In the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections, the Democrats had won 235 seats. Leading up to the 2020 elections, the Democrats were projected by many polls to expand their majority by up to 15 seats due to the unpopularity of then-President Donald Trump. While Democrats ultimately retained control of the House following the 2020 elections, Republicans made a net gain of 14 seats[2] and the Democrats entered 2021 with a narrow 222–213 House majority.[3][4] This was the first time since 2004 that the Republican Party made net gains in the House during a presidential election year. This led to Democrats' smallest majority since 1942.
Republicans exceeded expectations in the 2020 House elections, winning back a number of seats that they lost in 2018 while successfully defending competitive seats that Democrats had hoped to flip. No Republican incumbent was defeated for re-election, while 13 incumbent Democrats were ousted by Republicans; also, several successful Democratic candidates won by smaller-than-expected margins. Many have cited Trump's presence on the ballot as having fueled high Republican turnout,[3][5][6][7] while others have emphasized the Republican Party's efforts to promote their female and minority candidates.[8][9][10][11]
This constitutes the 11th election since the Civil War in which the victorious presidential party lost seats in the House, after the elections of 1868, 1884, 1892, 1896, 1908, 1960, 1988, 1992, 2000, and 2016.
The 2020 election results are compared below to the November 2018 election, in which only 434 seats were filled (the election results in one constituency were voided). The results summary below does not include blank and over/under votes which were included in the official results.
Incumbent died July 17, 2020. New member electedDecember 1, 2020 after no candidate received a majority vote in the September 29, 2020 blanket primary. Democratic hold.[29]
^Due to the primary system used in Louisiana, a December 5 runoff election determined the winner of any race where no candidate received more than 50% of the vote on November 3, 2020.
^Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, Guam cancelled its August 29, 2020, primary elections. All three certified candidates appeared on the November 3, 2020 ballot with a runoff held on November 17, 2020.[32]
^Because of a lack of ballots at about half of Puerto Rico's 110 voting locations, the August 9 primaries were suspended until August 16.[33]
^Amash was elected as Republican. He left the party in 2019 and joined the Libertarian Party in April 2020.
^Van Drew was elected as a Democrat and switched to the Republican Party in December 2019.
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