the nomination.[1][2]

This was the first election in which the Libertarian Party has been on the ballot to participate in a gubernatorial election in Oklahoma,[3] and the only time since 1986 that a candidate from the incumbent president's party was elected Governor of Oklahoma.

A member of the Cherokee Nation, Stitt became the first tribally enrolled Native American to serve as governor of a U.S. state.[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary runoff

Eliminated in the initial primary

Endorsements

Mick Cornett

Mayors

Individuals

  • Gary Richardson, former Eastern District Attorney and candidate for governor in 2002 & 2018[31]

Organizations

Todd Lamb
U.S. representative

Individuals

Organizations

Gary Richardson
Individuals

Organizations

  • Sooner Politics News[42]
  • The Edmond Republican GROUP[43]
Kevin Stitt
U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

Mayors

Individuals

  • Blake "Cowboy" Stephens, rancher, educator and candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018[56]

Organizations

Newspapers

First round

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mick
Cornett
Dan
Fisher
Gary
Jones
Todd
Lamb
Gary
Richardson
Kevin
Stitt
Other Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R)[61] June 6–7, 2018 435 ± 4.5% 21% 4% 2% 20% 6% 20% 28%
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson)[62] May 22–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 13% 4% 3% 20% 13% 17% 30%
Right Strategy Group (R)[63] May 22–23, 2018 409 ± 5.0% 20% 4% 3% 20% 4% 21% 29%
SoonerPoll[64] May 15–23, 2018 319 20% 3% 4% 23% 3% 14% 1% 31%
Magellan Strategies[65] April 18–19 and 22, 2018 644 ± 3.9% 17% 5% 5% 19% 12% 19% 23%
SoonerPoll[66] March 14–22, 2018 294 22% 4% 3% 21% 7% 8% 36%
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson)[67] March 9, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 15% 2% 3% 14% 10% 8% 48%
SoonerPoll[68] January 4–9, 2018 213 24% 4% 3% 18% 9% 3% 39%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jim
Bridenstine
Todd
Lamb
Scott
Pruitt
Undecided
SoonerPoll[69] September 1–15, 2017 403 ± 4.9% 19% 33% 16% 32%

Results

Initial primary results by county:
  Cornett
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Stitt
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Lamb
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Fisher
  •   20–30%
Republican primary results[70]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mick Cornett 132,806 29.3
Republican Kevin Stitt 110,479 24.4
Republican Todd Lamb 107,985 23.9
Republican Dan Fisher 35,818 7.9
Republican Gary Jones 25,243 5.6
Republican Gary Richardson 18,185 4.0
Republican Blake Stephens 12,211 2.7
Republican Christopher Barnett 5,240 1.2
Republican Barry Gowdy 2,347 0.5
Republican Eric Foutch 2,292 0.5
Total votes 452,606 100.0

Runoff

Campaign finance

Pre-runoff report due August 20, 2018
Candidate Total
raised
Total
spent
Total
cash-on-hand
Kevin Stitt $6,542,863.91 $6,018,662.13 $368,557.72
Mick Cornett $3,242,795.74 $2,826,305.70 $336,691.50

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mick
Cornett
Kevin
Stitt
Undecided
Remington (R)[71] August 1–2, 2018 1,757 ± 2.3% 37% 47% 16%
Right Strategy Group (R)[72] August 1–2, 2018 385 ± 5.0% 33% 41% 26%
SoonerPoll[73] July 18–20, 2018 483 ± 4.5% 37% 37% 25%

Results

Primary runoff results by county:
  Stitt
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Cornett
  •   50–60%
Republican primary runoff results[74]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Stitt 164,892 54.56
Republican Mick Cornett 137,316 45.44
Total votes 302,208 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Drew Edmondson

Governors

Mayors

State representatives

Newspapers

Individuals

  • Norman Jay Brown, auto mechanic and candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018[90]

Organizations

  • Oklahoma Education Association[91]
  • Oklahoma Public Employees Association[92]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Drew
Edmondson
Connie
Johnson
Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R)[61] June 6–7, 2018 45% 11% 45%
SoonerPoll[93] May 15–23, 2018 297 ± 5.7% 44% 14% 43%
Hypothetical polling

with Norman Brown

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Norman
Brown
Drew
Edmondson
Connie
Johnson
Undecided
SoonerPoll[66] March 14–22, 2018 264 4% 34% 13% 50%
SoonerPoll[94] January 4–9, 2018 162 4% 40% 21% 35%

Results

Results by county:
  Edmondson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results[70]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Drew Edmondson 242,764 61.4
Democratic Connie Johnson 152,730 38.6
Total votes 395,494 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary runoff

  • Rex L. Lawhorn, former chair of the Oklahoma Americans Elect Party and Oklahoma State Director for Our America Initiative[96]

Eliminated in the initial primary

Endorsements

Chris Powell

Newspapers

Individuals

  • Norma Sapp, director, Oklahoma chapter of the National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws[99]
  • Frank Grove, president, Drug Reform Network of Oklahoma[99]
  • Tim Gillespie, founder of the Oklahoma 2nd Amendment Association
  • Ken Young, Chair, Oklahoma State Board of Cosmetology
  • Tom Laurent, former chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and former member of the Libertarian National Committee
  • Robert T. Murphy, former chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and former member of the Libertarian National Committee and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016
  • D. Frank Robinson, first chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and founding member of the national Libertarian Party
  • Tina Kelly, former chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Steve Galpin, former chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Jimmy Cook, former chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Angela O’Dell, former chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party[100]

First round

Results

Initial primary results by county:
Powell
  •   100%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Powell/Lawhorn tie
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50%
Lawhorn
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   100%
Exotic
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
  •   100%
No votes
  •   No Votes
Libertarian primary results[70]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Chris Powell 1,740 48.9
Libertarian Rex L. Lawhorn 1,154 32.4
Libertarian Joe Exotic 664 18.7
Total votes 3,558 100%

Runoff

Campaign finance

Pre-runoff report due August 20, 2018
Candidate Total
raised
Total
spent
Total
cash-on-hand
Chris Powell $10,142.88 $6,991.02 $3,017.51
Rex L. Lawhorn $4,575.00 $5,286.87 ($736.87)

Results

Primary runoff results by county:
Powell
  •   100%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Powell/Lawhorn tie
  •   50%
Lawhorn
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   100%
No votes
  •   No votes
Libertarian primary runoff results[74]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Chris Powell 547 59.1
Libertarian Rex L. Lawhorn 379 40.9
Total votes 926 100.0

General election

Oklahoma general election ballot for 2018

Oklahoma determines ballot order by a random drawing which took place for this election cycle on July 12, resulting in the Libertarian Party being listed first, Republicans second, and Democrats third.[101]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[102] Tossup October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[103] Lean R November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[104] Likely R November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[105] Lean R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[106] Lean R November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[107] Lean R November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[108] Lean R November 5, 2018
Fox News[109][a] Likely R November 5, 2018
Politico[110] Lean R November 5, 2018
Governing[111] Lean R November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kevin
Stitt (R)
Drew
Edmondson (D)
Chris
Powell (L)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[112] October 31 – November 3, 2018 338 ± 5.3% 47% 44% 3% 6%
SoonerPoll[113] October 23–25, 2018 447 ± 4.6% 46% 42% 4% 8%
Magellan Strategies (R)[114] October 22–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 51% 44% 1% 4%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass (R)[115] September 25–29, 2018 500 ± 4.3% 46% 40% 4%
Right Strategy Group (R)[116] September 25–26, 2018 1,058 ± 3.0% 47% 43% 2% 8%
SoonerPoll[117] September 5–10, 2018 407 ± 4.9% 47% 44% 3% 6%
Right Strategy Group (R)[72] August 1–2, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 41% 42% 17%
SoonerPoll[118] July 18–20, 2018 404 ± 4.9% 39% 40% 21%
SoonerPoll[119] May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% 25% 32% 43%
Hypothetical polling

with Mick Cornett

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mick
Cornett (R)
Drew
Edmondson (D)
Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R)[72] August 1–2, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 39% 39% 21%
SoonerPoll[120] July 18–20, 2018 404 ± 4.9% 43% 35% 23%
SoonerPoll[121] May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% 33% 27% 40%

with Todd Lamb

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Todd
Lamb (R)
Drew
Edmondson (D)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[122] May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% 33% 28% 39%

Results

Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Kevin Stitt 644,579 54.33% −1.47%
Democratic Drew Edmondson 500,973 42.23% +1.22%
Libertarian Chris Powell 40,833 3.44% N/A
Total votes 1,186,385 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

Stitt won 73 counties, while Edmondson won four. Stitt won 56 counties with at least 60% of the popular vote, 14 counties with at least 70%, and three counties – Beaver, Cimarron, and Ellis – with upwards of 80%. Stitt had the largest margin of victory in Cimarron with 73.09% more votes than Edmondson's 12.27%, the latter's lowest county performance in the election. The largest county per vote count won by Stitt was Tulsa County, home of Tulsa. Oklahoma County, of which Oklahoma City is county seat, was the only county where Stitt failed to acquire three out of every seven votes.[123]

Edmondson won Muskogee by a single vote, and had an 11.84% margin of victory – his only margin of victory above 10% – in Oklahoma County. Edmondson won his four counties with typically narrower margins than that of Stitt, having missed 50% of the popular vote in Muskogee.[123] Powell never came close to winning any counties, but won his highest percentage of votes in Washita County, with 4.97%[123]

County Stitt Votes Edmondson Votes Powell Votes Total
Adair 61.61% 3,187 33.73% 1,745 4.66% 241 5,173
Alfalfa 74.01% 1,333 21.71% 391 4.28% 77 1,801
Atoka 69.05% 2,789 28.6% 1,155 2.35% 95 4,039
Beaver 80.82% 1,454 15.12% 272 4.06% 73 1,799
Beckham 71.18% 4,061 24.47% 1,396 4.35% 248 5,705
Blaine 65.73% 1,941 30.1% 889 4.17% 123 2,953
Bryan 64.33% 7,301 33.01% 3,746 2.66% 302 11,349
Caddo 54.97% 4,047 41.33% 3,043 3.69% 272 7,362
Canadian 59.65% 27,410 36.44% 16,744 3.91% 1,797 45,951
Carter 64.91% 9,090 31.74% 4,445 3.35% 469 14,004
Cherokee 45.58% 6,336 50.14% 6,970 4.28% 595 13,901
Choctaw 65.28% 2,634 31.87% 1,286 2.85% 115 4,035
Cimarron 85.36% 682 12.27% 98 2.38% 19 799
Cleveland 45.87% 42,268 50.62% 46,648 3.51% 3,231 92,147
Coal 61.05% 1,127 35.7% 659 3.25% 60 1,846
Comanche 49.66% 13,180 46.48% 12,336 3.87% 1,027 26,543
Cotton 65.44% 1,312 29.83% 598 4.74% 95 2,005
Craig 60.4% 2,863 36.14% 1,713 3.46% 164 4,740
Creek 65.53% 14,870 31.06% 7,048 3.42% 775 22,693
Custer 63.21% 5,239 32.76% 2,615 4.03% 334 8,288
Delaware 65.21% 8,543 31.4% 4,114 3.39% 444 13,101
Dewey 79.41% 1,404 17.82% 315 2.77% 49 1,768
Ellis 80.3% 1,186 15.98% 236 3.72% 55 1,477
Garfield 63.36% 11,008 32.31% 5,613 4.34% 754 17,375
Garvin 64.91% 5,140 31.7% 2,510 3.4% 269 7,919
Grady 65.16% 11,173 30.8% 5,281 4.05% 694 17,148
Grant 73.36% 1,250 22.18% 378 4.46% 76 1,704
Greer 64.22% 946 31.84% 469 3.94% 58 1,473
Harmon 59.38% 443 37.13% 277 3.49% 26 746
Harper 78.35% 948 17.69% 214 3.97% 48 1,210
Haskell 63.44% 2,348 33.67% 1,246 2.89% 107 3,701
Hughes 60.73% 2,323 34.93% 1,336 4.34% 166 3,825
Jackson 66.31% 4,301 30.67% 1,989 3.02% 196 6,486
Jefferson 70.04% 1,099 27.02% 424 2.93% 46 1,569
Johnston 65.45% 1,976 31.86% 962 2.68% 81 3,019
Kay 60.51% 7,859 35.28% 4,582 4.22% 548 12,989
Kingfisher 75.23% 3,846 20.81% 1,064 3.95% 202 5,112
Kiowa 60.61% 1,645 35.81% 972 3.57% 97 2,714
Latimer 58.8% 1,774 37.25% 1,125 3.91% 118 3,017
Le Flore 62.56% 8,009 34.89% 4,467 2.55% 327 12,803
Lincoln 64.94% 7,323 30.31% 3,418 4.74% 535 11,276
Logan 62.09% 9,847 33.87% 5,371 4.04% 641 15,859
Love 68.69% 1,902 29.18% 808 2.13% 59 2,769
Major 79.28% 2,177 17.12% 470 3.61% 99 2,746
Marshall 66.66% 2,943 30.6% 1,351 2.74% 121 4,415
Mayes 60.63% 7,837 35.62% 4,604 3.76% 486 12,927
McClain 65.35% 9,021 31.05% 4,286 3.6% 497 13,804
McCurtain 68.43% 5,178 29.22% 2,211 2.35% 178 7,567
McIntosh 54.56% 3,612 42.07% 2,785 3.37% 223 6,620
Murray 62.97% 2,751 33.03% 1,443 4.01% 175 4,369
Muskogee 48.30% 9,515 48.31% 9,516 3.39% 668 19,699
Noble 63.83% 2,543 31.43% 1,252 4.74% 189 3,984
Nowata 66.14% 2,319 28.98% 1,016 4.88% 171 3,506
Okfuskee 56.44% 1,752 39.98% 1,241 3.58% 111 3,104
Oklahoma 42.38% 98,994 54.22% 126,667 3.4% 7,938 233,599
Okmulgee 52.96% 5,846 43.93% 4,849 3.11% 343 11,043
Osage 56.2% 8,629 40.39% 6,202 3.21% 524 15,355
Ottawa 55.74% 4,752 41.08% 3,502 3.18% 271 8,525
Pawnee 62.42% 3,076 33.38% 1,645 4.2% 207 4,928
Payne 49.18% 11,193 46.8% 10,650 4.02% 914 22,757
Pittsburg 59.66% 7,986 36.17% 4,842 4.16% 557 13,385
Pontotoc 52.43% 6,233 44.52% 5,293 3.05% 363 11,889
Pottawatomie 57.06% 11,996 38.5% 8,093 4.44% 933 21,022
Pushmataha 63.07% 2,102 33.18% 1,106 3.75% 125 3,333
Roger Mills 77.13% 1,157 18.87% 283 4% 60 1,500
Rogers 64.76% 21,450 32.02% 10,605 3.23% 1,069 33,124
Seminole 55.99% 3,681 39.66% 2,607 4.35% 286 6,574
Sequoyah 58.31% 6,695 39.02% 4,480 2.67% 307 11,482
Stephens 67.48% 9,314 29.57% 4,081 2.95% 407 13,802
Texas 74.84% 3,097 21.6% 894 3.55% 147 4,138
Tillman 62.89% 1,315 34.24% 716 2.87% 60 2,091
Tulsa 50.11% 101,518 47.07% 95,350 2.82% 5,716 202,584
Wagoner 63% 16,346 33.53% 8,700 3.47% 901 7,276
Washington 62.96% 11,226 33.74% 6,017 3.3% 588 17,831
Washita 69.72% 2,653 25.31% 963 4.97% 189 3,805
Woods 67.83% 1,929 28.02% 797 4.15% 118 2,844
Woodward 73.35% 4,326 23.53% 1,388 3.12% 184 5,898

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Stitt won 4 of 5 congressional districts.[124]

District Edmondson Stitt Representative
1st 44.18% 52.89% Kevin Hern
2nd 37.15% 59.51% Markwayne Mullin
3rd 33.53% 62.56% Frank Lucas
4th 42.65% 53.71% Tom Cole
5th 52.90% 43.69% Steve Russell (115th Congress)
Kendra Horn (116th Congress)

See also

References

  1. ^ "2018 Election Calendar". Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved May 14, 2018.
  2. ^ "Pre-Runoff Finance Reports: Governor's race". www.muskogeepolitico.com.
  3. ^ "Three Libertarians competing in party's first Oklahoma gubernatorial primary". NewsOK.com. April 2, 2018.
  4. ^ "Only one state makes history with election of first Native governor". Indianz.com. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  5. ^ "2018: Kevin Stitt Announces Republican Bid For Governor". July 17, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  6. ^ "Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett announces plan to run for governor". KFOR.com. May 31, 2017. Retrieved June 1, 2017.
  7. ^ "Christopher Barnett for Governor". chrisforgov.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  8. ^ "Former Rep. Lawmaker Dan Fisher To Run For State Governor". Associated Press. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  9. ^ a b c "Candidate Filings, 2018". www.ok.gov. Archived from the original on November 25, 2020. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  10. ^ Murphy, Sean (May 8, 2017). "Oklahoma Auditor Gary Jones to Run for Governor in 2018". U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  11. ^ "Lt. Governor Todd Lamb files candidacy paperwork for 2018 governor's race". KFOR.com. April 7, 2017. Retrieved June 1, 2017.
  12. ^ Felder, Ben (April 24, 2017). "Richardson announces run for governor, seeks Republican ticket". The Oklahoman. Retrieved April 24, 2017.
  13. ^ "Mayor Smiley Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
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  20. ^ "Facebook". Facebook. August 24, 2018.
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  24. ^ "Mayor Fitch Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  25. ^ "Former Mayor Adams Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  26. ^ "Mayor Nicholson Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  27. ^ "WHAT A SHOCK! Mayor Shockley Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  28. ^ "Mayor Petersen Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
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  35. ^ "Tulsa World editorial: We could hope for better, but Mick Cornett is the best choice available on the GOP governor's ballot". Tulsa World. June 9, 2018.
  36. ^ "REP. STEVE RUSSELL ENDORSES LAMB FOR GOVERNOR". Todd Lamb for Oklahoma Governor. September 18, 2017. Archived from the original on June 12, 2018. Retrieved June 9, 2018.
  37. ^ "Todd Lamb Officially Files for Governor; Retired General Tommy Franks Offers Endorsement". Todd Lamb for Oklahoma Governor. April 11, 2018. Archived from the original on June 12, 2018. Retrieved June 9, 2018.
  38. ^ Casteel, Chris (May 3, 2018). "Donald Trump Jr. talks politics, hunting at fundraiser for Lamb". NewsOK.
  39. ^ "OKAgFund endorses, funds candidates in state elections". Oklahoma Farm Bureau. May 22, 2018.
  40. ^ "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com.
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